Budget 2026 signals demand revival, private investment thrust, says Motilal Oswal. BDL, UPL among 5 stocks to buy

3 min read     Updated on 26 Dec 2025, 03:19 PM
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Overview

Motilal Oswal Financial Services expects Budget 2026-27 to accelerate domestic demand and private investment, recommending five stocks with equal 20% weightage: TVS Motor Company, UPL, Bharat Dynamics, M&M Financial Services, and Dalmia Bharat. The budget is anticipated to focus on tax simplification, infrastructure spending, and targeted sector support amid external headwinds including 50% US tariffs on Indian goods.

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As preparations for Union Budget 2026-27 gather pace, Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL) anticipates clear policy intent to accelerate domestic demand, revive private investment, and generate employment. The brokerage has identified five stocks across auto, agriculture, defence, financials, and infrastructure themes that could deliver strong gains for investors.

Budget Focus Areas and Policy Direction

The budget is expected to focus on income-tax, GST, and customs simplification to enhance ease of doing business and support fiscal consolidation. Research Analysts Sneha Poddar and Rekha Jaat noted targeted support for agriculture, MSMEs, manufacturing, infrastructure, higher defence capex, EVs, and renewables through credit and incentives.

A strong capital expenditure thrust is anticipated across highways, logistics, defence, rail freight corridors, and connectivity. The budget will also emphasize skilling, rural prosperity, women empowerment, AI adoption, climate action, and digital finance to anchor India's next phase of economic expansion.

Market Context and Challenges

The finance ministry started work on Union Budget 2026-27 from October 9 as per a Department of Economic Affairs circular. These preparations come against the backdrop of an additional 50% US tariff on most Indian goods and other external headwinds, raising risks to India's growth and jobs outlook and prompting calls for stronger export sector support.

Five Stock Recommendations

MOFSL has assigned equal 20% weight to each recommended stock across diverse sectors:

Stock Sector Key Investment Thesis
TVS Motor Company Auto Rural demand recovery, market share gains
UPL Agrochemicals Rural prosperity, export tailwinds
Bharat Dynamics Defence ₹50,000 cr order pipeline, capex surge
M&M Financial Services Financial Services Rural prosperity, MSME credit growth
Dalmia Bharat Cement Infrastructure capex, housing projects

TVS Motor Company

TVS Motors continues to outperform peers and is well-positioned to benefit from the budget's push to boost domestic consumption and rural demand through higher allocations, income support, and infrastructure spending. Key triggers include improving rural sentiment, strong entry-level recovery, and sustained two-wheeler demand. The Apache and Ntorq maker's market share gains, easing discounts, and margin expansion provide strong earnings visibility, making it MOFSL's top pick in OEMs.

UPL

The diversified agrochemical leader is positioned to benefit from union budget push on rural prosperity via higher agri credit, MSME support, and value-chain strengthening, lifting farmer incomes and crop-protection demand. The company's strengths include stronger volumes, export tailwinds, improved working-capital discipline, and post-bond-repayment balance-sheet strength. Rising focus on speciality chemicals supports solid 2HFY26 growth.

Bharat Dynamics (BDL)

Bharat Dynamics has a robust ₹50,000.00 crore order pipeline over five years, with ₹20,000.00 crore targeted in 2-3 years, aligning with expected defence capex surge and infrastructure push. Recent ₹2.50 lakh crore DAC approvals for missiles, undersea warfare, and naval arms leverage BDL's tactical and strategic expertise, propelling FY31 turnover to ₹100.00 billion via indigenisation and lower provisions.

M&M Financial Services

M&M Financial is positioned for Union Budget 2026-27 benefits via rural prosperity, MSME credit, and employment focus, driving PV and tractor loan growth amid surging volumes from festive demand, GST cuts, and restocking. The company targets ₹3.00 lakh crore in assets under management by 2030 at 18-20% CAGR, bolstered by AI underwriting, lower credit costs, controlled opex, and margin stability for strong earnings visibility in retail portfolios.

Dalmia Bharat

The cement company benefits from the budget's infrastructure capex surge, PMAY rural housing, and urban projects, driving cement volume growth. Dalmia Bharat is a low-cost cement producer with high blending ratios, green power, and low freight costs. The company is targeting 62 mtpa capacity by FY28, with cost optimisation endeavours likely to lift EBITDA margins amid sector consolidation.

Historical Stock Returns for Motilal Oswal Financial Services

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
-3.39%+3.54%-8.78%+0.35%-6.05%+464.80%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services
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Motilal Oswal Completes Rs 300 Crore NCD Allotment with 8.15% Coupon Rate

2 min read     Updated on 02 Dec 2025, 08:35 PM
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Overview

Motilal Oswal Financial Services successfully allotted 30,000 NCDs worth Rs 300 crore with an 8.15% annual coupon rate and 3-year maturity. The NCDs are secured by company receivables and will be listed on NSE, demonstrating the company's strong market access and financial position.

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Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited has successfully completed the allotment of Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) worth Rs 300.00 crore on December 12, 2025. The Finance Committee of the Board of Directors approved the allotment of 30,000 fully paid, secured, rated, redeemable, listed senior bonds in the nature of NCDs.

NCD Allotment Details

The company has provided comprehensive details of the completed NCD issuance:

Parameter: Details
Allotment Date: December 12, 2025
Maturity Date: December 12, 2028
Total NCDs Allotted: 30,000
Face Value per NCD: Rs 1,00,000
Total Issue Size: Rs 300.00 crore
Tenure: 3 years
Listing Exchange: National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE)
Issuance Type: Private placement

Coupon Rate and Payment Schedule

The NCDs carry an attractive annual coupon rate of 8.15%, with interest payments scheduled annually. The payment structure demonstrates the company's commitment to regular returns:

Payment Date: Type Amount per NCD (Rs)
December 12, 2026 Interest Payment 8,150.00
December 12, 2027 Interest Payment 8,150.00
December 12, 2028 Interest Payment 8,150.00
December 12, 2028 Principal Redemption 1,00,000.00

Security Structure and Risk Management

The NCDs are secured by a first ranking pari passu charge on the company's present and future receivables. This security structure ensures comprehensive protection for investors:

Security Aspect: Details
Security Type: First ranking pari passu charge
Collateral: Present and future receivables
Minimum Security Cover: 1.00 times outstanding principal and interest
Coverage Period: Until maturity date
Special Rights: None

Financial Position Context

Motilal Oswal Financial Services maintains a strong financial foundation that supports this debt issuance:

Financial Metric: Amount (Rs crore) YoY Change
Total Assets: 33,987.10 +6.78%
Total Equity: 11,130.80 +26.94%
Current Assets: 13,747.00 -5.98%
Current Liabilities: 16,356.80 -6.54%
Investments: 8,850.60 +36.15%

The company's balance sheet shows healthy growth in total assets and equity, with a significant increase in investments portfolio, indicating active capital deployment strategies.

Market Implications

The successful completion of this NCD allotment represents Motilal Oswal Financial Services' continued access to debt capital markets. The 8.15% coupon rate reflects current market conditions and the company's credit profile. With no delays in payment history and strong security coverage, these NCDs offer investors a structured investment opportunity in the financial services sector.

Historical Stock Returns for Motilal Oswal Financial Services

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
-3.39%+3.54%-8.78%+0.35%-6.05%+464.80%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services
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