Apptopia report finds prediction markets outpace sportsbooks in World Cup DAU growth
Apptopia's July 06, 2026 report analyzed World Cup engagement for major gaming and betting companies, finding prediction markets sustained DAU growth while sportsbooks peaked on June 15. The study utilized a 15-million-device panel to track downloads, sessions, and demographic shifts. These insights aim to help investors anticipate revenue trends ahead of earnings.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Apptopia released a report on July 06, 2026, analyzing mobile app performance for DraftKings Inc, Flutter Entertainment PLC, Caesars Entertainment Inc, MGM Resorts International, Kalshi, and Polymarket during the World Cup. The study highlights a divergence in user engagement trends, revealing that prediction markets sustained daily active user (DAU) growth throughout the event, while sportsbook apps experienced a decline from their peak usage.
The report identifies June 15 as the date when sportsbook DAUs peaked, contrasting with the continued upward trajectory of prediction market platforms. Apptopia's analysis focused on inflections in downloads, daily active users, and average sessions per DAU to gauge user retention and activity levels.
Key Findings
| Metric | Prediction Markets | Sportsbooks |
|---|---|---|
| DAU Trend | Growth continued throughout World Cup | Retreated from highs |
| Peak DAU Date | Not specified | June 15 |
Methodology
Apptopia leveraged its proprietary consumer panel of 15 million devices to examine the demographic composition of the apps. The alt data provider tracked cross-app behavior to identify which users are increasingly switching to competitor platforms. This approach aims to provide insights into consumer churn and engagement patterns that may signal business performance ahead of earnings reports.
Apptopia serves as the flagship mobile data provider for Bloomberg and is a leading data provider for YipitData. The firm offers mobile app intelligence to institutional investors, focusing on publicly traded companies and their competitive landscape.
Will the sustained user growth in prediction markets during the World Cup lead to permanent market share gains over traditional sportsbooks?
How might traditional sportsbook operators adjust their user retention strategies to counter the engagement drift observed toward prediction markets?
Could the divergence in DAU trends signal a broader shift in consumer preference for speculative trading versus conventional sports betting?

































