US manufacturing sheds 113,000 jobs despite tariff policies
Steve Rattner reported that US manufacturing lost 113,000 jobs from November 2024 to June 2026, contrasting with 1.1 million jobs gained in education and health care. The decline persists despite tariff expansions intended to boost domestic manufacturing. Wells Fargo analysts cite labor costs and policy uncertainty as ongoing barriers to factory job growth.

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Wall Street financier Steve Rattner stated on Monday that the US manufacturing sector shed approximately 113,000 jobs between November 2024 and June 2026, despite the implementation of tariff policies designed to re-shore industry. During the same period, the education and health services sector added about 1.1 million jobs, accounting for the vast majority of employment gains. Rattner shared data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics indicating that the administration's strategy to shift production back to the country has not yet yielded manufacturing employment growth.
Sector Employment Trends
The divergence in sector performance highlights a specific weakness in the labor market. While health care and education have driven growth, manufacturing has faced persistent headwinds.
| Sector | Job Change (Nov 2024–Jun 2026) |
|---|---|
| Education and Health Services | +1.1 million |
| Manufacturing | -113,000 |
Since returning to office, President Donald Trump has expanded tariffs on a range of imported goods to encourage manufacturers to shift production, investment, and hiring back to the US. However, the data suggests these measures have not yet translated into net job creation within the factory sector.
Labor Market Cooling
The broader labor market showed signs of cooling in June. US employers added 57,000 jobs, a figure that fell well below economists' expectations. Additionally, payroll gains for April and May were revised lower by a combined 74,000 jobs. Manufacturing payrolls remained relatively unchanged during June, while health care continued to add jobs, though at a slower pace compared to recent months.
Outlook for Factory Jobs
Analysis from Wells Fargo suggests that a broad-based recovery in factory hiring faces significant obstacles. The bank cited higher labor costs, a shortage of skilled workers, and continued policy uncertainty as primary factors hindering growth. Sarah House, a senior economist at Wells Fargo, noted that a meaningful increase in factory jobs does not appear likely in the foreseeable future. She added that uncertainty surrounding government policy could discourage companies from making long-term hiring decisions.
How will the administration adjust its tariff strategy if manufacturing employment continues to decline?
What impact will persistent policy uncertainty have on long-term capital investment in the manufacturing sector?
Can the education and health services sectors sustain their current pace of job growth amid broader labor market cooling?

































