Oil India Clarifies Timeline For Arunachal Pradesh Graphite Mining Agreement

1 min read     Updated on 03 Jan 2026, 01:06 PM
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Overview

Oil India has officially clarified to stock exchanges that the execution of its composite licence deed for the Phop Graphite and Vanadium block in Arunachal Pradesh on January 2, 2026, represents normal business progression following its selection as preferred bidder in November 2024. The company emphasized that this development has no material impact and is part of the expected licensing process for the critical mineral block awarded through the Ministry of Mines' auction.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

Oil India has provided official clarification regarding its composite licence agreement for the Phop Graphite and Vanadium block in Arunachal Pradesh, following regulatory queries about recent news reports. The state-owned Maharatna company addressed timeline concerns and confirmed the deal's progression through normal business processes.

Regulatory Clarification and Timeline

In a filing dated January 5, 2026, Oil India clarified to stock exchanges that the execution of the Composite License deed on January 2, 2026, represents part of an ongoing licensing process. The company emphasized that this development follows its original announcement made on November 7, 2024, when it was selected as the preferred bidder for the critical mineral block.

Parameter: Details
Original Announcement: November 7, 2024
Deed Execution Date: January 2, 2026
Clarification Filing: January 5, 2026
Block Location: Yazali circle, Keyi Panyor district, Arunachal Pradesh
Mineral Type: Graphite and Vanadium

Company's Official Position

Oil India stated that the information regarding this project has been in the public domain since November 7, 2024, and therefore any recent price movement cannot be attributed to the latest news item about the deed execution. The company specifically noted that "there is no material impact of the said news on the Company," indicating that the recent developments are part of expected business progression.

Original Block Award Details

The Phop Graphite and Vanadium Block was originally awarded to Oil India through the Ministry of Mines' auction process under Tranche IV of the Auction of Critical and Strategic Mineral Blocks. This selection positioned the company as a key player in India's critical minerals strategy, supporting the nation's energy self-sufficiency goals and reducing dependence on mineral imports.

Partnership Structure and Strategic Importance

The project involves a partnership with the Centre of Earth Science and Himalayan Studies (CESHS) as a local partner holding a 10% stake. This collaboration combines Oil India's technical expertise in mineral exploration with CESHS's local knowledge and community engagement capabilities in Arunachal Pradesh.

National Critical Minerals Mission Alignment

The initiative aligns with India's national priorities of creating a critical mineral mission and achieving self-reliance in strategic minerals. These critical minerals are essential for high-tech and green energy applications, positioning India as a competitive player in the global mineral economy while supporting the country's transition toward sustainable energy solutions.

Historical Stock Returns for Oil India

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
-2.09%+4.26%+0.78%-3.67%-9.37%+460.61%
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Oil India Faces Refinery Expansion Delays as Analysts Maintain Buy Rating with ₹495 Target

1 min read     Updated on 01 Jan 2026, 07:01 PM
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Reviewed by
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Overview

Oil India's subsidiary NRL has delayed its refinery expansion operations to Q4-FY26 from December 2025, leading to 1.6-9.1% cuts in FY26/27E EPS estimates. Despite delays, analysts maintain Buy rating with ₹495 target price, expecting 9% and 4% CAGR in gas and oil production respectively over FY25-27E.

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Oil India faces operational delays in its subsidiary's refinery expansion project, prompting analysts to revise earnings estimates while maintaining an optimistic outlook on the stock's long-term prospects.

Refinery Expansion Timeline Revised

The company's material subsidiary, Numaligarh Refinery Ltd (NRL), has encountered delays in commencing operations of its expanded refinery capacity. The project involves scaling up from 3 mtpa to 9 mtpa, with operations now expected to begin in Q4-FY26 instead of the originally planned December 2025.

Parameter: Details
Original Timeline: December 2025
Revised Timeline: Q4-FY26
Capacity Expansion: 3 mtpa to 9 mtpa
Ramp-up Strategy: Gradual increase in succeeding quarters

Impact on Earnings Estimates

The delayed commencement has led analysts to adjust their earnings projections for the company. The revision reflects the postponed revenue generation from the expanded refinery operations.

Metric: FY26E FY27E
EPS Estimate Revision: -1.60% -9.10%

Market Sensitivity Analysis

Analysts have highlighted key factors that directly influence Oil India's profitability. Brent crude oil prices have a significant impact on the company's crude oil realisation and overall earnings performance.

Factor: Impact on Annual EPS
$1 decline in Brent crude: ~2.00% decrease
₹1 INR depreciation vs USD: ~2.60% increase

Production Growth Projections

Despite the refinery delays, analysts remain positive about Oil India's core production capabilities. The company's standalone operations are expected to demonstrate steady growth across both gas and oil segments.

Product: CAGR (FY25-27E)
Gas Production: 9.00%
Oil Production: 4.00%

Analyst Recommendation

Analysts continue to maintain a Buy recommendation for Oil India with a revised target price of ₹495, compared to the current market price of ₹427.35. The valuation methodology breaks down the target price into two components: standalone business operations and investment portfolio.

Component: Valuation per Share
Standalone Business: ₹240 (8x March-27E EPS)
Investments: ₹255
Total Target Price: ₹495
Current Market Price: ₹427.35

Historical Stock Returns for Oil India

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
-2.09%+4.26%+0.78%-3.67%-9.37%+460.61%
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