JSW Steel Q1 FY27 Net Profit Jumps 113%; Brokerages Mixed on Outlook

4 min read     Updated on 20 Jul 2026, 09:22 AM
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AI Summary

JSW Steel posted a 113% YoY jump in Q1 FY27 net profit to ₹4,696 crore, with EBITDA rising 24% to ₹9,383 crore and net debt declining 14% QoQ to ₹46,157 crore. Post-results, brokerages are largely bullish—Jefferies (Buy, ₹1,650), Goldman Sachs (Buy, ₹1,525), JPMorgan (Overweight, ₹1,500), Morgan Stanley (Overweight, ₹1,470), and Kotak (upgraded to Buy, ₹1,450)—while Citi maintains a Sell rating with a target of ₹1,100, citing Q2 headwinds from price corrections and higher coking coal costs.

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JSW Steel reported a consolidated net profit of ₹4,696 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 (Q1 FY27), a 113% increase from ₹2,209 crore in the corresponding period of the previous year. Revenue from operations rose 10% year-on-year to ₹47,364 crore from ₹43,147 crore. The company's operational performance improved significantly, with EBITDA expanding to ₹9,383 crore and the EBITDA margin widening to 19.8% from 17.6% in the prior year quarter. The strong profitability was driven by higher sales realisation and robust operational efficiency, despite a rise in input costs such as coking coal.

Financial Performance

Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter stood at ₹9,373 crore, excluding the impact of foreign exchange gains or losses on long-term borrowings. The company's net debt position improved notably, declining 14% quarter-on-quarter by ₹7,713 crore to ₹46,157 crore as of June 30, 2026. This deleveraging was supported by the completion of the JSW JFE Steel joint venture transaction, which included a second tranche equity investment of ₹7,875 crore from JFE at the end of June 2026. The net debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.42x, compared to 0.51x at the end of the previous quarter.

The following table summarises the key consolidated financial metrics for the quarter:

Metric: Q1 FY27 (₹ in crore) Q1 FY26 (₹ in crore) Change:
Revenue from Operations: 47,364 43,147 +10%
Total Income: 48,088 43,497 +11%
EBITDA: 9,383 7,576* +24%
Net Profit: 4,696 2,209 +113%
EBITDA Margin: 19.8% 17.6% +220 bps
Net Debt: 46,157 -14% QoQ

Note: Q1 FY26 EBITDA is restated for comparability.

Operational Highlights

JSW Steel recorded its best-ever Q1 sales volume of 6.25 million tonnes, up 4% year-on-year. Crude steel production for the quarter stood at 6.59 million tonnes, an increase of 3% compared to the same period last year. Domestic sales constituted the majority of the volumes, while exports increased by 46% year-on-year to 0.68 million tonnes. Value-added and special products (VASP) comprised 61% of total sales, with record Q1 sales to the automotive and renewables sectors. The Indian operations reported an EBITDA margin of 21.2%, with revenue from operations at ₹42,894 crore. Subsidiaries such as JSW Vijayanagar Metalics and JSW Steel Coated Products contributed significantly to the consolidated performance, with the former reporting a profit after tax of ₹1,223 crore.

Strategic Developments

The Board of Directors approved the unaudited financial results for the quarter on July 17, 2026. The company continues to progress its expansion projects, including the commissioning of the BF-3 expansion at Vijayanagar and the ongoing Phase-III expansion at Dolvi. The amalgamation of BMM Ispat Limited is subject to regulatory approvals and is expected to be completed in Q4 FY27. Additionally, the company announced a joint venture with POSCO to set up a greenfield 6mtpa integrated steel plant in Dhenkanal, Odisha.

Brokerage Views

Following the Q1 FY27 results, several leading brokerages shared their assessments of JSW Steel. The table below summarises their ratings, target prices, and key rationale:

Brokerage: Rating: Target Price: Key Rationale:
Citi: Sell ₹1,100 Q1 EBITDA beat on higher realizations; India margins at ₹15,110/ton; leverage at 1.5x; expects EBITDA/ton to peak in Q1 with Q2 facing price corrections and higher coking coal costs
Jefferies: Buy ₹1,650 Q1 EBITDA beat estimates by 20%; fifth straight quarter of double-digit EBITDA growth; FY27–28 EPS estimates raised by 1–4%; capacity targeted to double to 80 mt by FY32
Goldman Sachs: Buy ₹1,525 Q1 volumes rose 5.5% YoY despite furnace shutdowns; BF-3 commissioning to lift Q2 volumes; net debt/EBITDA improved to 1.46x after BPSL divestiture
Morgan Stanley: Overweight ₹1,470 Q1 standalone and consolidated EBITDA beat estimates on better realizations and cost control; BPSL slump sale proceeds aided deleveraging
JPMorgan: Overweight ₹1,500 Q1 consolidated EBITDA rose 32% YoY; net debt/EBITDA improved to ~1.5x; JSW Steel remains JPM's top India metals pick; margins expected to recover in 2HFY27
Kotak Institutional Equities: Buy (Upgraded) ₹1,450 Q1FY27 EBITDA beat on higher realizations; India steel margins at ₹15,110/ton; capacity expansion to 49 mtpa by FY30; recent correction makes risk-reward attractive

