Iran blames Israel for blocking ceasefire; Brent crude rises to $91
Trump rejected the extension of the US-Iran ceasefire, leading to heightened geopolitical tensions. Iranian FM Araghchi blamed Israel for derailing the deal, while Netanyahu insisted the conflict is not over. Markets reacted with equity futures declining and oil prices rising, with Brent crude hitting $91.01 per barrel.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
President Donald Trump rejected extending a temporary ceasefire with Iran on Monday, as Tehran threatened to adopt a more aggressive military stance. The decision raises fresh concerns regarding the Strait of Hormuz, global oil supplies, and financial market stability.
The 60-day memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran expired without a broader peace agreement. The deal was intended to end military operations and pave the way for negotiations covering Iran’s nuclear program and US sanctions. When asked if Washington would extend the interim agreement, Trump said no, according to Reuters.
Geopolitical Tensions Escalate
A senior Iranian official stated that Tehran would shift to a "fully offensive" posture if diplomatic efforts fail. Iran accused Washington of failing to meet its commitments under the June agreement and warned it could take military action to challenge the US naval blockade.
On Tuesday, Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi blamed Israel for trying to create an impediment to the ceasefire deal. Speaking at the 39th national conference of heads of education departments in Tehran, Araghchi stated that the Israeli regime remains the "biggest opponent and obstacle" to the implementation of the memorandum of understanding. He accused Israel of actively trying to block, derail, and prevent the agreement, saying those efforts are ongoing.
Araghchi further stated that President Donald Trump initially sought Iran’s "unconditional surrender," but shifted toward negotiations after efforts to force regime change, dismember the country, and arm opposition groups failed. He emphasized that Iran’s resistance on the battlefield compelled its adversaries to accept a ceasefire and negotiations on terms put forward by Tehran.
Previously, US intelligence agencies reportedly warned the Trump administration that Israel, under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, could undermine the US-Iran peace deal. Officials said Netanyahu faces political pressure to continue strikes against Hezbollah ahead of elections, while Israel’s refusal to withdraw troops from southern Lebanon could increase the risk of renewed hostilities and ultimately derail the agreement.
Netanyahu said Israel is confronting Iran and that the conflict was "not over yet," stressing that the country’s long-term future depends on its ability to maintain independent defense capabilities.
The dispute centers heavily on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical energy route where tanker traffic has been severely disrupted during the conflict. Iran claims the agreement gives it a role in managing the waterway, while the US rejects that interpretation. Reports indicate the Trump administration has sought back-channel communication with figures connected to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, even as formal negotiations remain stalled.
Market Reaction
US equity futures declined late Monday amid the geopolitical uncertainty. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 10.00 points, or 0.02%, to 53,534.00. S&P 500 futures declined 2.25 points, or 0.03%, to 7,766.50. Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 4.75 points, or 0.02%, to 30,091.25 as of around 9:28 pm EDT.
In commodities, energy prices rose on supply disruption fears. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil rose 0.41% to $84.85 per barrel. Brent crude gained 0.15% to $91.01 per barrel. Natural gas futures advanced 0.22% to $2.696 per MMBtu.
| Asset: | Price/Level: | Change: | % Change: |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil: | $84.85/barrel: | +$0.35: | +0.41% |
| Brent Crude: | $91.01/barrel: | +$0.14: | +0.15% |
| Natural Gas: | $2.696/MMBtu: | +$0.006: | +0.22% |
| Dow Futures: | 53,534.00: | -10.00: | -0.02% |
| S&P 500 Futures: | 7,766.50: | -2.25: | -0.03% |
| Nasdaq 100 Futures: | 30,091.25: | -4.75: | -0.02% |
The US dollar index stood at 99.559, down 0.02% as of around 6:34 am IST. Asian markets traded mixed, with South Korea’s KOSPI rising 3.18% to 7,199.87, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.38% to 68,956.77.
How might a potential Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz impact global shipping insurance premiums and supply chain logistics in the short term?
Could the expiration of the ceasefire trigger a significant flight to safety, driving up demand for gold and other safe-haven assets amidst rising geopolitical risk?
What is the likelihood that the US Federal Reserve will adjust its monetary policy stance if prolonged Middle East tensions lead to sustained inflationary pressure from higher oil prices?

























