Telenor revises 2026 outlook as Q2 adjusted EBITDA falls 4.8%
Telenor reported a 0.7% decline in Q2 service revenues and a 4.8% drop in adjusted EBITDA, leading to a downward revision of its 2026 financial outlook. The company cited competitive pressures in Norway and Bangladesh, along with transformation costs, as primary drivers. Despite this, Telenor made strategic progress, acquiring Bahnhof in Sweden and securing defense contracts, while maintaining its dividend and share buyback programs.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Telenor reported a decline in financial performance for the second quarter of 2026, with service revenues decreasing by 0.7% and adjusted EBITDA falling by 4.8%. The company revised its financial outlook for the year downward, citing competitive pressures in Norway and Bangladesh, along with the impact of transformation costs. Despite the softer earnings, the company highlighted strategic progress in its Nordic broadband expansion and defense communications, maintaining its commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks.
Financial Performance Overview
The following table summarizes Telenor's quarterly performance for Q2 2026:
| Metric | Current Quarter | Prior Year | Change vs Prior Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service Revenue | 14.7 billion | - | -0.7% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 8 billion | - | -4.8% |
| Free Cash Flow (before M&A) | 1.8 billion | - | +13% |
| Adjusted EPS | 1.94 kroners | - | -12% |
The reported figures were affected by specific items, including a provision related to a VAT dispute for TV news channels in Norway dating back to 2020-2022. On an underlying comparable basis, service revenues increased by 0.3% while EBITDA declined by 2.3%. The company noted that organic service revenue growth was slightly positive at 0.2%.
Regional Performance and Strategic Developments
Performance across the Nordics was mixed. Norway faced a demanding mobile market with tough competition, resulting in a 2% decline in underlying adjusted EBITDA. However, Sweden and Denmark showed positive momentum, with Sweden reporting a 5.2% EBITDA growth driven by fixed transformation and subscriber gains. In Asia, Bangladesh continued to face macroeconomic headwinds, with service revenues declining by 3.2% and EBITDA down 6%.
Strategically, Telenor advanced its Nordic-centric focus. The company announced the acquisition of Bahnhof in Sweden, positioning it as the second largest fixed telecom provider in the market with an expected market share increase from 15% to 27%. Additionally, the GlobalConnect transaction was approved by the Competition Authority. The company also secured significant defense contracts, including a 3-year agreement with the Norwegian Armed Forces estimated at $750 million.
Revised Outlook and Shareholder Returns
Due to the performance in the first half of the year and market developments, Telenor updated its financial outlook for 2026. For Telenor Nordics, the company now expects organic growth in service revenues and adjusted EBITDA to be flat to low single digit. At the group level, the outlook is for flat to slightly negative organic growth in adjusted EBITDA.
Management affirmed its commitment to shareholder returns. The company generated a net income of 2.5 billion and maintained a strong balance sheet with leverage at 1.4 times. A 15 billion buyback program is underway, with 2.9 million shares repurchased for 0.4 billion kroners in June.
How will the acquisition of Bahnhof and the GlobalConnect approval specifically impact Telenor's competitive positioning and margins in the Swedish fixed telecom market?
Can Telenor sustain its shareholder return commitments given the revised outlook of flat to negative organic EBITDA growth for the full year?
What specific measures is Telenor implementing to reverse the competitive pressures and EBITDA decline in the Norwegian mobile market?

























