Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are likely to remain cautious until domestic earnings growth catches up with elevated market valuations, according to Radhavi Deshpande, Chief Investment Officer at Kotak Mahindra Life Insurance. In an interview with Moneycontrol, she emphasized that while India continues to be a strong structural growth story, foreign investors are highly valuation-sensitive and currently see better risk-adjusted opportunities in other markets.

FII Investment Outlook

Deshpande expects FII participation to improve meaningfully only when domestic earnings growth begins to align with current market valuations. Until that visibility strengthens, FII flows may remain subdued despite India's long-term economic appeal. She noted that attracting foreign capital will remain a key priority, supported by policy continuity, capital market reforms, and improvements in the ease of doing business.

Union Budget Expectations

Regarding the upcoming Union Budget, Deshpande believes it is unlikely to show a major jump in capital expenditure. She expects capex growth to track nominal GDP growth broadly, noting that the government has already front-loaded infrastructure spending in recent years and now appears focused on sustaining momentum while maintaining fiscal credibility.

Some incremental capex increases are likely, but the key will be how effectively this translates into private sector investment. Markets will watch for clearer signs that government-led spending is supporting stronger corporate earnings and a broader investment cycle.

Employment and Economic Priorities

Job creation is expected to remain a key government priority in the Budget. Deshpande emphasized that durable income growth is essential for sustained consumption, making the quality and stability of jobs crucial for the economy. The government is expected to continue focusing on employment generation through:

• Infrastructure expansion projects
• Manufacturing initiatives
• Targeted welfare schemes that enhance employability

These measures can support long-term economic resilience while ensuring broader participation in growth.

Market Assessment and Earnings Outlook

Deshpande expressed a cautious stance on equity markets, noting that while domestic fundamentals remain resilient, equity valuations are hovering around long-term averages. With persistent global uncertainty, tight financial conditions, and an earnings recovery that is still uneven, she believes the risk-reward profile is gradually improving but selectively.

Regarding recent earnings announcements, she noted that results have been stable but not as strong as markets would have preferred. Management commentary has generally been stable to cautious, indicating that while some sectors may be bottoming out, a broad-based earnings acceleration is not yet evident.

Global Factors and Market Dynamics

When asked about geopolitical concerns, including the impact of Donald Trump, Deshpande stated that while geopolitical developments can influence sentiment and add short-term volatility, markets tend to react more decisively to changes in global liquidity, interest rate expectations, earnings growth, and valuations. She emphasized that these macro and fundamental drivers ultimately shape sustained market direction and are likely to remain more influential than any single political personality.

The CIO concluded that a balanced and disciplined approach remains essential in navigating the current market environment, as some segments continue to trade ahead of fundamentals while the earnings recovery remains uneven across sectors.

Tech Mahindra has recorded a significant block trade transaction on the National Stock Exchange (NSE), highlighting notable institutional activity in the IT services major's stock.

Block Trade Details

The transaction details demonstrate substantial market activity in Tech Mahindra shares:

Market Significance

Block trades represent large-volume transactions that are typically executed by institutional investors, mutual funds, or other large market participants. These transactions are conducted through special trading mechanisms designed to handle substantial volumes without significantly impacting the stock's market price during regular trading hours.

The transaction value of ₹54.05 crores indicates meaningful institutional participation in Tech Mahindra's stock, reflecting the continued interest of large investors in the company's shares. Such block trades often occur when institutional investors are rebalancing their portfolios or when there are significant changes in investment strategies.

Transaction Mechanics

The execution of 316,080 shares at ₹1,710.00 per share demonstrates the efficient handling of large-volume trades through the NSE's block trading platform. This mechanism allows for the smooth transfer of substantial share quantities while maintaining market stability and ensuring fair price discovery for all market participants.