OpenAI IPO reportedly delayed to 2027 amid $1 trillion valuation target
OpenAI is reportedly considering delaying its IPO until 2027 to achieve a $1 trillion valuation, despite concerns over a $2 billion monthly cash burn and missed internal revenue targets. Advisers have cautioned against a 2026 listing, citing the volatile post-IPO performance of SpaceX and significant infrastructure costs. Meanwhile, prediction markets show a low probability of a 2026 listing and place Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in the AI model race.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
OpenAI is reportedly leaning toward delaying its initial public offering (IPO) until 2027 as it pursues a potential $1 trillion valuation, according to a New York Times report citing three people involved in the deliberations. Advisers have presented CEO Sam Altman with two options: wait until 2027 for the trillion-dollar valuation or settle for a lower figure and list in 2026. Altman reportedly called any reduction a "non-starter." CFO Sarah Friar is said to be pushing for the delay, citing roughly $600 billion in compute infrastructure commitments through 2030 as a reason the company needs more runway before facing public-company reporting obligations.
Financial Burn and Valuation Skepticism
NYU professor and AI skeptic Gary Marcus stated there is "no rational argument" for buying a share of OpenAI at a trillion-dollar valuation. Marcus noted the company is losing roughly $2 billion a month on operations. The Wall Street Journal reported earlier this week that OpenAI has missed recent internal revenue targets, lending weight to skepticism about the company's financial trajectory. Previous reports indicated OpenAI spent about $3.7 billion in the first quarter of 2026 against revenue of about $5.7 billion.
Market and Competitive Context
The advisers' caution may also be tied to the rocky debut of SpaceX Inc. (NASDAQ: SPCX), whose shares have tumbled from above $225 to around $153 since its record IPO earlier this month. While the stock still trades above its $135 offer price, the roughly 30% retracement from its peak may have spooked executives weighing OpenAI's listing window. Competition is also intensifying, with Anthropic pursuing its own IPO plans after filing a confidential Form S-1 on June 1. Polymarket traders place OpenAI third in the race to have the best AI model by the end of 2026, at 11%, far behind Anthropic at 67% and Google at 13%.
Prediction Markets
Polymarket data indicates a shifting timeline for the listing. The market currently assigns a 78% probability that OpenAI will not list before December 31, 2026. A separate market gives Anthropic a 77% probability of beating OpenAI to the public markets.
How will OpenAI's $2 billion monthly burn rate impact its ability to secure additional funding before a potential 2027 IPO?
What effect will Anthropic's potential earlier IPO have on OpenAI's market positioning and investor appetite?
Can OpenAI achieve a $1 trillion valuation given its current revenue misses and intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google?






























