JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur reiterated an Overweight rating on Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO), projecting fiscal 2026 AI revenue could exceed $56 billion. This estimate implies more than 180% year-over-year growth, driven by advancing custom chip programs with hyperscalers like Alphabet Inc.’s (NASDAQ: GOOGL) Google.
The bank expects AI revenue to grow another two to 2.5 times in fiscal 2027, reinforcing its bullish stance on the semiconductor designer’s market position.
Google TPU Roadmap Remains Intact
JPMorgan pushed back against concerns about competition disrupting Broadcom’s Google Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) business. The firm stated that Broadcom has started ramping Google’s next-generation 3-nanometer TPU v8i ASIC. It also expects the 2-nanometer TPU v9 to ramp in early 2028.
An April five-year agreement between Google and Broadcom remains in effect. The deal secures Broadcom’s role across four TPU generations, from v8 through v11. It includes commitments for rising annual TPU-related revenue through 2031.
JPMorgan noted that reports of potential TPU v9 delays or cancellations do not match its research. Broadcom has also started early intellectual property design work for the subsequent TPU v10 generation.
AI Networking Demand Outstrips Supply
Strong demand persists for Broadcom’s AI networking products. Demand for Tomahawk 5 and the next-generation Tomahawk 6 remains above Broadcom’s supply capacity for this year and next year, according to analysts.
Beyond Google, Broadcom’s custom AI chip programs are in various stages of design, ramp, or production with:
- Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META)
- OpenAI
- Anthropic
- ByteDance Ltd.
- Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE: BABA)
- SoftBank Group Corp. (OTC: SFTBY)-backed Arm Holdings plc (NASDAQ: ARM)
- Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)
- SambaNova Systems Inc.
What the Numbers Show
Broadcom’s revenue visibility extends significantly beyond current fiscal cycles. The combination of a five-year agreement securing TPU generations v8 through v11 and rising annual revenue commitments through 2031 creates a long-duration revenue floor. This structural contract coverage contrasts with the spot-market volatility often seen in broader semiconductor sectors, suggesting that near-term execution risks are mitigated by multi-year hyperscaler commitments.
Broadcom Price Action
Broadcom shares were up 0.23% at $363.32 at the time of publication on Thursday, according to Benzinga Pro data.