DBS Bank advises against reducing equity exposure despite geopolitical risks, recommends diversification strategy

3 min read     Updated on 23 Jan 2026, 06:38 PM
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Overview

DBS Bank's Senior Investment Strategist Joanne Goh advises maintaining equity exposure despite geopolitical risks, recommending diversification through alternative assets like private equity and gold rather than broad market reduction. She identifies opportunities in India's domestic sectors including infrastructure, capital goods, manufacturing, and banking, supported by government spending and policy initiatives. Goh advocates for a barbell strategy combining growth investments with income-generating assets, while highlighting selective opportunities in IT and banking sectors.

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Joanne Goh, Senior Investment Strategist at DBS Bank, recommends that investors maintain their equity exposure despite prevailing geopolitical risks, advocating for strategic diversification rather than broad market retreat. In a recent interview, Goh outlined her assessment of current market conditions and investment opportunities, particularly focusing on India's domestic sectors and emerging themes.

Geopolitical Risk Assessment and Portfolio Strategy

Goh acknowledges that geopolitical risk remains present, reflecting ongoing policy uncertainty across major economies including the United States. She notes that shifts in trade policies, tariffs, industrial policy, and foreign relations contribute to market volatility and varied cross-border effects. However, she emphasizes that such policy adjustments can create selective opportunities in areas linked to domestic manufacturing, defense, energy security, and strategic supply chains.

Investment Approach: Recommendation
Equity Exposure: Maintain current levels
Diversification Strategy: Add lower correlation assets
Alternative Assets: Private equity, private credit, infrastructure
Real Assets: Gold and certain hedge fund strategies
Portfolio Management: Measured selectivity and diversification

Rather than recommending a broad reduction in equity exposure, Goh suggests investors complement their equity holdings with assets that have lower correlation, including private equity, private credit, infrastructure, real assets such as gold, and certain hedge fund strategies to help manage portfolio volatility.

Sectoral Opportunities in India

The strategist identifies significant opportunities in India's domestically-oriented sectors, particularly those benefiting from government spending and policy support. She highlights that an environment where fiscal policy plays a larger role tends to support domestic sectors, especially when government spending and targeted reforms contribute meaningfully to growth.

Favored Sectors: Growth Drivers
Infrastructure: Public capex and policy support
Capital Goods: Domestic demand linkages
Manufacturing: Government incentives and reforms
Banking: Credit environment and balance sheet strength
Healthcare: Government spending and domestic demand

Through public capital expenditure, incentives, and targeted reforms, sectors with stronger domestic demand linkages and limited reliance on external trade may see relatively better earnings visibility.

Investment Strategy Framework

Goh advocates for the CIO Barbell Strategy, which allows investors to capture upside from long-term growth trends while generating stable income. This approach involves investing in companies aligned with secular trends such as aging global population and artificial intelligence adoption on the growth side, while focusing on high-quality bonds and dividend-yielding equities, including REITs, for income generation.

In risk-on environments, she emphasizes focusing on companies delivering strong revenue and earnings growth underpinned by long-term secular trends, while maintaining discipline in avoiding loss-making or speculative businesses. Balance sheet strength and consistent cash flow generation remain important criteria for resilience.

Sector-Specific Outlook

Information Technology

Goh continues monitoring India's IT sector for selective opportunities, noting that a more attractive entry point could emerge as global IT spending trends stabilize and AI monetization becomes clearer. She observes that larger players with established client relationships, strong balance sheets, and investments in cloud, data, cybersecurity, and AI platforms appear well-positioned to adapt business models toward greater productivity.

Banking Sector

The banking sector remains a key component with relatively strong structural characteristics. Banks are benefiting from an improved credit environment, with asset quality at healthy levels, manageable credit costs, and comfortable capital adequacy. Balance sheets, particularly among large private-sector banks, are positioned to support loan growth across retail, MSMEs, infrastructure, and manufacturing.

Infrastructure and Manufacturing Focus

India's infrastructure and manufacturing sectors merit continued attention, particularly given ongoing global supply-chain diversification trends. Government-led initiatives such as Make in India, production-linked incentives, and sustained public capital expenditure are supporting capacity build-out across roads, rail, ports, power, defense, and digital infrastructure.

Key Initiatives: Beneficiary Sectors
Make in India: Manufacturing and assembly
Production-Linked Incentives: Electronics, autos, renewables
Public Capex: Infrastructure developers, capital goods
Supply Chain Diversification: Defense manufacturing, engineering

This provides multi-year growth opportunities for infrastructure developers, capital goods, cement, and engineering players, supported by domestic demand and moderate exposure to global trade cycles.

