Ron Baron pledges support for Elon Musk's Tesla-SpaceX merger decision
- Ron Baron pledges public support for Elon Musk's decision on a Tesla-SpaceX merger
- Baron Capital holds $25 billion in SpaceX and $5 billion in Tesla stock
- Investments in both firms generated $30 billion in profits for clients
- Baron projects Starlink revenue could hit $1 trillion in 10 years
- SpaceX shares rose 5.3% to $151.10 amid renewed merger speculation

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Ron Baron, founder of Baron Capital, stated he will publicly support any decision Elon Musk makes regarding a potential merger between Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) and SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX). Baron emphasized that Musk knows best for the companies' future.
Baron Capital has invested in Tesla since 2014 and SpaceX since 2017. The firm currently holds approximately $25 billion in SpaceX stock and $5 billion in Tesla stock. These early investments have generated around $30 billion in profits for clients, contributing to the firm's lifetime profit total of $71 billion.
Merger Stance
Baron told CNBC that he privately shared both the positive and negative aspects of a merger with Musk but declined to elaborate on those specific reasons during the interview. He recalled telling Musk, "Whatever you decide is better is what I’m going to support."
Speculation regarding the merger intensified after comments made by Musk during the All-In Podcast live summit, where SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell was also present.
Starlink Valuation Outlook
Beyond the merger talks, Baron highlighted significant growth potential for SpaceX’s Starlink unit. He described it as one of the most undervalued assets within the company.
| Metric | Current Status | 10-Year Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Customer Base | ~15 million | 300 million |
| Revenue Estimate | Not disclosed | $1 trillion |
| EBITDA Estimate | Not disclosed | $700 billion to $800 billion |
| Implied Valuation | Not disclosed | $14 trillion to $15 trillion |
Baron projected that Starlink could generate $1 trillion in revenue over the next decade. He estimated this would translate into $700 billion to $800 billion in EBITDA. Applying a multiple to these earnings, he suggested a potential valuation of $14 trillion or $15 trillion.
What the Numbers Show
The scale of Baron Capital’s exposure underscores the strategic importance of the Musk-led ecosystem. With $30 billion in realized profits from Tesla and SpaceX out of a $71 billion lifetime total, nearly 42% of the firm's historical gains are derived from just these two holdings. This concentration highlights how heavily the fund's performance relies on the continued operational success and valuation growth of Musk's primary ventures.
Market Movement
SpaceX shares rose 5.3% to $151.10 on Wednesday. The stock trades within a 52-week range of $104.83 to $225.64.
How might regulatory bodies in the US and EU respond to the antitrust implications of a potential Tesla-SpaceX merger given Musk's dominant role in both entities?
What specific operational synergies or cost-saving measures could justify combining Tesla's automotive manufacturing with SpaceX's aerospace logistics?
If Starlink achieves Baron's projected $1 trillion revenue, how would this impact traditional telecommunications providers and satellite internet competitors like Amazon's Project Kuiper?

































