Lemon Tree Hotels Receives Buy Recommendation with 38% Upside Potential
ICICI Direct has issued a 'Buy' recommendation for Lemon Tree Hotels with a ₹185 target price, indicating 38% upside potential from current levels. The positive outlook is driven by a strategic restructuring plan that will create two focused entities and expand room inventory from 11,769 to 25,000 rooms over four years. The company reported solid Q2FY26 results with 7% revenue growth to ₹306 crore and 20% net profit increase to ₹42 crore, while the broader hotel sector shows strong fundamentals with 71% occupancy rates and expanding revenue base.

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Lemon Tree Hotels has gained attention from analysts following a positive brokerage recommendation that highlights significant upside potential amid favorable sector dynamics and strategic restructuring plans.
Brokerage Recommendation and Target Price
ICICI Direct has issued a 'Buy' recommendation for Lemon Tree Hotels with a target price of ₹185.00. This target represents a potential upside of approximately 38% from the stock's closing price of ₹134.30, reflecting analyst confidence in the company's growth prospects and improving sector outlook.
| Parameter: | Details |
|---|---|
| Current Price: | ₹134.30 |
| Target Price: | ₹185.00 |
| Upside Potential: | 38% |
| Market Cap: | ₹10,639.87 crore |
| Recent Performance: | -0.96% |
Strategic Restructuring Initiative
The company has announced a comprehensive restructuring plan involving Lemon Tree Hotels Limited and Fleur Hotels, designed to unlock shareholder value through the creation of two focused entities. Under this arrangement, existing shareholders will receive 20 Fleur shares for every 311 LTHL shares, while Warburg Pincus will acquire a 41.09% stake in Fleur. The new entity is expected to list within 15 months of the restructuring completion.
Post-restructuring projections indicate that LTHL will transform into a debt-free, asset-light platform with ambitious expansion plans:
| Restructuring Benefits: | Projections |
|---|---|
| Room Inventory Growth: | 11,769 to 25,000 rooms (4 years) |
| Asset-light EBITDA Margins: | ~80% |
| PAT Margins: | ~55% |
| Fleur Target EBITDA by FY28: | ₹1,000+ crore |
Financial Performance
Lemon Tree Hotels demonstrated steady growth in Q2FY26, showcasing resilience in a challenging operating environment. The company's financial metrics reflect consistent performance across key indicators.
| Financial Metric: | Q2FY26 | Previous Period | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue: | ₹306 crore | ₹284 crore | +7% |
| Net Profit: | ₹42 crore | ₹35 crore | +20% |
Sector Fundamentals and Growth Pipeline
India's hotel and resort sector continues to benefit from robust domestic tourism and rising demand patterns. In FY2025, the sector achieved significant milestones with room inventory reaching approximately 2.03 lakh units, compared to 1.88 lakh in the previous period. Occupancy rates approached 71% while Average Daily Rates (ADR) climbed to ₹8,000.00, contributing to sector revenue expansion of roughly ₹906 billion.
The company maintains a strong expansion pipeline with over 9,400 rooms planned from third-party owners, alongside substantial owned inventory development. New Aurika properties in Shimla, Shillong, and New Delhi are expected to add operational scale, while active discussions for 2,500+ additional rooms strengthen long-term expansion visibility across the company's brand portfolio.
Market Positioning and Geographic Presence
Lemon Tree Hotels has established a comprehensive pan-India footprint across major business hubs and high-growth air corridors. The portfolio concentrates in key metropolitan areas including Delhi, Bengaluru, Mumbai, and Hyderabad, positioning the company to benefit from rising air traffic and office space absorption trends in these markets.
Historical Stock Returns for Lemon Tree Hotels
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.24% | -13.36% | -17.88% | -15.09% | -11.12% | +221.72% |
















































