Dan Ives says even third-rate Nvidia chips beat Huawei by two years
Dan Ives of Fuber Research argues that Nvidia Corp. retains a substantial technological edge over Huawei, with even its lower-tier chips leading by 1.5 to 2 years. He cites supply chain preferences among Chinese tech firms as evidence of Nvidia's enduring dominance in the AI hardware sector.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Fuber Research managing partner Dan Ives has reinforced the view that Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) holds a commanding technological lead over Chinese semiconductor rival Huawei, asserting that even the US chipmaker's lower-tier products outperform Huawei's best offerings by a wide margin. Speaking on The Real Eisman Playbook, Ives addressed growing market concerns regarding China's rapid progress in artificial intelligence hardware, arguing that investors are underestimating the durability of Nvidia's competitive moat.
Ives stated unequivocally that there is no real debate regarding the performance gap between the two firms. "A third-rate Nvidia chip is a year and a half to two years ahead of Huawei in China," he said. This assessment suggests that Nvidia's advantage is measured in years rather than months, despite ongoing U.S. export restrictions that have accelerated domestic AI chip development in China.
Market Preference for Nvidia
According to Ives, feedback from throughout the semiconductor supply chain indicates that major Chinese technology companies continue to prefer Nvidia processors over Huawei's alternatives when given the choice. This preference persists even as Huawei positions itself as China's leading domestic AI chip supplier amid geopolitical tensions and trade barriers.
The analyst noted that this market behavior highlights the difficulty competitors face in narrowing Nvidia's lead. As demand for AI computing expands beyond training large language models into newer applications such as physical AI and autonomous systems, the gap in capability becomes more pronounced.
Ecosystem as Competitive Barrier
Ives framed Nvidia's advantage not merely as a hardware superiority but as a long-term competitive position built on years of integrated software, hardware, and ecosystem development. He argued that Nvidia remains the cornerstone of global AI infrastructure buildout, making it difficult for competitors to replicate the company's position even as governments and enterprises seek alternative suppliers.
For investors, these comments reinforce the view that Nvidia's moat extends beyond raw chip performance. As AI adoption spreads across cloud computing, robotics, and enterprise applications, Ives believes Nvidia remains the benchmark against which every other AI hardware company is measured.
What the Numbers Show
While no specific financial metrics were disclosed in the interview, the qualitative data points to a sustained demand imbalance. The fact that Chinese tech firms prefer Nvidia chips despite supply constraints and export restrictions indicates that Huawei's current offerings do not meet the performance requirements for advanced AI workloads. This structural preference supports the thesis that Nvidia's revenue visibility remains strong despite geopolitical headwinds.
How might the expansion of AI workloads into physical AI and autonomous systems further widen the performance gap between Nvidia and Huawei in the next 18 to 24 months?
What specific software or ecosystem barriers are preventing Chinese tech firms from fully transitioning to Huawei's domestic chips despite U.S. export restrictions?
Could prolonged reliance on Nvidia by Chinese companies expose them to greater geopolitical risks, potentially accelerating government mandates for domestic alternatives?

































