Salesforce falls 2.85% as IBM earnings spark software fears
Salesforce shares declined 2.85% to $166.34 on Tuesday, driven by disappointing preliminary results from IBM that highlighted weakness in software and infrastructure spending. IBM missed revenue and EPS estimates, leading to fears of AI disruption and causing analysts to lower Salesforce's price target to $250. Technically, the stock remains below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, facing resistance at $187.50.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Salesforce, Inc. shares fell 2.85% to $166.34 on Tuesday as investors reacted to disappointing preliminary earnings from International Business Machines Corp, which sparked concerns about weakness in the software and infrastructure sectors. The decline in Salesforce stock comes in sympathy with IBM, where revenue of $17.2 billion missed the consensus estimate of $17.86 billion, and adjusted EPS of $2.93 fell short of the $3.02 projection. IBM CEO Arvind Krishna described the results as "disappointing," noting that clients shifted capital expenditure toward servers and storage, causing several large software deals to slip from the second quarter.
IBM Results Drive Sector Sentiment
The shortfall in IBM's performance was primarily driven by its Z mainframe business and associated software stack. This dynamic raised fears that AI tools could disrupt traditional big software vendors, a sentiment that weighed heavily on Salesforce shares. Salesforce and IBM have maintained a close partnership for over 24 years, including joint AI initiatives integrating Salesforce's Einstein platform with IBM's watsonx AI capabilities. This historical relationship increases the sensitivity of Salesforce's stock to shifts in sentiment regarding IBM's business health.
Analyst Adjustments and Price Targets
Following the news, Evercore ISI Group analyst Kirk Materne maintained an Outperform rating on Salesforce but lowered the price target from $260 to $250. This adjustment follows a downgrade by Keybanc to Sector Weight last week. Despite the recent pressure, Salesforce retains a consensus Buy rating with an average price target of $243.21.
Technical Position and Moving Averages
Prior to the latest drop, Salesforce had attempted a rebound, rising 4.46% to $170.60 on Monday. The stock is now navigating a complex technical setup. It remains 6.5% above its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $160.29 but stays below key longer-term averages. The stock is trading 1.2% below its 50-day SMA of $172.68 and 18.7% below its 200-day SMA of $209.93. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.35, indicating neutral territory.
| Metric | Value | Comparison to Price |
|---|---|---|
| 20-day SMA | $160.29 | 6.5% below current price |
| 50-day SMA | $172.68 | 1.2% above current price |
| 200-day SMA | $209.93 | 18.7% above current price |
| RSI | 54.35 | Neutral territory |
Support and Resistance Levels
Key resistance for Salesforce is identified at $187.50, aligning with a prior stall zone and the declining intermediate trend. On the downside, support sits at $146.50, near the 52-week low of $146.32. With the Technology sector under pressure and defensive market flows favoring sectors like Energy, sustained follow-through for tech names remains challenging.
Will the shift in client capital expenditure toward servers and storage observed at IBM persist into the next quarter, further delaying software deal closures?
How might Salesforce differentiate its AI offerings to reassure investors that its platform is resilient against the disruptive trends impacting traditional big software vendors?
Can Salesforce maintain its consensus Buy rating if upcoming earnings reports from other enterprise software peers reflect similar demand weakness?

































