Vodafone Idea Shares Crash 15% Despite AGR Relief — Market Reacts to Cabinet Decision
Vodafone Idea shares experienced significant volatility following the Cabinet's decision to freeze AGR dues at ₹87,695 crore with a five-year moratorium and staggered payments from FY32 to FY42. While the market expected a 50% waiver, experts view the relief package positively as it prevents telecom sector duopoly and provides breathing room for the debt-laden operator with government holding 49% stake.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Vodafone Idea shares experienced significant volatility, initially falling 16.00% from daily highs before recovering slightly to close 8.50% lower at ₹11.03. The stock had earlier hit the lower circuit of 15.00% at ₹10.25 following the Union Cabinet's decision on the company's adjusted gross revenue (AGR) dues relief package.
Cabinet Decision Details and Market Impact
The Union Cabinet decided to freeze Vodafone Idea's AGR dues at ₹87,695.00 crore, falling short of market expectations for a waiver. The payment structure includes a five-year moratorium, with staggered payments beginning from financial year 2031-32 and extending to financial year 2041-42. The market had been expecting an AGR waiver of at least 50.00%, which contributed to the negative reaction.
| Relief Parameters: | Details |
|---|---|
| AGR Dues Amount: | ₹87,695.00 crore |
| Payment Timeline: | FY32 to FY42 |
| Moratorium Period: | 5 years |
| FY18-FY19 Dues: | Payable FY26 to FY31 |
| Market Expectation: | 50.00% waiver |
Expert Commentary on Relief Package
Gurmeet Chadha of Complete Circle welcomed the government's move, stating that it demonstrates the government's commitment to preventing a duopoly in the telecom sector. "The government has made it clear that they would not want a duopoly in an important sector like telecom. Overall debt is upwards of ₹2.00 lakh crore. The AGR dues are around ₹87,000.00 odd crore," Chadha noted.
Senior Supreme Court Advocate HP Ranina described the decision as "the best New Year's gift" for Vodafone Idea, emphasizing that no legal hurdles are expected since the Supreme Court had previously indicated the government's freedom to take measures to save the company.
Reassessment Process and Government Stake
The frozen AGR dues will be reassessed by the Department of Telecommunications based on Deduction Verification Guidelines. The outcome will be decided by a government-appointed committee, with decisions binding on both parties. The government currently holds a 49.00% stake in Vodafone Idea, making it the largest public shareholder.
| Stakeholder Information: | Details |
|---|---|
| Government Stake: | 49.00% |
| Customer Base: | 20 crore |
| Total Debt: | ₹2.00 lakh crore |
| AGR Component: | ₹87,000.00 crore |
Legal and Strategic Implications
Sanjay Asher, Senior Partner of Crawford Bayley & Co., described the development as "excellent news" for Vodafone Idea and its stakeholders. He emphasized that the staggered payment structure will provide breathing room for the company, with minimal legal issues anticipated going forward. The official cabinet document states that these measures will enable orderly payment of dues while protecting the interests of the company's 20.00 crore customers and maintaining competition in the telecom sector.
Historical Stock Returns for Vodafone Idea
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10.78% | -10.41% | +8.03% | +44.82% | +38.48% | +5.49% |
















































