Wipro Q3 Preview: Revenue may rise 4% YoY; margins under pressure
Wipro is expected to report modest Q3 performance with 4% YoY revenue growth and just 0.40% profit growth. IT services revenue projected to grow 0.50%-1.20% QoQ in constant currency, supported by Harman acquisition integration. However, margins remain under pressure from furloughs, deal ramp-up costs, and integration expenses. Q4 guidance expected in 0%-3.50% range depending on analyst estimates, with focus on large deal monetization and discretionary spending outlook.

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Wipro is expected to report largely flat profit performance in the December quarter, with modest revenue growth and continued pressure on margins. The subdued outlook reflects ongoing challenges from furloughs, deal ramp-up costs, and integration expenses from recent acquisitions weighing on near-term profitability.
Analyst Expectations Overview
According to an average estimate of six brokerages, Wipro's performance is expected to show minimal growth across key metrics:
| Metric | Expected Growth |
|---|---|
| Profit After Tax (YoY) | +0.40% |
| Revenue (YoY) | +4.00% |
| Sequential Growth | Subdued performance |
The modest growth projections reflect a still cautious client spending environment impacting the IT services sector.
Revenue and Margin Projections
Brokerages broadly expect Wipro's IT services revenue to grow between 0.50% and 1.20% quarter-on-quarter in constant currency terms, with part of the growth coming from inorganic contributions. The integration of the Harman acquisition is expected to provide a one-month revenue boost during the quarter, though it is also likely to dilute margins in the near term.
Brokerage-wise Estimates
| Brokerage | QoQ Growth (Constant Currency) | Key Factors |
|---|---|---|
| HSBC | 1.20% (0.50% organic) | 30 basis point currency headwind |
| Centrum Broking | 1.20% (0.50% organic + 0.70% Harman) | EBIT margin decline of 22 basis points |
| Nomura | 0.50% | EBIT margin decline of 20 basis points |
| Nuvama | 0.50% constant currency, 0.30% dollar terms | 1% contribution from Harman integration |
Impact of Acquisitions and Large Deals
The contribution from acquisitions remains a key theme this quarter. Integration-related costs are expected to keep margins under pressure despite revenue contributions. Kotak Equities expects organic revenue growth of around 0.90% quarter-on-quarter in constant currency, supported by the ramp-up of the Phoenix mega deal and one-month consolidation of the DTS acquisition.
While reported EBIT margins are expected to remain flat sequentially, margins could decline by about 50 basis points on an adjusted basis due to dilution from acquisitions. Notably, Wipro did not implement wage hikes during the quarter, which helped contain some cost pressures.
Guidance and Market Outlook
Guidance for the coming quarter will be a key focus area for investors. Analyst expectations for Q4 guidance vary:
Conservative Estimates:
- Centrum Broking and Nomura: 0% to 2% revenue growth in constant currency terms
Optimistic Projections:
- Nuvama and Kotak Equities: 1.50% to 3.50% quarter-on-quarter growth, including meaningful inorganic contribution
Kotak Equities expects investor focus on the pace at which large deals' total contract value translates into actual revenue, especially given expectations of healthy large deal wins of around USD 2 billion during the quarter. Excess cash distribution, including the possibility of a buyback, could also be in focus given Wipro's capital return track record.
Key Areas to Monitor
Analysts expect management commentary to be crucial, particularly around:
- Demand conditions in key verticals such as retail, energy and manufacturing
- Pricing pressure in large deals
- Outlook for discretionary spending
- Updates on the consulting business, especially in the BFSI vertical
- Client-specific issues and large deal pipeline developments
The quarter's results will provide insights into how effectively Wipro is managing the integration challenges while navigating a cautious client spending environment.
Historical Stock Returns for Wipro
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.51% | -2.03% | -0.15% | +0.74% | -10.84% | +13.38% |
















































