Gold, Silver Hit All-Time Highs in India Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and Safe-Haven Demand
Gold and silver achieved record highs in Indian markets on January 12, with gold reaching ₹1.41 lakh per 10 grams and silver touching ₹2.63 lakh per kilogram on MCX. The surge followed international markets where gold crossed $4,600 per ounce and silver exceeded $83 per ounce for the first time. Analysts attributed the rally to geopolitical tensions, safe-haven demand, and expectations of easier US monetary policy, with experts expecting continued support from structural factors despite potential near-term consolidation.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Gold and silver prices surged to all-time highs in the domestic market on January 12, tracking a sharp rally in overseas bullion amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty and rising risk aversion. The precious metals rally reflects increased demand for safe-haven assets as global tensions escalate and monetary policy expectations shift.
Record-Breaking Performance on MCX
Both precious metals achieved significant milestones during the trading session:
| Metal | Current Price | Intraday High | Daily Gain | Percentage Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold (per 10g) | ₹1.40 lakh | ₹1.41 lakh | ₹2,071 | +1.50% |
| Silver (per kg) | ₹2.62 lakh | ₹2.63 lakh | ₹9,510 | +3.80% |
The domestic rally mirrored strong movements in international markets, where spot gold climbed more than 1.00% to trade near $4,567.00 per ounce after briefly crossing the $4,600.00 mark for the first time. Spot silver also achieved an all-time high, rising above $83.00 per ounce.
Key Market Drivers
Market participants identified several factors contributing to the bullion surge:
- Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating conflicts including unrest in Iran and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine situation
- Safe-Haven Demand: Increased investor appetite for precious metals amid global uncertainty
- Monetary Policy Expectations: Growing political pressure on the US Federal Reserve
- Economic Data: Weak US employment data strengthening expectations of easier monetary policy
- Inflation Concerns: Persistent inflation pressures supporting precious metals flows
Expert Analysis and Market Outlook
Justin Khoo, Senior Market Analyst – APAC at VT Market, emphasized that the current surge represents a fundamental shift rather than temporary volatility. "Gold and silver reaching all-time highs reflects a decisive shift in global risk positioning rather than a short-term anomaly," Khoo stated. He noted gold's decisive break above the $4,500.00 level while silver continues trading near multi-year highs despite the US dollar index holding close to 99.00.
Rahul Kalantri, Vice President – Commodities at Mehta Equities, highlighted the strong weekly performance, noting that gold gained over 4.00% while silver rallied more than 7.00% driven by heightened global uncertainty. However, he cautioned that near-term gains could face resistance if the US dollar remains firm.
Future Price Expectations
Analysts maintain a broadly supportive outlook for bullion prices, though some consolidation appears possible after the sharp rally. Ross Maxwell, Global Strategy Operations Lead at VT Markets, suggested that a significant correction in gold would require substantial changes in macroeconomic conditions.
| Outlook Factor | Gold | Silver |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term Support | Geopolitical uncertainty, Asian demand | Industrial demand, green technologies |
| Near-term Risk | Dollar strength, consolidation | High volatility, speculative flows |
| Expected Movement | Elevated prices likely | Strong fundamentals with volatility |
Maxwell noted that geopolitical uncertainty and structural demand, particularly from Asia, appear positioned to keep gold prices elevated, with smaller corrections more likely than dramatic falls. For silver, strong industrial demand from green technologies underpins long-term fundamentals, though short-term volatility may persist due to speculative flows.































