Rubrik Q2 EPS beats estimate; shares fall on AI threat framing
- Rubrik Q2 EPS of $0.22 beat the $0.04 consensus estimate
- Revenue rose 38% YoY to $427.3 million, beating estimates
- Shares fell 9.73% despite raised full-year guidance
- CEO highlighted autonomous AI agents as emerging cyber threats
- Subscription ARR grew 33% to $1.66 billion

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Rubrik, Inc. (NYSE: RBRK) shares fell 9.73% to $97 in extended trading on Thursday, despite reporting second quarter fiscal year 2027 adjusted earnings per share of $0.22. This result significantly beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.04.
The Security and AI Operations firm posted quarterly sales of $427.3 million, surpassing the $396.3 million estimate by nearly 8%. The market reaction came even as Rubrik raised its full-year guidance for both revenue and earnings, while emphasizing that "AI agents are attacking us" with autonomous threats.
Financial Performance
Total revenue reached $427.3 million in Q2FY27. Subscription revenue, which accounts for the majority of the top line, rose 37% to $407.2 million. Subscription Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 33% year-over-year to $1.66 billion as of July 31, 2026, with approximately $96 million in net new subscription ARR.
Cloud ARR grew 39% year-over-year to $1.48 billion as of July 31, 2026. Adjusted net new Cloud ARR grew 20% year-over-year in the second quarter of fiscal year 2027.
| Metric | Q2FY27 | Q2FY26 | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $427.3 million | $309.9 million | +38% |
| Subscription Revenue | $407.2 million | $297.0 million | +37% |
| Subscription ARR | $1.66 billion | $1.25 billion | +33% |
| Cloud ARR | $1.48 billion | N/A | +39% |
Non-GAAP net income per share was $0.20, compared to a non-GAAP net loss per share of $(0.03) in the prior year period. GAAP net loss per share narrowed to $(0.30) from $(0.49).
What the Numbers Show
The divergence between GAAP and non-GAAP profitability highlights the significant impact of stock-based compensation on Rubrik's reported results. While the company generated a GAAP operating loss of $71.9 million, it achieved a non-GAAP operating income of $33.5 million after adding back $101.0 million in stock-based compensation expense. This adjustment underscores that underlying operational cash flows are positive, even as equity compensation costs weigh heavily on statutory earnings.
Cash Flow and Margins
Operating cash flow margin stood at 18%, while free cash flow margin was 15%. Cash flow from operations totaled $76.8 million, an increase from $64.7 million in the prior year quarter. Free cash flow rose to $65.7 million from $57.5 million.
GAAP gross margin decreased slightly to 78.4% from 79.5% in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. Non-GAAP gross margin contracted to 81.0% from 81.6% over the same period.
Subscription ARR contribution margin improved significantly to 14.0% from 9.4% in the prior year, reflecting strong net new subscription ARR and improved operating leverage.
Strategic Outlook and Growth Drivers
"Mythos and frontier AI models have fundamentally changed the cybersecurity landscape. This new reality demands not only machine-speed cyber recovery but also autonomous runtime AI agent security," said Bipul Sinha, Rubrik’s CEO.
CEO Bipul Sinha warned during Thursday’s earnings call, "Today AI agents are attacking us. These autonomous agents use AI for vulnerability chaining to find the right malicious combination to intrude, breach and encryption at machine speed."
Management said increasingly autonomous threats are pushing customers toward rapid recovery and resilience rather than relying solely on prevention. Rubrik Agent Cloud has more than 15 paying customers, with proof-of-concept engagements converting into production deployments. However, management assumes only a minimal contribution from RAC to the fiscal 2027 ARR as it continues to refine product-market fit.
Non-cloud deployments are becoming another growth driver as governments and regulated industries seek sovereign infrastructure. Management said the business also carries higher margins because customers self-host the software. Identity Resilience also remains lightly penetrated across Rubrik’s customer base. The company closed its largest international identity deal to date during the quarter, helping an existing customer target recovery in hours rather than the previous roughly seven days.
Management clarified that the recent Strata Identity acquisition contributed zero subscription ARR in the quarter and that fiscal 2027 guidance assumes no ARR contribution from Strata. CFO Kiran Choudhary also said hardware costs and supply constraints had no material impact on subscription ARR.
Guidance
Rubrik raised its outlook for the third quarter and full fiscal year 2027:
- Q3FY27 Revenue: $429 million to $431 million
- Full Year Revenue: $1,685 million to $1,693 million (vs $1,645 million estimate)
- Full Year Subscription ARR: Between $1,880 million and $1,885 million
- Full Year Non-GAAP Net Income Per Share: $0.47 to $0.53 (vs $0.31 estimate)
The company expects weighted-average shares outstanding of approximately 230 million for the third quarter and 228 million for the full fiscal year.
Analyst Reactions
Following the earnings announcement, several analysts raised their price targets for Rubrik:
- BTIG analyst Gray Powell maintained the stock with a Buy rating and raised the price target from $109 to $125.
- BMO Capital analyst Keith Bachman maintained the stock with an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $98 to $115.
- KeyBanc analyst Eric Heath maintained the stock with an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $112 to $120.
How will the rapid adoption of autonomous AI-driven cyber threats impact Rubrik's ability to maintain its projected 14% subscription ARR contribution margin in fiscal 2028?
Given that Rubrik expects minimal ARR contribution from its new Agent Cloud (RAC) in FY27, what specific product-market fit milestones must be achieved to drive meaningful revenue growth from this segment in FY28?
To what extent could the shift toward non-cloud, sovereign infrastructure deployments by regulated industries alter Rubrik's long-term gross margin profile compared to its current cloud-centric model?

































