Nvidia fiscal Q2 revenue guidance of $91 billion matches consensus estimates
- Nvidia expects fiscal Q2 revenue of $91 billion, plus or minus 2%, versus $91.9 billion consensus
- Data Center revenue jumped 92% to $75.2 billion in Q1, driven by Blackwell adoption
- Company projects $20 billion in CPU revenue this year from Vera platform expansion
- JPMorgan estimates 100,000 H200 units to China could generate $3 billion in revenue
- Nvidia considers 15%+ price hikes to offset rising memory costs

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) expects fiscal second-quarter revenue of $91 billion, plus or minus 2%, matching the $91.9 billion consensus estimate. The report on Aug 26 will highlight Data Center performance and Blackwell adoption.
The company projects roughly 96.5% year-over-year growth. Data Center revenue surged 92% to $75.2 billion in the prior quarter. Management notes major hyperscalers and cloud providers have adopted the Blackwell platform.
What the Numbers Show
Nvidia’s revenue guidance of $91 billion implies a potential miss against the $91.9 billion consensus midpoint if realized at the lower end of the plus-or-minus 2% range. However, the 96.5% year-over-year growth projection underscores sustained momentum in AI infrastructure spending despite high base effects from the prior period.
ETF Exposure
Investors without direct Nvidia holdings face portfolio impact through semiconductor and technology funds. Key vehicles include:
- VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SMH)
- iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXX)
- Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ: QQQ)
- Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (NASDAQ: BOTZ)
SMH and SOXX offer direct semiconductor exposure, while QQQ provides broader Nasdaq-100 tech access. BOTZ captures wider AI and automation trends.
Growth Drivers and Risks
Beyond GPUs, Nvidia is expanding into server CPUs with its Vera platform. The company estimates the server CPU market at roughly $200 billion and expects its CPU business to generate about $20 billion in revenue this year.
China remains a key opportunity. JPMorgan estimates every 100,000 H200 units shipped to China could generate roughly $3 billion in revenue. Conversely, rising memory costs pose margin pressure. Nvidia is reportedly considering price increases of more than 15% for some systems shipped early next year to offset these costs.
Technical Outlook
Nvidia shares trade approximately 2% above their recent average price. Volume reached 55.4 million shares on Tuesday. The stock sits within a 52-week range of $164.07 to $236.54, with resistance near $214.73. A breakout above this level could test the upper boundary of the range.
How might the rumored 15% price increase for Nvidia systems impact hyperscaler capital expenditure plans and adoption rates of the Blackwell platform?
To what extent could rising memory costs erode Nvidia's gross margins if they are unable to fully pass these expenses on to customers?
How will the introduction of the Vera server CPU platform affect competition with AMD and Intel in the broader $200 billion server CPU market?

