AI Investment Approach

Regarding artificial intelligence investments, Goh suggests looking beyond the technology sector to participate in AI themes while managing concentration and valuation risks. She recommends focusing on "adapters" that embrace AI to drive efficiency gains and higher profitability, particularly large-cap companies that have more capital and data advantages to deploy AI at scale.

The strategist believes this approach offers better risk-adjusted exposure to the AI wave, as AI's impact extends well beyond technology, reshaping business models across the broader economy. She anticipates a widening AI-related productivity divergence between large and small businesses as adoption scales.

Historical Stock Returns for DCB Bank

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
-3.12%-1.92%+7.22%+28.49%+58.63%+57.81%

DCB Bank Q3 FY26 Net Profit Surges 22% to ₹184.74 Crore on Strong Income Growth

2 min read     Updated on 23 Jan 2026, 04:02 PM
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Reviewed by
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Overview

DCB Bank reported strong Q3 FY26 results with net profit growing 22% YoY to ₹184.74 crore and total income rising 12.3% to ₹2,082.30 crore. Asset quality improved significantly with gross NPA ratio declining to 2.72% from 3.11% previously. The bank completed a ₹83 crore preferential allotment to promoter AKFED and recorded property revaluation surplus of ₹106.83 crore during the quarter.

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DCB Bank Limited delivered strong financial performance in the third quarter of FY26, reporting significant growth across key metrics. The private sector bank's net profit surged 22% year-on-year, demonstrating robust operational efficiency and improved asset quality.

Financial Performance Highlights

The bank's financial results for Q3 FY26 showed substantial improvement across multiple parameters:

Metric Q3 FY26 Q3 FY25 Growth (%)
Net Profit ₹184.74 cr ₹151.44 cr +22.0%
Total Income ₹2,082.30 cr ₹1,855.10 cr +12.3%
Interest Earned ₹1,860.88 cr ₹1,671.05 cr +11.4%
Other Income ₹221.42 cr ₹184.05 cr +20.3%
Operating Profit ₹322.84 cr ₹271.11 cr +19.1%

For the nine months ended December 31, 2025, the bank maintained strong momentum with net profit reaching ₹525.91 crore compared to ₹438.27 crore in the corresponding period of the previous year, marking a growth of 20.0%.

Asset Quality and Capital Position

DCB Bank demonstrated significant improvement in asset quality metrics during the quarter:

NPA Metrics Q3 FY26 Q3 FY25 Improvement
Gross NPA Ratio 2.72% 3.11% -39 bps
Net NPA Ratio 1.10% 1.18% -8 bps
Gross NPA Amount ₹1,567.51 cr ₹1,517.18 cr +3.3%
Net NPA Amount ₹622.98 cr ₹562.45 cr +10.8%

The bank maintained a robust capital adequacy ratio of 15.84% under Basel III norms, providing a strong buffer for future growth. Return on assets improved to 0.91% from 0.86% in the previous year, reflecting enhanced profitability.

Segmental Performance Analysis

The bank's business segments showed varied performance during the quarter:

Business Segment Revenue (₹ cr) Profit (₹ cr) Assets (₹ cr)
Retail Banking 1,713.94 132.00 52,876.82
Treasury Operations 487.91 48.54 23,210.65
Corporate Banking 139.17 18.18 5,179.53
Other Banking 55.24 53.45 -

Retail Banking remained the largest contributor to both revenue and assets, while Treasury Operations provided significant support to overall profitability.

Strategic Developments and Capital Initiatives

During the quarter, DCB Bank completed several important strategic initiatives. The bank successfully raised ₹83.00 crore through preferential allotment of 60,58,394 equity shares to its promoter, Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development S.A (AKFED), at ₹137 per share. This transaction received approval from the Reserve Bank of India on September 29, 2025.

The bank also undertook revaluation of its immovable properties during the quarter, resulting in a revaluation surplus of ₹106.83 crore. This surplus was credited to revaluation reserves, bringing the total revaluation reserve to ₹390.06 crore as of December 31, 2025.

Operational Metrics and Provisions

DCB Bank's operational efficiency remained strong with controlled expense growth. Operating expenses increased to ₹523.25 crore from ₹455.81 crore in the previous year. The bank maintained floating provisions of ₹195.79 crore on advances and ₹12.07 crore on investments as of December 31, 2025.

Employee costs included an estimated incremental impact of ₹26.87 crore due to the implementation of New Labour Codes notified by the Government of India on November 21, 2025. The bank continues to monitor developments regarding the finalization of Central and State Rules under these codes.

Historical Stock Returns for DCB Bank

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
-3.12%-1.92%+7.22%+28.49%+58.63%+57.81%

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