Raja Venkatraman Recommends NTPC and NHPC as Top Energy Stock Picks for January 2025
Raja Venkatraman of NeoTrader recommends NTPC above ₹340.00 (target ₹395.00) and NHPC above ₹83.00 (target ₹93.00) amid India's energy transformation. With renewable capacity exceeding 254 GW and storage requirements projected at 230 GWh by 2030, both energy stocks show technical strength. India achieved 50% non-fossil capacity in 2025, five years ahead of targets, with ₹2.00 trillion in renewable investments supporting sector growth.

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Market expert Raja Venkatraman of NeoTrader has identified two promising energy sector stocks for investment consideration, as India's renewable energy landscape undergoes rapid transformation. The recommendations come amid a challenging market environment where the Sensex has declined 2,186 points over five sessions, highlighting the importance of sector-specific opportunities in the energy space.
India's Energy Storage Revolution
India's energy storage sector stands at a critical juncture, driven by the dual challenges of integrating surging renewable capacity and maintaining grid stability as peak power demand approaches 300 GW. The country's renewable capacity has already exceeded 254 GW, accounting for approximately 26% of electricity generation and touching a record 51% on a single day.
| Parameter: | Details |
|---|---|
| Current Renewable Capacity: | 254+ GW |
| Electricity Generation Share: | ~26% |
| Peak Single-Day Contribution: | 51% |
| 2030 Target: | 500 GW non-fossil capacity |
| Projected Storage Requirement: | 230 GWh by 2030 |
India crossed the 50% non-fossil capacity mark in 2025, reaching around 262-263 GW of installed non-fossil power, achieving this milestone five years ahead of its Nationally Determined Contribution targets. The combined installed and pipeline capacity now stands at roughly 507 GW, with the country adding nearly 50 GW of renewable capacity in 2025 alone, supported by investments of approximately ₹2.00 trillion.
Storage Infrastructure Requirements
Managing peak demand nearing 300 GW and annual electricity demand growth of 6-7% will require an estimated 230 GWh of energy storage capacity by 2030 to ensure grid flexibility and round-the-clock reliability. The Central Electricity Authority now estimates total storage requirements of about 411 GWh by 2031-32, of which nearly 236 GWh is expected to come from battery energy storage systems.
Policy support measures include ₹5,400.00 crore in viability gap funding for 30 GWh of BESS projects with 20% domestic value addition, transmission charge waivers until 2028, and state-level mandates such as Rajasthan's requirement of 5% storage capacity for renewable projects above 5 MW.
Stock Recommendations
NTPC - Primary Pick
Venkatraman recommends NTPC , India's largest integrated energy company, as a buy above ₹340.00 with a stop loss at ₹320.00 and target price of ₹395.00.
| Metric: | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Market Price: | ₹336.00 |
| Buy Above: | ₹340.00 |
| Stop Loss: | ₹320.00 |
| Target Price: | ₹395.00 |
| P/E Ratio: | 21.89 |
| 52-Week High: | ₹371.10 |
| Volume: | 10.16M |
The recommendation is based on technical indicators showing the stock has been surviving recent market falls with strong bullish undercurrents. The ADX/DMI indicators suggest a new phase has begun, with the company's foray into nuclear energy and long-term capacity targets providing fundamental support.
NHPC - Secondary Pick
NHPC, India's largest hydropower developer, is recommended as a buy above ₹83.00 with a stop loss at ₹79.00 and target of ₹93.00.
| Metric: | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Market Price: | ₹82.43 |
| Buy Above: | ₹83.00 |
| Stop Loss: | ₹79.00 |
| Target Price: | ₹93.00 |
| P/E Ratio: | 29.16 |
| 52-Week High: | ₹92.30 |
| Volume: | 21.16K |
The stock has been consolidating after strong performance, with prices holding recent trendlines and RSI in the neutral zone, indicating potential for upward movement. As a major force in India's renewable energy landscape managing numerous hydroelectric power stations, NHPC is positioned to benefit from the sector's growth trajectory.
Risk Considerations
Both recommendations carry sector-specific risks including payment delays, interest rate fluctuations, and cost overruns in large projects. NTPC faces operational challenges related to coal cost dependency, while NHPC's operations are heavily dependent on geological conditions and capital-intensive project timelines.
Historical Stock Returns for NTPC
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.44% | -0.09% | +5.16% | -2.10% | +3.26% | +235.50% |
















































