CoreWeave Q2 preview expects 108% revenue growth, margin may miss

1 min read     Updated on 21 Jul 2026, 12:17 AM
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AI Summary

BofA Securities analyst Tal Liani maintained a Buy rating on CoreWeave Inc with a $140 price target, projecting 108% year-on-year revenue growth for the second quarter. While operating margins are expected to dip to 2.4% against Street expectations of 2.8%, Liani forecasts a recovery to 14.6% by the end of 2026. The analyst raised the full-year capital expenditure estimate to $34 billion, citing robust demand for AI compute that outweighs competition concerns from Space Exploration Technologies Corp and Meta Platforms Inc.

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CoreWeave Inc (NASDAQ: CRWV) is scheduled to report its second-quarter results in early August, with data center buildout execution and power activation serving as primary variables to watch, according to BofA Securities analyst Tal Liani. Liani maintained a Buy rating with a price target of $140, noting that execution has become the key variable given elevated demand for GPU capacity and growing customer commitments. Mizuho analyst Gregg Moskowitz previously maintained a Neutral rating on the stock with a price target of $100, down from $110, reflecting a change in the firm's valuation model.

Q2 Financial Estimates and Outlook

BofA projects year-on-year revenue growth to accelerate exponentially through 2026, starting at 108% in the second quarter. The firm estimates growth will rise to 150% in the third quarter and 186% in the fourth quarter. However, margins are expected to face near-term pressure. CoreWeave is likely to report a second-quarter operating margin of 2.4%, missing Street expectations of 2.8%. Liani expects margins to improve sequentially throughout the year, potentially exiting 2026 with an operating margin of 14.6% compared to 1.0% in the first quarter.

Capacity Expansion and Capital Expenditure

The company currently operates with around 1GW of active power and targets reaching 1.7GW by year-end. A larger portion of this capacity is anticipated to come online in the back half of 2026 compared to the first six months. Capital expenditures remain a key indicator of buildout progress; Liani raised the full-year capex estimate to $34 billion from the prior projection of $29 billion.

Analyst Ratings and Market Context

Despite stock pressure stemming from competition concerns involving Space Exploration Technologies Corp (NASDAQ: SPCX) and Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: META), Liani asserts that demand for AI compute far exceeds supply. Access to capacity, rather than provider selection, remains the primary gating factor. Shares of CoreWeave had risen by 3.42% to $75.71 at the time of publication on Monday.

Metric Value
BofA Rating Buy
BofA Price Target $140
Mizuho Rating Neutral
Mizuho Price Target $100
Q2 Revenue Growth Estimate 108%
Q2 Operating Margin Estimate 2.4%
FY26 Capex Estimate $34 billion

How will CoreWeave manage the significant increase in capital expenditures to $34 billion without diluting shareholder value?

What specific operational milestones does CoreWeave need to hit in the second half of 2026 to achieve the projected 14.6% operating margin?

How might the entry of competitors like SpaceX and Meta impact CoreWeave's pricing power and customer retention as supply constraints ease?

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CoreWeave falls 30% on Meta cloud plans, DeepSeek chip fears

1 min read     Updated on 15 Jul 2026, 08:30 PM
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Reviewed by
Radhika SScanX News Team
AI Summary

CoreWeave Inc. shares dropped 30% in the last month due to fears that Meta Platforms Inc. will sell excess AI compute, potentially compressing neocloud pricing. Additionally, reports of Chinese startup DeepSeek developing its own AI inference chip threaten to reduce demand for CoreWeave's infrastructure.

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CoreWeave Inc. (NASDAQ: CRWV) shares have fallen approximately 30% over the past month and 11% over the past week. The decline is driven by reports suggesting a shift in the competitive landscape for AI infrastructure providers and emerging concerns regarding chip supply dynamics. These developments raise questions about the future demand and pricing power of dedicated neocloud firms.

Meta Platforms Cloud Strategy

The most significant pressure on CoreWeave stock stems from a Bloomberg report regarding Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META). Meta is reportedly developing plans to establish a cloud infrastructure business aimed at selling access to AI computing power and models to external customers. If one of the largest AI spenders transitions from solely consuming compute to selling excess capacity, the competitive dynamics for dedicated AI infrastructure providers like CoreWeave could change materially. This move raises fears that deep-pocketed technology giants might compress pricing across the neocloud sector.

Chip Supply and Competitive Risks

Further compounding investor concerns is a report from Reuters regarding Chinese startup DeepSeek. The company is reportedly developing its own AI inference chip. If successful, this development could reduce the demand for the specific type of compute infrastructure that neocloud providers such as CoreWeave are currently expanding to build.

Recent Price Performance

The following table details the recent stock performance of CoreWeave Inc.:

Metric Value
1-Week Change -11%
1-Month Change -30%
Current Price $79.90
Daily Change -0.05%

At the time of publication, CoreWeave shares were trading 0.05% lower at $79.90.

How will CoreWeave differentiate its offerings if Meta begins commoditizing AI compute power?

What impact could DeepSeek's custom inference chip have on long-term demand for CoreWeave's infrastructure?

Will other tech giants follow Meta's lead and monetize their excess AI capacity?

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