Bill Ackman Says 'Never Bet Against Elon' Amid SpaceX Decline, Explains Why Pershing Square Doesn't Own SpaceX
Bill Ackman praised SpaceX's Starlink as 'enormously profitable' and a 'near monopoly' in satellite internet, and called Elon Musk the 'most talented technologist, entrepreneur of our generation.' However, he explained that SpaceX is not part of Pershing Square's portfolio due to a lack of predictability, and flagged valuation concerns at 'six or seven' trillion. Separately, Peter Schiff and Gary Black expressed bearish views on SpaceX, with Black noting the company's approximately $1.7 trillion market cap should not mathematically yield an enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of about 40 times. SpaceX shares were down 1.56% at $122.06 during pre-market trading on Tuesday.

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Pershing Square Inc. founder Bill Ackman has publicly backed Elon Musk and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX), describing the commercial spaceflight company as a "very interesting business," while simultaneously explaining why the firm does not hold a position in the stock.
Ackman on SpaceX: Admiration With Reservations
During an interview with Money News Network on Monday, Ackman was asked to choose between Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX as an investment. He noted that Anthropic was the leader in frontier models, while expressing concerns about losses for OpenAI in the "foreseeable future."
On SpaceX, Ackman highlighted the strength of its Starlink division, calling it "enormously profitable" and a "near monopoly" in global satellite-based internet services. He also pointed out that SpaceX was the only company capable of providing businesses with the ability to "rent 100,000 GPUs."
Ackman described Musk as the "most talented technologist, entrepreneur of our generation," but raised concerns about the company's valuation. He noted that the "price" — at "six or seven" trillion — left less upside for investors. "The word is never bet against Elon," Ackman said, underscoring his respect for Musk's track record.
Despite this praise, Ackman was clear about why SpaceX does not feature in Pershing Square's portfolio, stating the company did not have the "degree of predictability that we're looking for."
Key Views on SpaceX
| Parameter: | Ackman's Assessment |
|---|---|
| Starlink: | "Enormously profitable," "near monopoly" in satellite internet |
| GPU Rental: | Only company able to offer businesses 100,000 GPU rentals |
| Elon Musk: | "Most talented technologist, entrepreneur of our generation" |
| Valuation Concern: | Priced at "six or seven" trillion — less upside |
| Portfolio Inclusion: | Excluded due to lack of "degree of predictability" |
Ackman's Views on Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft
Ackman also shared his perspective on other major technology companies during the interview. He described Microsoft Corp, Meta Platforms Inc., and Amazon.com Inc. as "cheap stocks."
"If Microsoft and Amazon and Meta are cheap stocks, which we believe they are, you could argue the market's not expensive at all," Ackman noted. To illustrate Amazon's value proposition, he cited the example of purchasing a book at a brick-and-mortar store versus ordering it on Amazon, which he said can deliver the book "in two hours."
Broader Market Sentiment on SpaceX
Ackman's comments came against a backdrop of growing bearish sentiment around SpaceX shares. Economist and Echelon Wealth Partners co-founder Peter Schiff argued on Monday that the AI bubble had officially popped, pointing to SpaceX's stock decline as evidence. Schiff had previously suggested that SpaceX's decline could spell the end for the "overpriced" U.S. stock market.
Investor Gary Black of The Future Fund LLC also expressed bearish sentiments on SpaceX, stating that the company's market capitalization of approximately $1.7 trillion should not "mathematically" result in an enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of about 40 times.
According to Benzinga Edge Rankings, SpaceX fails to provide a favorable price trend in the short, medium, and long term. SpaceX shares were down 1.56% at $122.06 during pre-market trading on Tuesday.
What specific metrics or milestones would SpaceX need to achieve to satisfy Ackman's requirement for a 'degree of predictability'?
How might the commercialization of SpaceX's GPU rental services impact the competitive landscape for cloud providers like Amazon and Microsoft?
Could the divergence between Ackman's valuation concerns and the company's potential revenue streams trigger a broader re-rating of the commercial space sector?

































