Prabhudas Lilladher Maintains Accumulate Rating on Can Fin Homes with Target Price of ₹1,015
Prabhudas Lilladher maintains accumulate rating on Can Fin Homes with ₹1,015 target price, valuing stock at 2.0x December 2027 P/ABV. Q3 disbursements improved with positive momentum in Karnataka and Telangana, while loan book grew 10% YoY. Projected loan growth of 11%/14% for FY26/FY27 with NIMs expected at 3.75%, though cost-to-income ratio to remain elevated at ~18% due to transformation investments.

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Prabhudas Lilladher has maintained its accumulate rating on Can Fin Homes with a target price of ₹1,015.00, citing improved operational performance and positive regional momentum despite some operational challenges.
Quarterly Performance and Growth Outlook
The housing finance company demonstrated improved disbursement activity during Q3, with particularly strong performance in Karnataka and Telangana markets showing positive run-rates. The loan book registered growth of 10.00% year-on-year in Q3, forming the foundation for the brokerage's growth projections.
| Parameter | FY26E | FY27E |
|---|---|---|
| Projected Loan Growth | 11.00% | 14.00% |
| Expected NIM | 3.75% | 3.75% |
Margin and Cost Structure Analysis
Net interest margins are expected to trend in line with management guidance at 3.75% for both FY26 and FY27, supported by anticipated lower cost of borrowing. This margin stability represents a key positive factor in the brokerage's revised estimates.
However, the cost-to-income ratio is projected to remain elevated at approximately 18.00% over the FY26-28 period. This elevation stems from ongoing investments in business transformation initiatives and expansion activities, which are expected to weigh on near-term profitability metrics.
Valuation and Investment Rationale
Prabhudas Lilladher has revised its FY26 and FY27 estimates upwards, incorporating the positive margin trajectory observed in recent performance. The target price of ₹1,015.00 is derived using a valuation multiple of 2.0x December 2027 estimated price-to-adjusted book value.
| Valuation Metrics | Details |
|---|---|
| Target Price | ₹1,015.00 |
| Valuation Multiple | 2.0x Dec-27E P/ABV |
| Rating | Accumulate |
The brokerage acknowledges that while the company shows promise with improved disbursements and stable margin guidance, lower growth expectations and elevated operational expenses continue to impact overall earnings potential. Despite these challenges, the accumulate rating reflects confidence in the company's long-term prospects and regional market positioning.
Historical Stock Returns for Can Fin Homes
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.56% | +3.06% | -2.30% | +12.01% | +29.25% | +76.18% |











































