Ex-Intel CEO warns Taiwan blackout could spark global crisis
Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger warned that a Taiwan energy blackout could cause a global economic crisis worse than the Great Depression, noting fabs take 90 days to restart. Intel shares surged over 320% in the past year, supported by a U.S. government stake and a $5 billion investment from Nvidia Corp. The company is now producing commercial chips using ASML’s next-generation lithography systems.

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Former Intel Corporation CEO Pat Gelsinger warned that a complete energy cutoff in Taiwan could trigger an economic crisis worse than the Great Depression. In an interview with the “All-In Podcast” cohost Jason Calacanis, Gelsinger highlighted that turning off a fabrication plant prevents operations from resuming for 90 days. He emphasized that the economic impact of a Taiwan brownout would surpass the Great Depression globally.
Gelsinger’s comments follow a period where Intel’s stock faced pressure due to stronger-than-expected capital spending plans from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. However, Intel has staged a strong comeback over the past year. The turnaround was fueled by President Donald Trump’s decision for the U.S. government to acquire a roughly 10% stake in the chipmaker and Nvidia Corp.’s purchase of more than $5 billion in Intel shares, granting it an approximately 4% stake.
Intel’s Strategic Shift
Intel shares have surged over 320% in the past year, driven by these investments and broader U.S. efforts to strengthen domestic chip manufacturing. This growth comes amid concerns over the geopolitical risks associated with Taiwan-based TSMC. The company recently achieved a key milestone with its ASML chipmaking machine. ASML Holding N.V. CEO Christophe Fouquet confirmed that Intel is already producing commercial chips using next-generation High-NA EUV lithography systems.
Leadership and Financial Strategy
Gelsinger attributed Intel’s previous decline to non-technical leadership, stating he was the first technical leader associated with the company in 15 years upon his return in 2021. He criticized predecessors for making significant technical decisions based on spreadsheets rather than technology trends. He also expressed concern over Intel’s financial strategy before his tenure, noting the company returned approximately $79 billion to shareholders through stock buybacks and dividends from 2015 to 2020.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Intel 1-year stock surge | Over 320% |
| Nvidia stake in Intel | Approximately 4% |
| Nvidia investment | More than $5 billion |
| U.S. government stake | Roughly 10% |
| Shareholder returns (2015-2020) | Approximately $79 billion |
How might Intel's rapid stock surge and government backing influence its competitive positioning against TSMC in the global semiconductor market?
What specific contingency plans are being developed by the U.S. government and chipmakers to mitigate the economic risks of a potential Taiwan energy crisis?
Could Nvidia's significant investment in Intel signal a shift in industry partnerships or potential consolidation in the chipmaking sector?






















