HSBC Maintains Reduce Rating on Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Despite Target Price Increase to ₹240
HSBC has maintained its Reduce rating on Oil and Natural Gas Corporation while raising the target price to ₹240 from ₹200. The brokerage notes that higher crude oil prices around $75 per barrel benefit the company's earnings, though policy risks may limit supernormal profits. In contrast, HSBC downgraded Oil Marketing Companies to Hold, citing marketing losses and sharp earnings cuts due to elevated crude prices.

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Oil & Natural Gas Corporation faces a mixed outlook as HSBC maintains its cautious stance on the oil and gas major while acknowledging improved earnings potential from higher crude oil prices.
HSBC Rating and Target Price Update
HSBC has maintained its Reduce rating on Oil and Natural Gas Corporation while revising the target price upward. The brokerage firm has raised its target price to ₹240 from the previous ₹200, representing a 20% increase in valuation.
| Rating Parameter: | Details |
|---|---|
| Current Rating: | Reduce (Maintained) |
| New Target Price: | ₹240 |
| Previous Target Price: | ₹200 |
| Price Revision: | +20% |
Impact of Higher Crude Oil Prices
The brokerage highlights that crude oil prices around $75 per barrel are creating a favorable environment for Oil and Natural Gas Corporation's earnings. Higher crude oil prices typically benefit upstream oil and gas companies like ONGC as they receive better realizations for their production.
However, HSBC cautions that policy risks may limit the company's ability to capture supernormal profits from the current crude oil price environment. These policy interventions could potentially cap the upside benefits that the company might otherwise realize from elevated oil prices.
Contrasting Impact on Oil Marketing Companies
While higher crude prices benefit upstream companies, HSBC has taken a different stance on Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs). The brokerage has downgraded OMCs to Hold rating, citing the adverse impact of higher crude oil prices on these companies.
| OMC Impact: | Details |
|---|---|
| New Rating: | Hold (Downgraded) |
| Crude Price Level: | ~$75 per barrel |
| Impact: | Marketing losses |
| Earnings Outlook: | Sharp cuts expected |
The elevated crude oil prices are leading to marketing losses for OMCs and are expected to result in sharp earnings cuts for these companies, creating a challenging operating environment for the downstream oil sector.
Historical Stock Returns for Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.01% | +7.31% | +1.82% | +19.65% | +17.60% | +175.17% |

































