Nifty Realty enters bear market territory with 17% correction from peak

2 min read     Updated on 09 Jan 2026, 02:40 PM
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Reviewed by
Radhika SScanX News Team
Overview

Nifty Realty Index fell 3% in Monday's session, extending total correction to 17% from 52-week high and entering bear market territory. Major stocks like Godrej Properties, DLF, and Lodha Group declined up to 5% amid sector-wide selling pressure. Keystone Realtors reported mixed Q3FY26 results with 13% growth in area sold but 3% decline in pre-sales to ₹837 crore. Despite sharp correction, analysts expect potential 2026 recovery supported by anticipated rate cuts.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

The Nifty Realty Index extended its decline in Monday's trading session, falling close to 3% and pushing its cumulative correction to 17% from the 52-week high. With losses of this magnitude, the index has officially entered bear market territory, reflecting sustained selling pressure across real estate counters.

Major Realty Stocks Lead Sectoral Decline

Heavyweight real estate companies bore the brunt of the selloff, with several prominent names emerging among the session's top laggards:

Company Decline
Godrej Properties Up to 5%
DLF Up to 5%
Lodha Group Up to 5%

The weakness in realty stocks contributed significantly to the sector's drag on the broader market, as selling pressure remained visible across most real estate counters.

Broader Market Context

The realty sector's decline occurred amid a broader market selloff, with Indian equities trading near the day's lows. Key market indicators reflected the negative sentiment:

  • Benchmark indices declined nearly 1% each
  • Nifty slipped below the 25,700 mark
  • Realty and capital market goods stocks led sectoral losses

The combination of sector-specific weakness and overall market pressure weighed heavily on investor sentiment throughout the session.

Keystone Realtors Reports Mixed Q3FY26 Performance

Among individual company updates, Keystone Realtors, the Mumbai-based developer, reported mixed operating performance for the December quarter:

Metric Q3FY26 Performance Change (YoY)
Area Sold 0.46 million sq ft +13%
Pre-sales ₹837.00 crore -3%
Collections ₹524.00 crore -3%

While the company demonstrated healthy volume growth with a 13% year-on-year increase in area sold, value metrics softened with both pre-sales and collections declining by 3%, suggesting a possible shift in the sales mix.

Analyst Outlook for Sector Recovery

Despite the sharp correction, some market analysts see potential for recovery ahead. Venugopal Garre of Bernstein expects a potential turnaround in Indian real estate stocks in 2026, upgrading the sector from its earlier 'Underperform' rating. Key factors supporting this outlook include:

  • Property cycles typically spanning six to seven years
  • Sharp correction in stock prices creating value opportunities
  • Expected 50 basis point rate cut over the course of the year
  • Potential support to housing demand as borrowing costs moderate

The analyst views the current correction as a catch-up opportunity following a weak 2025 performance, with easing interest rates potentially providing incremental support to housing demand and valuations.

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Six Nifty 50 Companies Expected to Report Over 40% Profit Growth in Q3 FY26

3 min read     Updated on 09 Jan 2026, 01:30 PM
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Reviewed by
Shriram SScanX News Team
Overview

Motilal Oswal projects six Nifty 50 companies to report over 40% YoY profit growth in Q3 FY26, led by Tata Steel (225.5% growth to ₹2,410.00 crore) and JSW Steel (137.3% growth to ₹1,850.00 crore). Other strong performers include Bharti Airtel, Tech Mahindra, Eternal, and Tata Consumer. Overall Nifty earnings are expected to grow 8% YoY, with companies under MOSL coverage projected to achieve 16% YoY growth - the highest in eight quarters.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

The third-quarter earnings season for India Inc has commenced with heightened expectations, as analysts project strong profit growth across multiple sectors. Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOSL) forecasts that companies under its coverage could achieve 16% year-on-year growth - the highest in eight quarters - while Nifty earnings are expected to grow 8% YoY in Q3 FY26.

Sector-Wise Growth Outlook

The overall earnings growth momentum is expected to be anchored by diverse sectors including oil & gas, financials led by NBFC-lending, automobiles, metals, telecom, technology, real estate, capital goods, cement and NBFC-non-lending. These sectors are anticipated to contribute 77% of the incremental YoY accretion in earnings.

Performance Metric MOSL Universe Nifty
Sales Growth (YoY) 8% 11%
EBITDA Growth (YoY) 12% 10%

Six Nifty 50 Companies With Exceptional Profit Projections

Among Nifty 50 constituents, six companies are projected to report profit after tax (PAT) growth exceeding 40% in Q3 FY26:

Steel Sector Leaders

Tata Steel is positioned to benefit from improving steel price realisations, operating efficiencies, and strong domestic demand outlook. The company's Indian business is expected to continue its robust performance, while improvement in European operations should support overall earnings.

Financial Metric Projected Growth (YoY) Estimated Value
PAT Growth 225.5% ₹2,410.00 crore
Sales Growth 9.5% -
EBITDA Growth 12.9% -

JSW Steel is expected to deliver strong bottomline performance despite potential revenue pressures from muted net sales realisation, which would be partially offset by healthy volumes.

Parameter Details
Projected PAT ₹1,850.00 crore
PAT Growth (YoY) 137.3%

Telecom and Technology Performers

Bharti Airtel continues to be preferred by analysts, with further re-rating contingent on higher long-term ARPU growth. The company's performance will be aided by healthy performance in Homes and Africa segments amid favourable forex changes.

Metric Projection
Adjusted PAT ₹8,500.00 crore
PAT Growth (YoY) 54.8%
Revenue Growth 19%
ARPU (QoQ growth) 0.8% to ₹258.00

Tech Mahindra is expected to benefit from recovery in the auto segment along with communications. The IT major may see EBIT margin expansion of 60 basis points sequentially to 12.7%, supported by improved gross margins as the company optimises fixed cost projects.

Financial Parameter Estimate
PAT ₹1,500.00 crore
PAT Growth (YoY) 47.7%
EBIT Margin 12.7%

Consumer and New-Age Technology

Eternal has been reintroduced in coverage following recent correction, making it attractive from a valuation perspective. The company's core quick delivery business continues to scale higher, with the quick commerce network already near breakeven.

Performance Indicator Details
PAT ₹84.10 crore
PAT Growth (YoY) 42.6%
Growth Context After four quarters of decline

Tata Consumer is expected to report strong performance across the board, with tea volumes projected to grow in low single digits alongside marginal tea price increases, while the salt business could achieve double-digit growth.

Metric Projection
PAT ₹399.60 crore
PAT Growth (YoY) 41%

The upcoming earnings season will be closely monitored by investors, as strong corporate performance could potentially attract foreign investment and ease market pressures. Key companies including Tata Consultancy Services and Reliance Industries are scheduled to announce their Q3 results, along with several major banks.

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