Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) reports second-quarter earnings Tuesday after market close. Analysts project record revenue of $44.95 billion and EPS of $4.91.
Shares are trading lower ahead of the report, down 4.48% to $435.57, as investors position for the results. The company enters the report as one of the top-performing stocks in 2026, with shares up 264% year-to-date. Investors will focus on whether Dell can sustain its momentum amid supply constraints and high expectations.
Earnings Estimates And Historical Beats
Analysts expect second-quarter revenue of $44.95 billion, a significant increase from $29.78 billion in the same quarter last year. This estimate would surpass the quarterly record of $43.84 billion set in the first quarter.
For earnings per share, estimates stand at $4.91, up from $2.32 in the prior year’s second quarter. These estimates sit close to the midpoint of Dell’s own guidance, which called for revenue between $44 billion and $45 billion and adjusted earnings around $4.80 per share.
Dell has demonstrated consistent execution, beating analyst estimates for revenue in two straight quarters and seven of the past ten. Similarly, it has beaten EPS estimates in four straight quarters and nine of the past ten.
| Metric |
Q2 Estimate |
Prior Year Q2 |
Change |
| Revenue |
$44.95 billion |
$29.78 billion |
+50.9% |
| EPS |
$4.91 |
$2.32 |
+111.6% |
Analyst Ratings And Price Targets
Recent analyst actions reflect confidence in Dell’s trajectory, with several firms raising price targets while maintaining their ratings:
- BofA Securities: Buy (Raises Target to $505)
- UBS: Neutral (Raises Target to $455)
- Morgan Stanley: Equal-Weight (Raises Target to $434)
- Evercore ISI Group: Outperform (Raises Target to $550)
- Wells Fargo: Overweight (Raises Target to $545)
Key Items To Watch
Dell’s stock performance has been bolstered by strong financial results and external catalysts. Shares are down approximately 9% from all-time highs, suggesting potential upside if results meet high expectations. The stock’s rise has also been influenced by shout-outs from President Donald Trump earlier this year, which preceded government contracts and significant share price appreciation.
Investors will closely monitor AI server revenue recognition and new bookings. In the first quarter, Dell reported $24.4 billion in AI orders, leading to raised full-year AI server expectations. The Traditional Servers and Networking segment saw revenue rise 92% year-over-year, while AI-Optimized Servers revenue surged 757% year-over-year.
Technical indicators show the stock trading 4.8% below its 20-day SMA ($457.73), signaling a cooled near-term trend after the push into August highs. It sits on its 50-day SMA ($434.44), a key support level. Resistance is seen at $455.00. The RSI is neutral at 46.91.
Given the elevated baseline, another beat-and-raise scenario is likely required to maintain current valuations. A miss or failure to raise guidance could result in sharp downside pressure, while a strong performance may push shares toward new highs.
What The Numbers Show
The divergence between the projected revenue growth (50.9% YoY) and the even sharper EPS growth (111.6% YoY) indicates significant operating leverage or margin expansion in the pipeline. With AI-Optimized Servers revenue growing at 757% YoY in the prior quarter, the concentration on high-margin AI hardware appears to be driving disproportionate bottom-line benefits relative to top-line growth.