Riskified Q2 sales beat $89.2M estimate, guidance raised

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Reviewed by
Ashish TScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Riskified reported Q2 2026 revenue of $98.691M, surpassing the $89.203M analyst estimate by 10.64%. Adjusted EPS of $0.02 met expectations. Driven by strong GMV growth and new merchant acquisitions, the company raised its full-year revenue guidance midpoint to $405M.

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Riskified Ltd. reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $98,691 thousand, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $89,203 thousand by 10.64 percent. The ecommerce fraud and risk intelligence provider also posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.02, which met the consensus estimate and remained unchanged from the prior year period. The strong top-line performance, driven by new merchant acquisition and upsell activity across all four regions, prompted the company to raise its full-year 2026 outlook for the second time this year.

Financial Performance vs Estimates

The company’s quarterly sales of $98,691 thousand represented a 21.75 percent increase from $81,060 thousand in the same period of 2025. This acceleration marks a significant improvement from the 7 percent growth recorded in the first quarter of 2026. While the adjusted EPS of $0.02 was inline with expectations, the revenue beat highlights robust demand for Riskified’s platform.

Metric: Q2 2026 Actual Analyst Estimate Variance
Revenue (in thousands): $98,691 $89,203 +10.64%
Adjusted EPS: $0.02 $0.02 Inline

Operational Highlights

Riskified’s gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew 13 percent year-over-year to $41,300 million in Q2 2026. The company maintained competitive win rates above 75 percent and saw a 19-fold increase in the dollar value of ACH transactions processed compared to the prior year quarter. New logo acquisition was a key driver, with five of the top ten new logos headquartered outside the United States.

Cash generation remained strong, with free cash flow reaching $12.9 million for the quarter, up from $5.3 million in the prior year period. The company ended the quarter with approximately $223.6 million in cash, deposits, and investments and zero debt.

Revised Full-Year Outlook

Reflecting the stronger-than-expected second-quarter results, Riskified raised its full-year 2026 guidance. The updated revenue range is now $400 million to $410 million, with a midpoint of $405 million, up from the previous range of $376 million to $384 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also increased to a range of $33 million to $39 million, with a midpoint of $36 million.

CFO Aglika Dotcheva noted that the primary factors influencing results within these ranges include the timing of new merchant go-lives, existing merchant upsells, retention rates, and the broader macroeconomic environment.

How might the significant acceleration in ACH transaction volume impact Riskified's processing costs and overall margin structure in upcoming quarters?

Given that five of the top ten new logos are international, what specific regulatory or operational challenges could hinder Riskified's continued global expansion strategy?

Will the recent guidance raise signal increased competitive pressure from larger fintech players, potentially affecting Riskified's historically high win rates?

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Riskified and Marqeta partner to cut false declines

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Reviewed by
Shriram SScanX News Team
Key Highlights

Riskified and Marqeta partner to integrate pre-authorization risk intelligence into Marqeta's card issuing platform, targeting the reduction of false declines that cost U.S. ecommerce $157 billion annually. Previous implementations show authorization rate increases of up to 5.9% and a 25% drop in false declines, alongside a 90%+ reduction in chargebacks for merchants like Lorna Jane.

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Riskified (NYSE: RSKD) and Marqeta (NASDAQ: MQ) have announced a partnership to integrate Riskified’s pre-authorization risk intelligence directly into Marqeta’s modern card issuing platform. The integration enables card issuers on Marqeta’s network to access enriched risk data before authorization decisions are made, aiming to approve more legitimate ecommerce transactions and significantly reduce false declines. This development addresses a critical inefficiency in digital payments, where limited visibility into merchant-consumer relationships often leads issuers to decline valid orders alongside fraudulent ones.

False declines represent one of the most costly yet least visible challenges in ecommerce. According to 2023 research by PYMNTS Intelligence and Nuvei, false declines put an estimated $157 billion in U.S. ecommerce sales at risk, with $81 billion ultimately lost even after consumers attempted to complete purchases through subsequent payment methods. By providing issuers with additional context on an order before it reaches the authorization stage, the partnership seeks to distinguish trustworthy customers from fraudulent activity with greater precision than transaction data alone allows.

Through the integration, Riskified will feed insights from its global network of merchant transaction data into Marqeta’s Real-Time Decisioning offering. This enhances Marqeta’s AI-powered predictive risk score with richer merchant data, allowing issuers to make sharper authorization decisions without adding fraud risk. The collaboration builds on Marqeta’s existing infrastructure, which processed nearly $400 billion in annual payments volume in 2025 and operates in more than 40 countries worldwide.

Jeff Otto, Chief Marketing Officer at Riskified, stated that pairing Marqeta’s flexible, API-first platform with Riskified’s global risk intelligence means issuers no longer have to choose between approving good customers and managing risk effectively. Anthony Peculic, Interim Chief Product Officer at Marqeta, added that layering Riskified’s pre-authorization intelligence into their toolkit has been demonstrated to increase authorization rates, cut false declines, and reduce chargebacks.

Performance Benchmarks

Riskified’s issuer partnerships have previously demonstrated measurable impact on authorization metrics. In a 30-day period, a top-tier U.S. card issuer leveraging Riskified’s data saw significant improvements across multiple merchant verticals. Additionally, athletic apparel retailer Lorna Jane reported substantial gains after implementing Riskified’s pre-authorization decisioning.

Merchant / Issuer Type Metric Improved Value
Top-tier U.S. Card Issuer (Ticketing) Authorization Rate Increase 5.9%
Top-tier U.S. Card Issuer (Gaming) Authorization Rate Increase 1.4%
Top-tier U.S. Card Issuer (Online Retailer) Authorization Rate Increase 1.6%
Top-tier U.S. Card Issuer (Specific Merchants) False Decline Reduction 25%
Lorna Jane (Athletic Apparel) Bank Authorization Rate Rise 82% to 95%
Lorna Jane (Athletic Apparel) Chargeback Reduction >90%

What the Numbers Show

The performance data from prior integrations highlights a divergence between authorization gains and fraud control. While authorization rates increased by modest single-digit percentages (1.4% to 5.9%) for the U.S. card issuer, the reduction in false declines was substantially higher at 25%. Similarly, Lorna Jane’s authorization rate jumped by 13 percentage points (from 82% to 95%) alongside a chargeback reduction of more than 90%. This suggests that pre-authorization intelligence primarily recovers lost revenue from legitimate customers who were previously incorrectly flagged, rather than merely shifting risk exposure. For Marqeta’s issuers, this implies the potential to unlock significant trapped revenue from the $81 billion currently lost to failed payment attempts, without proportionally increasing fraud liability.

How might this integration impact the competitive landscape between Marqeta and other card issuing platforms like Stripe Issuing or Adyen?

What are the potential revenue-sharing models or pricing structures for issuers adopting Riskified’s pre-authorization intelligence within Marqeta’s ecosystem?

Could the success of this partnership accelerate regulatory scrutiny on false declines, potentially leading to industry-wide standards for authorization transparency?

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