Budget 2026 signals demand revival, private investment thrust, says Motilal Oswal. BDL, UPL among 5 stocks to buy
Motilal Oswal Financial Services expects Budget 2026-27 to accelerate domestic demand and private investment, recommending five stocks with equal 20% weightage: TVS Motor Company, UPL, Bharat Dynamics, M&M Financial Services, and Dalmia Bharat. The budget is anticipated to focus on tax simplification, infrastructure spending, and targeted sector support amid external headwinds including 50% US tariffs on Indian goods.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
As preparations for Union Budget 2026-27 gather pace, Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL) anticipates clear policy intent to accelerate domestic demand, revive private investment, and generate employment. The brokerage has identified five stocks across auto, agriculture, defence, financials, and infrastructure themes that could deliver strong gains for investors.
Budget Focus Areas and Policy Direction
The budget is expected to focus on income-tax, GST, and customs simplification to enhance ease of doing business and support fiscal consolidation. Research Analysts Sneha Poddar and Rekha Jaat noted targeted support for agriculture, MSMEs, manufacturing, infrastructure, higher defence capex, EVs, and renewables through credit and incentives.
A strong capital expenditure thrust is anticipated across highways, logistics, defence, rail freight corridors, and connectivity. The budget will also emphasize skilling, rural prosperity, women empowerment, AI adoption, climate action, and digital finance to anchor India's next phase of economic expansion.
Market Context and Challenges
The finance ministry started work on Union Budget 2026-27 from October 9 as per a Department of Economic Affairs circular. These preparations come against the backdrop of an additional 50% US tariff on most Indian goods and other external headwinds, raising risks to India's growth and jobs outlook and prompting calls for stronger export sector support.
Five Stock Recommendations
MOFSL has assigned equal 20% weight to each recommended stock across diverse sectors:
| Stock | Sector | Key Investment Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| TVS Motor Company | Auto | Rural demand recovery, market share gains |
| UPL | Agrochemicals | Rural prosperity, export tailwinds |
| Bharat Dynamics | Defence | ₹50,000 cr order pipeline, capex surge |
| M&M Financial Services | Financial Services | Rural prosperity, MSME credit growth |
| Dalmia Bharat | Cement | Infrastructure capex, housing projects |
TVS Motor Company
TVS Motors continues to outperform peers and is well-positioned to benefit from the budget's push to boost domestic consumption and rural demand through higher allocations, income support, and infrastructure spending. Key triggers include improving rural sentiment, strong entry-level recovery, and sustained two-wheeler demand. The Apache and Ntorq maker's market share gains, easing discounts, and margin expansion provide strong earnings visibility, making it MOFSL's top pick in OEMs.
UPL
The diversified agrochemical leader is positioned to benefit from union budget push on rural prosperity via higher agri credit, MSME support, and value-chain strengthening, lifting farmer incomes and crop-protection demand. The company's strengths include stronger volumes, export tailwinds, improved working-capital discipline, and post-bond-repayment balance-sheet strength. Rising focus on speciality chemicals supports solid 2HFY26 growth.
Bharat Dynamics (BDL)
Bharat Dynamics has a robust ₹50,000.00 crore order pipeline over five years, with ₹20,000.00 crore targeted in 2-3 years, aligning with expected defence capex surge and infrastructure push. Recent ₹2.50 lakh crore DAC approvals for missiles, undersea warfare, and naval arms leverage BDL's tactical and strategic expertise, propelling FY31 turnover to ₹100.00 billion via indigenisation and lower provisions.
M&M Financial Services
M&M Financial is positioned for Union Budget 2026-27 benefits via rural prosperity, MSME credit, and employment focus, driving PV and tractor loan growth amid surging volumes from festive demand, GST cuts, and restocking. The company targets ₹3.00 lakh crore in assets under management by 2030 at 18-20% CAGR, bolstered by AI underwriting, lower credit costs, controlled opex, and margin stability for strong earnings visibility in retail portfolios.
Dalmia Bharat
The cement company benefits from the budget's infrastructure capex surge, PMAY rural housing, and urban projects, driving cement volume growth. Dalmia Bharat is a low-cost cement producer with high blending ratios, green power, and low freight costs. The company is targeting 62 mtpa capacity by FY28, with cost optimisation endeavours likely to lift EBITDA margins amid sector consolidation.
Historical Stock Returns for Motilal Oswal Financial Services
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.39% | +3.54% | -8.78% | +0.35% | -6.05% | +464.80% |
















































