Sensex, Nifty Open Lower Amid Thin Year-End Volumes and Mixed Global Cues

3 min read     Updated on 29 Dec 2025, 10:37 AM
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Indian equity markets opened Monday with marginal losses as BSE Sensex fell 55.16 points to 84,986.29 and NSE Nifty declined 12.85 points to 26,029.45, reflecting cautious sentiment amid thin year-end volumes and mixed global cues. Metal stocks provided support with Tata Steel gaining 2.26% and JSW Steel rising 1.02%, while financial stocks faced pressure with Adani Ports declining 1.18% and banking stocks witnessing selling.

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Indian equity markets opened Monday's trading session with marginal losses, reflecting cautious sentiment amid thin year-end volumes and mixed global cues. The subdued opening came as investors balanced positive signals from some Asian markets against persistent concerns about foreign institutional investor outflows and typically reduced trading activity during the year-end period.

Market Opening Performance

The benchmark indices showed restrained movement at the opening bell, with both major indices trading in negative territory despite selective sectoral strength.

Index Previous Close Opening Level Current Level Change (Points) Change (%)
BSE Sensex 85,041.45 85,004.75 84,986.29 -55.16 -0.06%
NSE Nifty 50 26,042.30 26,063.35 26,029.45 -12.85 -0.05%

Sectoral Performance and Stock Movements

Metal stocks emerged as the primary gainers on the Nifty 50, providing some support to the broader market sentiment. The sector's outperformance reflected positive commodity price movements and improved demand outlook.

Top Gainers Price (₹) Change (%)
Tata Steel 172.94 +2.26%
JSW Steel 1,105.60 +1.02%
Eterna 284.80 +1.08%
Bharat Electronics 401.50 +0.77%
Tech Mahindra 1,624.30 +0.74%

Conversely, infrastructure and financial stocks faced selling pressure, with port and banking stocks leading the declines.

Top Decliners Price (₹) Change (%)
Adani Ports 1,469.60 -1.18%
Power Grid Corporation 263.15 -0.87%
Axis Bank 1,220.00 -0.67%
Bajaj Finserv 2,004.10 -0.67%
HDFC Life 743.70 -0.63%

Market Analysis and Technical Outlook

Market analysts highlighted the impact of continued foreign fund outflows and thin trading volumes on market sentiment. "Nifty remained under pressure through Friday, ending 100 points lower at 26,042 amid thin holiday volumes, while Sensex fell 367 points to 85,041 and Bank Nifty slipped 172 points to 59,011," said Prashanth Tapse, Senior VP (Research) at Mehta Equities Ltd. "Supportive global cues were overshadowed by FII selling of ₹318.00 crore and lingering US-India trade frictions."

Technical analysts identified key support and resistance levels for the trading session. "The Nifty 50 remains technically constructive despite recent consolidation," said Aakash Shah, Technical Research Analyst at Choice Equity Broking. "Immediate support is placed at 25,850-25,900, and a breach below this zone could drag the index towards 25,800. On the upside, 26,150-26,200 remains a crucial resistance band."

Global Market Cues and Currency Movement

Global markets presented mixed signals, with Japan's Nikkei 225 trading lower by around 0.30%, while South Korea's KOSPI outperformed with gains of nearly 1.50%. US stock markets had risen during the shortened holiday week, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both reaching record highs, supported by robust Q3 GDP expansion at 4.30% annualised rate.

The Indian rupee weakened to close at 89.85 against the US dollar on Friday, attributed to persistent foreign outflows and increased dollar demand from metal importers. "USD/INR is trading marginally higher near the 89.80 zone, recovering modestly amid renewed dollar demand and year-end positioning," said Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money.

Market Outlook and Key Factors

Looking ahead, market participants are tracking multiple factors including India-US trade developments, FII flows, rupee movement, crude prices and upcoming Q3 earnings. "India's macros are in Goldilocks setting with robust economic growth and stable financial construct," said Dr VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments Limited. "The more important factor from the market perspective—earnings growth—is set to recover from Q3 FY26 onwards."

With the IIP data release and F&O monthly expiry approaching, investors are adopting a selective approach, reinforcing expectations of continued range-bound trading in the near term amid thin year-end volumes.

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PNB Shares Drop Over 1.5% After Disclosing ₹2,434 Cr Fraud By SREI Ex-Promoters

2 min read     Updated on 29 Dec 2025, 09:38 AM
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Punjab National Bank shares declined over 1.5% in trading following disclosure of a ₹2,434 crore fraud case involving SREI Group ex-promoters. The bank has fully provisioned for the outstanding amounts, with the fraud split between SREI Equipment Finance (₹1,241 crore) and SREI Infrastructure Finance (₹1,193 crore). Despite current market pressure, analyst coverage remains largely positive with 12 buy ratings versus 5 sell recommendations.

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Punjab National Bank shares are facing significant pressure in today's trading session, opening over 1.5% lower and trading around ₹118.00 following the PSU bank's disclosure of a major fraud case worth ₹2,434.00 crore to the Reserve Bank of India. The fraud involves loan accounts linked to the erstwhile promoters of two entities under the SREI Group, with the bank making complete provisioning for the outstanding amounts.

Current Market Performance

The stock's intraday movement reflects investor concerns over the fraud disclosure:

Trading Metric: Current Data
Opening Performance: Down 1.5%
Current Trading Price: Around ₹118.00
Previous Close: ₹120.25
Intraday Decline: Approximately ₹2.25

Fraud Case Breakdown

The reported fraud case encompasses borrowing irregularities by ex-promoters of two major financial entities:

Entity: Fraud Amount (₹ Crore)
SREI Equipment Finance Ltd: 1,241.00
SREI Infrastructure Finance Ltd: 1,193.00
Total Fraud Amount: 2,434.00
Provisioning Made: 100% of outstanding

The state-owned bank has fully provisioned for these outstanding amounts to mitigate the financial impact, as disclosed in its stock exchange filing.

Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process

Both SREI companies underwent resolution through the Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process under the supervision of the National Company Law Tribunal. The insolvency proceedings for the SREI Group NBFCs commenced in October 2021 following directives from the Reserve Bank of India, which had superseded the boards of both entities citing governance lapses and repayment defaults totaling nearly ₹28,000.00 crore.

SREI Infrastructure Finance, which began operations in 1989 as a construction equipment financier, saw its Resolution Plan successfully executed by National Asset Reconstruction Company Ltd., with NCLT approval received in August 2023.

Financial Position and Analyst Coverage

Punjab National Bank's provision metrics show the impact of ongoing asset quality management:

Financial Metric: Latest Data
Provisions (September Quarter): ₹643.00 crore
Provision Coverage Ratio: 96.91%
PCR Improvement (YoY): +24 basis points
Quarterly Provisions Growth: Increased QoQ and YoY

The Provision Coverage Ratio, a key indicator measuring how much of a bank's non-performing assets are covered by provisions, increased by 24 basis points year-on-year to 96.91%.

Analyst Recommendations

Current analyst sentiment on Punjab National Bank remains mixed:

Analyst Rating: Count
Buy: 12 analysts
Hold: 4 analysts
Sell: 5 analysts
Total Coverage: 21 analysts

Despite today's decline, the majority of analysts tracked by Bloomberg maintain a positive outlook on the stock, with 12 analysts recommending a 'buy' rating compared to 5 with 'sell' recommendations.

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