HDFC Bank Q1 FY26 Preview: Profit Expected to Rise 9% Amid Higher Provisions
HDFC Bank is set to announce Q1 FY26 results on Saturday. Analysts expect a 9% year-on-year profit increase to Rs 17,652.00 crore, despite anticipated higher provisions. Soft credit growth and margin pressure are foreseen, with Net Interest Margin projected at 3.35%, down from 3.54% in the previous quarter. Net Interest Income is expected to rise by 7% year-on-year to Rs 31,910.00 crore. The bank faces challenges in credit expansion and margin pressure, reflecting the current economic landscape.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
HDFC Bank , one of India's leading private sector banks, is set to announce its Q1 FY26 results on Saturday. Analysts anticipate a mixed performance, with profit growth accompanied by challenges in credit expansion and margin pressure.
Profit Growth and Provisions
The bank is expected to report a 9% year-on-year increase in profit to Rs 17,652.00 crore for the quarter. This growth comes despite expectations of higher provisions, which are likely due to a one-time gain from the sale of HDB Financial Services.
Credit Growth and Margin Pressure
Analysts foresee soft credit growth for HDFC Bank in the first quarter. Additionally, the bank is expected to face pressure on its margins. The Net Interest Margin (NIM) is projected to be around 3.35%, down from 3.54% in the previous quarter.
Net Interest Income
The Net Interest Income (NII) is anticipated to rise by 7% year-on-year to Rs 31,910.00 crore. This growth in NII, albeit moderate, demonstrates the bank's ability to generate income from its core lending activities despite challenging market conditions.
Recent Financial Performance
To put these projections into context, let's look at HDFC Bank's recent financial performance:
Metric (in Rs crore) | Q4 FY25 | Q1 FY25 | YoY Change |
---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 17,616.10 | 16,511.80 | 6.69% |
Revenue | 89,488.00 | 89,639.00 | -0.17% |
Operating Profit | 56,710.10 | 39,992.30 | 41.80% |
The bank has shown resilience in its profitability, with a 6.69% year-on-year increase in net profit in the previous quarter. However, revenue growth has been relatively flat, highlighting the challenging operating environment.
Outlook
As HDFC Bank prepares to release its Q1 FY26 results, investors and analysts will be closely watching for signs of how the bank is navigating the current economic landscape. Key areas of focus will include the bank's ability to maintain profitability, manage asset quality, and drive credit growth in a competitive market.
The anticipated higher provisions and pressure on margins suggest that the bank may be taking a cautious approach in the face of economic uncertainties. However, the projected profit growth indicates that HDFC Bank continues to find ways to enhance its bottom line despite these challenges.
As always, the actual results may differ from these projections, and investors are advised to review the complete financial statements and management commentary for a comprehensive understanding of the bank's performance and future outlook.
Historical Stock Returns for HDFC Bank
1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
-1.48% | -1.33% | +1.22% | +18.54% | +21.22% | +72.75% |