Evercore ISI raises Lennar price target to $87

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Key Highlights

Evercore ISI Group analyst Stephen Kim maintained an Underperform rating on Lennar and raised the price target to $87 from $82.

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Evercore ISI Group analyst Stephen Kim has maintained an Underperform rating on Lennar while adjusting the stock's price target. The firm increased the target to $87, up from the previous $82.

Rating and Target Details

The revision follows a review of the homebuilder's market position. Despite the higher price target, the Underperform rating suggests the stock may still trail broader market performance.

Metric Value
Rating Underperform
New Price Target $87
Previous Price Target $82
Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

What specific factors drove Evercore ISI to raise the price target despite maintaining an Underperform rating?

How might Lennar's market position evolve relative to its competitors in the current housing market?

What broader economic indicators could influence Lennar's ability to outperform the market in the near term?

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Lennar lowers FY26 guidance as rates pressure housing

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Reviewed by
Radhika SScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Lennar Corporation lowered its full-year 2026 delivery guidance to 82,000-83,000 homes, citing elevated mortgage rates and inflation. Q2 revenue declined to $7.9 billion, and net earnings fell to $305 million, while incentives decreased sequentially to 12.9%.

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Lennar Corporation reduced its full-year 2026 home delivery guidance to between 82,000 and 83,000 homes, down from a previous outlook of 85,000, citing elevated mortgage rates and macroeconomic uncertainty. The homebuilder reported second-quarter revenue of $7.9 billion, a decline from $8.38 billion in the prior year, with net earnings falling to $305 million from $477 million. Chief Executive Officer Stuart Miller highlighted that persistently high mortgage rates, affordability constraints, and a recent rise in inflation have created a complex environment for the housing market, although consumer balance sheets are showing signs of improvement.

Margins and Incentives

Profitability faced pressure during the quarter, with the homebuilding gross margin falling to 15.6% from 17.8% a year earlier. The average sales price declined to $371,000 from $389,000 in the prior-year period. However, the company noted that sales incentives on deliveries decreased to 12.9% from 14.1% in the previous quarter, a trend management views as a potential leading indicator of margin recovery. Construction costs per square foot improved to $81, down 7% year-over-year, while cycle time reached a record low of 121 days.

Operational Performance and Guidance

Lennar delivered 20,519 homes in the second quarter and generated 21,749 new orders. The company ended the quarter with a backlog of 16,818 homes valued at $6.6 billion. For the third quarter, Lennar expects deliveries of 20,500 to 21,500 homes with an average sales price between $375,000 and $380,000. Gross margin is projected to be approximately 16%, with earnings per share estimated between $1.20 and $1.40.

Strategic Focus

The company continues to execute its asset-light strategy, with less than 5% of land on the balance sheet. Lennar ended the quarter with $1.8 billion in cash and a homebuilding debt-to-total capital ratio of 15.8%. Management emphasized that the current stock price does not fully reflect the benefits of its transformation strategy, which has focused on volume-based operations and capital efficiency.

Metric Q2 2026 Q2 2025
Total Revenues $7.9 billion $8.38 billion
Net Earnings $305 million $477 million
Earnings Per Share $1.24 $1.81
Deliveries 20,519 homes 20,131 homes
New Orders 21,749 homes 22,601 homes
Backlog 16,818 homes 15,538 homes
Gross Margin 15.6% 17.8%
Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How will Lennar adjust its pricing strategy if mortgage rates remain elevated through the end of the year?

Can the reduction in sales incentives be sustained, or will competitive pressures force a reversal in the coming quarters?

What specific macroeconomic indicators is Lennar monitoring that could trigger a revision of the 2026 delivery guidance?

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