India Inc Eyes Best Earnings Growth in 2 Years, But 9 Companies May See Over 50% Profit Fall in Q3
India Inc is set to report its best earnings growth in two years with 16% YoY profit growth expected in Q3. However, recovery remains uneven with nine companies facing over 50% profit declines, led by IndusInd Bank's projected 92% fall. Challenges persist across exporters, chemicals, pharma, IT, BFSI, FMCG and EMS sectors due to weak global growth, margin compression, and muted consumer demand.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
As the Q3 results season begins, India Inc is positioned to report its strongest earnings growth in two years, with Motilal Oswal expecting 16% year-on-year profit growth for companies within its coverage universe. However, the earnings recovery story remains uneven across sectors, with several companies facing significant headwinds.
Sector-wise Performance Outlook
While the overall earnings picture appears positive, solid recovery may remain elusive for exporters, chemicals, pharma, IT, BFSI, FMCG and EMS sectors. Analysis by Nuvama, Kotak Institutional Equities, and Motilal Oswal reveals at least nine companies are likely to report profit declines of 50% or more year-on-year in the October-December quarter.
Banking Sector Challenges
IndusInd Bank is expected to witness the steepest decline among the identified companies:
| Parameter: | Details |
|---|---|
| Projected Core Profit: | ₹113.00 crore |
| Previous Year Profit: | ₹1,401.00 crore |
| Expected Decline: | 92% year-on-year |
The private sector lender continues to grapple with asset quality pressures and provisions that have weighed heavily on its bottom line.
Chemical and Textile Sector Stress
PI Industries faces significant challenges in the specialty chemicals space, with profit expected to decline between 69% and 80% year-on-year. The agrochemicals major is experiencing headwinds from weak pricing in key molecules, particularly following profit warnings from its Japanese partner Kumiai Chemicals regarding Pyroxasulfone, one of its flagship products.
The textile sector shows severe stress, with Welspun Living likely to swing into losses:
| Metric: | Current Projection | Previous Year | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expected Profit: | ₹0.10 crore | ₹120.80 crore | -99% YoY |
The home textile exporter faces challenges from tariff impacts and absorption of higher costs amid a difficult demand environment.
Energy and Pharmaceutical Sector Impact
GAIL India, the nation's largest natural gas transmission company, is projected to see core profit decline 55% year-on-year to ₹1,742.00 crore from ₹3,867.00 crore. Weakness in its LPG and petrochemical segments due to low regional LPG prices and continued losses in its petrochemical division are expected to impact overall profitability.
In pharmaceuticals, both NATCO Pharma and Orchid Pharma face significant challenges:
| Company: | Expected Decline | Key Factors |
|---|---|---|
| NATCO Pharma: | 73% YoY | Lower gRevlimid contribution vs high base |
| Orchid Pharma: | 73% YoY | Slower exports, pricing pressure, EBITDA margin at 4.4% |
Consumer and Infrastructure Sectors
Bajaj Electricals faces weak consumer demand and adverse operating leverage, with profit expected to tumble 52% year-on-year. The consumer durables company has been struggling with demand scenarios and competitive pressures on margins.
Sapphire Foods India, operating Pizza Hut and KFC outlets, expects net profit to fall 62% year-on-year. The QSR operator battles weak same-store sales growth, with KFC expected to report flat SSSG and Pizza Hut facing an 11% decline.
KNR Construction is expected to report a 55.7% year-on-year decline in adjusted PAT to ₹40.00 crore, despite operating margin improvement of 160 basis points year-on-year due to better execution following weak Q2 performance.
Market Outlook
Weak global growth, margin compression due to increased competitive intensity, and muted consumer demand in certain segments are the primary factors behind the earnings slowdown for these companies. While sectors like industrials, domestic auto, metals, and durables are expected to show strong growth, exporters in chemicals, auto, and pharma segments are likely to face continued headwinds.
Historical Stock Returns for Nippon Life India AMC
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.80% | +0.44% | +8.57% | +11.52% | +25.29% | +184.43% |
















































