Nvidia stock lags Nasdaq as analysts predict 46% upside
Nvidia stock has risen 12% this year, underperforming the Nasdaq 100 Index, which is up 20%. Analysts forecast a 46% upside to a consensus target of $309, driven by an AI supercycle and strong revenue growth. The stock remains 10% below its year-to-date high.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Nvidia stock has underperformed the broader market this year, rising 12% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index has soared 20%. The stock remains 10% below its highest point this year, as analysts predict significant upside potential. This underperformance comes despite strong fundamentals and bullish projections from Wall Street.
Most Wall Street analysts remain highly bullish on Nvidia shares. Benzinga data shows the consensus target for NVDA shares among analysts is $309, up 46% from the current level. Some analysts expect even higher gains, with Tigress Financial setting a price target of $425 and Baird’s Tristan Gerra projecting a climb to $500. Analysts at Evercore, Melius Research, and Cantor Fitzgerald foresee the shares surpassing $350 over the next 12 months.
The bullish outlook is driven by accelerating revenue and profitability growth as the AI supercycle gains momentum. Nvidia’s revenue surged 85% year over year in the first quarter to $85 billion. Analysts expect revenue in the current quarter to rise 96% to $91.7 billion, with management guiding for approximately $91 billion. If this momentum continues, the company could generate roughly $400 billion in revenue this year.
Strategic developments further support the positive outlook. Nvidia recently received approval to sell its H200 chips in China and launched its Vera CPUs, which it believes will become a $200 billion business. Vera will compete with products from Advanced Micro Devices and Intel. Despite its growth, Nvidia trades at a lower valuation multiple than the S&P 500 Index, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.50 compared to the index’s 23.
Technicals also point to a potential rebound. The stock has formed a descending channel within a bullish flag pattern, a setup that often precedes further gains after a strong surge. Nvidia has remained above its 100-day exponential moving average, providing strong support. The initial upside target is the year-to-date high of $235, with a break above that level signaling further gains toward analysts’ estimates of around $309.
How will the approval to sell H200 chips in China impact Nvidia's revenue growth amidst ongoing US export regulations?
What risks does Nvidia face in the CPU market as it competes with established players like AMD and Intel with its Vera CPUs?
Can Nvidia sustain its projected revenue growth rate if the AI supercycle slows or faces supply chain constraints?

































