Pre-Budget Market Volatility Creates Strategic Buying Opportunity in Banking and Consumer Sectors
Pankaj Murarka of Renaissance Investment Managers views current pre-budget market volatility as a strategic buying opportunity for long-term investors, particularly in banking and consumer sectors. Despite FII selling pressures, he emphasizes India's robust 7% growth economy with expected 12% index earnings growth next year and normalized valuations after 12 months of underperformance, recommending accumulation of quality companies during market drawdowns.

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Investment expert Pankaj Murarka from Renaissance Investment Managers believes the current market volatility ahead of the upcoming budget presents attractive entry points for long-term investors, particularly in banking and consumer sectors. Speaking to ET Now, the Chief Investment Officer shared insights on navigating market conditions characterized by persistent foreign institutional investor (FII) selling and global geopolitical uncertainties.
Market Fundamentals Remain Strong Despite Volatility
Murarka describes recent market movements as creating "a perfect capitulation in mid and smallcap" segments, offering opportunities for patient investors to acquire quality companies at more attractive valuations. Despite near-term nervousness from continuous FII selling and the approaching budget announcement, he emphasized India's fundamental economic resilience as a 7% growth economy with improving earnings prospects.
| Market Outlook: | Details |
|---|---|
| Expected Index Earnings Growth: | Approximately 12% for next year |
| Economic Growth Rate: | 7% |
| Valuation Status: | Normalized after 12-month underperformance |
| Market Condition: | Perfect capitulation in mid and smallcap segments |
"After last year's slow earnings growth, we are getting back to a stage where we think the index will deliver approximately 12% earnings growth going into the next year," Murarka noted, adding that valuations have normalized following a 12-month period of market underperformance.
Investment Strategy: Long-term Accumulation Over Short-term Trading
Murarka advised a clear distinction between trading and investing approaches in the current environment. For traders, he recommended caution and staying on the sidelines until clearer market trends emerge. However, for investors with longer time horizons, he suggested using market drawdowns as accumulation opportunities.
"Any sign of these kind of panics or drawdowns that they see in the market, they should go and buy into good companies," Murarka stated, emphasizing the importance of focusing on quality companies during market weakness.
Banking and Consumer Sectors Show Strong Promise
The investment chief highlighted two key sectors offering significant value in the current market environment:
Banking Sector Positioned for Growth
Murarka expressed confidence in banks, citing strong balance sheet quality and early indicators of credit growth recovery. Recent earnings reports from sector leaders have been encouraging, positioning banks favorably for the year ahead. The sector benefits from improved asset quality and emerging signs of credit demand recovery.
Consumer Sector Offers Attractive Valuations
The consumer sector presents compelling opportunities after experiencing two years of underperformance, leading to normalized valuations. Murarka remains optimistic about consumer stocks, pointing to significant government stimulus infused into the economy last year. He anticipates increased rural spending in the forthcoming budget, which could provide additional economic support.
| Sector Analysis: | Banking | Consumer |
|---|---|---|
| Key Strengths: | Strong balance sheets, credit growth recovery | Normalized valuations, government stimulus |
| Performance Period: | Encouraging recent earnings | Two years of underperformance |
| Outlook: | Favorable positioning | Anticipated rural spending boost |
Budget Impact and Strategic Positioning
With the budget approximately ten days away, market participants are exhibiting caution. However, Murarka's analysis suggests that pre-budget uncertainty, combined with normalized valuations and improving earnings growth prospects, creates a favorable risk-reward scenario for disciplined investors.
The combination of structural economic strength, anticipated government spending on rural development, and sector-specific improvements in banking and consumption categories forms the basis of Murarka's constructive medium to long-term outlook on Indian equities. This strategic positioning emphasizes the importance of maintaining focus on fundamental strengths while capitalizing on temporary market dislocations.

