While the majority of brokerages maintain a constructive stance—citing strong Q1 execution, deleveraging progress, and long-term capacity expansion—Citi remains cautious, flagging potential headwinds in Q2 from steel price corrections and elevated coking coal costs. Kotak Institutional Equities upgraded its rating to Buy, pointing to margin-accretive projects and the attractiveness of the stock following its recent correction. Jefferies and JPMorgan highlighted the company's multi-quarter earnings momentum and its position as a preferred pick in the Indian metals space.

Historical Stock Returns for JSW Steel

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
-0.15%+1.43%-1.32%+7.74%+22.29%+76.61%

How will the anticipated steel price corrections and rising coking coal costs in Q2 FY27 impact the company's ability to sustain its record EBITDA margins?

What is the expected timeline and capital allocation strategy for the newly announced greenfield 6mtpa joint venture with POSCO in Odisha?

Will the commissioning of the BF-3 expansion at Vijayanagar be sufficient to offset the potential volume headwinds from furnace shutdowns in the coming quarters?

JSW Steel Sets Leverage Target Under 2.5X, Eyes Dolvi Phase 3 Completion by September 2027

1 min read     Updated on 20 Jul 2026, 08:38 AM
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AI Summary

JSW Steel has set a leverage target of under 2.5X with a maximum allowance of 3X, and expects its Dolvi Phase 3 asset to be ready by September 2027. The company anticipates higher Q2 volumes from BF-3 ramp-up, while coking coal costs have risen by $12-$15 per tonne with a likely Q3 decline. Its 20 million tonne pipeline targets INR 1,000 per tonne in cost savings, though Middle East conflict-related input cost pressures are raising steel production costs by approximately $20 per tonne.

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JSW Steel has outlined key operational and financial targets, setting a leverage goal of under 2.5X while capping the maximum allowance at 3X. The company also anticipates that its Dolvi Phase 3 asset will be ready by September 2027, in time for the next financial year.

Operational Outlook and Volume Growth

The company expects higher volumes in Q2, supported by the ramp-up of BF-3. However, coking coal costs have risen by $12-$15 per tonne during the period, though the company anticipates these costs will likely decrease in Q3. The following table summarizes the key operational and cost parameters disclosed by the company:

Parameter: Details
Leverage Target: Under 2.5X
Maximum Leverage Allowance: 3X
Dolvi Phase 3 Readiness: September 2027
Q2 Volume Outlook: Higher volumes expected (BF-3 ramp-up)
Coking Coal Cost Increase: $12-$15 per tonne
Coking Coal Cost Outlook (Q3): Likely to decrease

Pipeline Strategy and Cost Pressures

JSW Steel's pipeline, designed to carry 20 million tonnes, is targeting cost savings of INR 1,000 per tonne. This initiative reflects the company's focus on improving cost efficiency across its operations. However, rising input costs linked to the Middle East conflict are posing a challenge, increasing steel production costs by approximately $20 per tonne. The interplay between these cost-saving measures and external cost pressures remains a key factor in the company's near-term financial performance.

Key Highlights

  • Leverage target set at under 2.5X, with a maximum cap of 3X
  • Dolvi Phase 3 asset expected to be ready by September 2027
  • BF-3 ramp-up anticipated to drive higher volumes in Q2
  • Coking coal costs up by $12-$15 per tonne, with a likely Q3 decline
  • Pipeline targeting 20 million tonnes capacity with INR 1,000 per tonne cost savings
  • Middle East conflict contributing to a rise in steel production costs by approximately $20 per tonne

Historical Stock Returns for JSW Steel

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
-0.15%+1.43%-1.32%+7.74%+22.29%+76.61%

How will the company manage the leverage target if the Middle East conflict continues to drive up production costs?

What strategic measures will be implemented to offset the $20 per tonne cost increase due to geopolitical tensions?

How will the anticipated decline in coking coal costs in Q3 impact overall profitability?

More News on JSW Steel

1 Year Returns:+22.29%