RBI Governor Malhotra On Inflation Targeting, Rupee Policy And Economic Outlook: Key Highlights
RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra outlined India's monetary policy approach emphasizing central bank independence and domestic-focused decision making. India achieved 8.00% growth in the first half with projections of 7.40% for the current year, supported by strong domestic demand. The central bank delivered 125 basis points of rate cuts with 79.00% transmission efficiency to lending rates. Foreign investment of ₹1,275.00 billion flowed into financial entities in 2025, reflecting long-term confidence in the sector.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra outlined the central bank's strategic approach to managing India's economy amid global uncertainties, emphasizing institutional independence and data-driven policy decisions in an exclusive interview.
Economic Performance and Growth Outlook
India has emerged as a standout performer among major economies, demonstrating remarkable resilience during challenging global conditions. The Governor highlighted the country's robust growth trajectory, supported by strong domestic demand fundamentals.
| Economic Indicator | Performance |
|---|---|
| First Half Growth | 8.00% |
| Current Year Projection | 7.40% |
| Next Year Projection | 7.00% |
| Credit Growth (Bank) | 12.00% |
| Credit Growth (Total) | 13.00% |
The domestic demand-driven growth model has positioned India favorably compared to export-dependent economies, providing greater stability during periods of global uncertainty.
Monetary Policy Framework and Rate Decisions
The central bank implemented significant monetary accommodation, delivering 125 basis points of rate cuts while maintaining focus on domestic growth and inflation dynamics. Governor Malhotra emphasized that policy decisions remain guided primarily by domestic economic conditions rather than external pressures.
Transmission of monetary policy has shown effectiveness across various segments:
| Transmission Metrics | Results |
|---|---|
| Rate Cuts Implemented | 100 basis points |
| Lending Rate Reduction | 79 basis points |
| Transmission Efficiency | 79.00% |
Foreign Investment and Financial Sector Strength
The financial sector attracted substantial foreign investment, reflecting confidence in India's long-term growth prospects. In 2025 alone, approximately ₹1,275.00 billion ($15.00 billion) of committed or actual investments flowed into private financial entities.
These inflows represent patient, long-term capital rather than speculative hot money, underscoring investor confidence in the banking system's resilience built over several years through regulatory reforms and institutional strengthening.
Exchange Rate Policy and Rupee Management
Addressing concerns about rupee volatility, Governor Malhotra clarified that RBI does not target specific exchange rate levels. The central bank's intervention strategy focuses on ensuring orderly market movement rather than defending particular thresholds.
| Currency Management Parameters | Details |
|---|---|
| Forex Reserves | ₹690.00 billion |
| Annual Depreciation Range | 3.00-3.50% |
| Policy Approach | No specific level targeting |
| Intervention Trigger | Excessive volatility only |
The Governor emphasized that currency strength should not be judged solely by exchange rate levels, pointing to India's strong macroeconomic fundamentals including high growth, controlled inflation, substantial forex reserves, and manageable current account deficit.
Inflation Dynamics and Targeting Framework
Current low inflation levels primarily result from food price base effects and soft global commodity prices, representing largely supply-side phenomena. As base effects fade, inflation projections show movement toward the 3.00-4.00% comfort range.
The flexible inflation targeting framework, maintaining the 4.00% target with ±2.00% tolerance band, has contributed to moderating inflation levels since its introduction, though framework modifications remain under government review.
Consumer Protection and Service Enhancement
The central bank prioritized consumer outreach initiatives, recognizing consumers as ultimate beneficiaries of monetary policy. Key improvements include streamlined grievance redressal processes, digitized services, and enhanced delivery mechanisms achieving over 99.50% on-time service delivery.
Historical Stock Returns for Bank of India
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.14% | -1.55% | +4.56% | +28.81% | +63.32% | +173.77% |
















































