UBL CEO Projects 6-7% Volume Growth Despite Rain Impact, Calls for Beer Tax Reforms
United Breweries Ltd. (UBL) CEO Vivek Gupta forecasts 6-7% volume growth for the current fiscal year, despite adverse weather conditions in key markets. The company reported 11% volume growth in Q1, with its premium portfolio growing by 46%. UBL's premiumisation strategy targets 25% growth. Recent GST reforms could boost consumption, but potential state excise tax increases may offset gains. Gupta advocates for differential taxation between beer and spirits. Challenges include commodity price volatility, aluminum can shortages, and state-wise taxation policies. Heavy rainfall in northern India has led to a double-digit decline in beer category sales for July and August.

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United Breweries Ltd. (UBL) CEO Vivek Gupta has outlined a positive growth trajectory for the company, despite facing challenges from adverse weather conditions in key markets. The beer giant anticipates a 6-7% volume growth for the current fiscal year, showcasing resilience in the face of heavy rainfall that has impacted several states during the second quarter.
Strong Q1 Performance and Premium Portfolio Growth
UBL reported an impressive 11% volume growth in the June quarter, with its premium portfolio showing exceptional performance, growing by 46%. This robust start to the fiscal year has set a solid foundation for the company's annual projections.
Premiumisation Strategy and Market Outlook
Gupta expressed optimism about the company's premiumisation strategy, forecasting a 25% growth in this segment. This focus on higher-end products could potentially drive revenue growth and improve profit margins for UBL.
GST Reforms and Potential Industry Impact
The CEO highlighted recent GST reforms as a potential catalyst for increased alcoholic beverage consumption. However, he cautioned that this positive impact could be nullified if state governments decide to raise excise taxes to offset any revenue shortfalls.
Advocacy for Differential Taxation
Gupta made a strong case for separate taxation of beer from spirits, emphasizing the significant difference in alcohol content. He pointed out that beer typically contains less than 6% alcohol, compared to 40-45% in whisky and other spirits. This differentiation, if implemented, could lead to more favorable tax treatment for beer products.
Challenges and Headwinds
Despite the optimistic outlook, UBL faces several challenges:
- Commodity price volatility
- Aluminum can shortages
- State-wise taxation policies affecting expansion plans
- Significant rainfall across northern India impacting current quarter performance
The beer category has seen a double-digit decline in July and August, primarily due to the heavy monsoon in northern India.
Conclusion
While United Breweries Ltd. faces short-term headwinds due to weather conditions and supply chain challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook for the fiscal year. With a strong focus on premiumisation and potential regulatory reforms, UBL aims to navigate through these challenges and achieve its projected growth targets.
Historical Stock Returns for United Breweries
1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
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+0.14% | -1.57% | -6.43% | -5.69% | -13.75% | +70.71% |