Tempus AI Q2 Revenue Beats Estimates, Stock Slides on Growth Concerns
Tempus AI posted Q2 revenue of $382.5 million, up 22% YoY, with Data & Apps revenue growing 28%. Despite beating EPS estimates, shares slid 2.4% as investors reacted to modest guidance raises and technical weakness.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Tempus AI (NASDAQ: TEM) reported second-quarter revenue of $382.5 million, rising 22% year-over-year and surpassing Street consensus estimates of $379.7 million. Despite the top-line beat and a narrower-than-expected loss per share of four cents versus an estimated 14 cents loss, shares declined 2.4% in after-hours trading to $43.25. The market reaction suggests investors are pricing in concerns over decelerating growth momentum relative to recent quarters and the modest nature of the raised full-year guidance.
The company’s performance was driven by strong demand across its core segments. Revenue from the Diagnostics segment reached $289.3 million, up 20% year-over-year, while Data and Applications revenue grew 28% year-over-year to $93.2 million. Oncology volume growth accelerated by 31% year-over-year, and Data Licensing & Modeling revenue surged 36% year-over-year. Tempus CEO Eric Lefkofsky attributed the results to investments in AI driving growth in the company’s two largest businesses: Oncology Diagnostics and Data Licensing.
Financial Performance Breakdown
| Metric | Value | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $382.5 million | +22% |
| Diagnostics Revenue | $289.3 million | +20% |
| Data & Apps Revenue | $93.2 million | +28% |
| Loss Per Share | $0.04 | Beat est. ($0.14) |
Beyond organic growth, Tempus secured approximately $200 million in new data and applications licenses during the quarter. This contract inflow supports the trajectory of its high-margin data business, which continues to expand faster than the diagnostics segment.
Forward Guidance and Market Reaction
Tempus raised its full-year revenue guidance from a prior range of $1.59 billion to $1.60 billion to a new range of $1.595 billion to $1.605 billion. This adjustment implies approximately 25% year-over-year growth for the full year. Adjusted EBITDA is guided at around $65 million. Notably, this guidance excludes any impact from the pending acquisition of Personalis, which is expected to close in late fourth quarter of 2026 or early 2027.
Technical Outlook and Key Levels
From a longer-term trend perspective, TEM is in a downtrend, trading 15.1% below the 20-day SMA, 14.9% below the 50-day SMA, 13.5% below the 100-day SMA, and 26.9% below the 200-day SMA. Momentum indicators show MACD below its signal line with a negative histogram, pointing to fading upside pressure. The 50-day SMA remains below the 200-day SMA, a death cross that occurred in January, keeping intermediate-term trend traders cautious. With the stock down 23.40% over the past 12 months, key resistance sits at $51.00 near the 50-day SMA area, while support is located at $42.50.
What the Numbers Show
The divergence between the earnings beat and the stock price decline highlights investor sensitivity to growth rates rather than absolute profitability metrics. While the company beat estimates, the 22% revenue growth represents a moderation compared to prior periods, leading the market to interpret the minimal upward revision in guidance as a signal of potential slowdown in the latter half of the year. The acquisition of Personalis remains a key variable for future scale, but its exclusion from current guidance leaves near-term growth dependent on existing operations.
How might the delayed closure of the Personalis acquisition until late 2026 or early 2027 impact Tempus's ability to sustain its current growth trajectory and market valuation in the interim?
Given the deceleration in revenue growth momentum, what specific operational changes or AI-driven efficiencies could Tempus implement to accelerate expansion beyond the current 22% year-over-year rate?
To what extent will the integration of Personalis' genomic testing capabilities complement or cannibalize Tempus's existing Diagnostics segment revenue streams post-acquisition?






























