Evercore ISI raises State Street target to $200

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Key Highlights

State Street Corp exceeded Q2 expectations with earnings of $3.65 per share and revenue of $4.05 billion, leading to a dividend increase and multiple analyst price target hikes, including Evercore ISI raising its target to $200.

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State Street Corp reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results, prompting analysts at multiple firms to raise their price targets. The company posted earnings of $3.65 per share, topping analysts’ estimates of $3.29. Revenue increased 17% year over year to $4.05 billion, exceeding the Street’s expectation of $3.88 billion. Following the release of the Federal Reserve’s stress test results, CEO Ron O’Hanley announced a 10% per share increase to the third quarter common stock dividend, reflecting the resilience of the franchise and a continued focus on returning capital to shareholders.

Analyst Ratings and Price Targets

Research notes from multiple firms adjusted the upside potential for State Street shares. Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck maintains State Street with an Overweight rating and raises the price target from $183 to $195. Wells Fargo analyst Mike Mayo maintains State Street with an Overweight rating and raises the price target from $196 to $215. Separately, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst David Konrad maintains State Street with an Outperform rating and raises the price target from $195 to $215.

Evercore ISI Group analyst Glenn Schorr maintains State Street with an Outperform rating and raises the price target from $186 to $200. Other firms also revised their targets. Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg maintained the stock with an Equal-Weight rating and raised the price target from $165 to $200. RBC Capital analyst Gerard Cassidy maintained the stock with a Sector Perform rating and raised the price target from $155 to $196. Truist Securities analyst David Smith reiterated a Hold rating and raised the price target from $176 to $191.

Firm Analyst Rating Previous Price Target New Price Target
Morgan Stanley Betsy Graseck Overweight $183 $195
Wells Fargo Mike Mayo Overweight $196 $215
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods David Konrad Outperform $195 $215
Evercore ISI Group Glenn Schorr Outperform $186 $200
Barclays Jason Goldberg Equal-Weight $165 $200
RBC Capital Gerard Cassidy Sector Perform $155 $196
Truist Securities David Smith Hold $176 $191

State Street shares gained 0.9% to $187.23 in pre-market trading. The financial services and bank holding company provides investment management and investment services.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How will State Street's increased dividend impact its ability to invest in growth initiatives?

What are the key drivers behind the 17% revenue surge, and are they sustainable?

How might the Federal Reserve's future stress test results affect State Street's capital allocation strategy?

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State Street Q2 EPS surges 68% to $3.65, targets 35% margin

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Reviewed by
Anirudha BScanX News Team
Key Highlights

State Street Corporation reported a 68% increase in Q2 EPS to $3.65, driven by a 17% revenue rise to $4.05 billion, beating Wall Street expectations. Assets under management grew 23% to $6.3 trillion, and the firm raised its dividend by 10% to $0.92 per share.

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State Street Corporation reported earnings per share (EPS) of $3.65 for the second quarter of 2026, a 68% increase from $2.17 in the prior year, driven by a 44% rise in earnings and a 17% increase in total revenue to a record $4.05 billion. The results topped Wall Street expectations of $3.29 per share on revenue of $3.88 billion. The firm announced new medium-term financial targets, aiming for a 35% pre-tax margin and a return on tangible common equity (ROTC) in the mid-20s, supported by strategic initiatives in digital assets, wealth services, and alternatives.

Operational Metrics

The following table outlines State Street's key operational metrics for the second quarter of 2026:

Metric Value
Assets under custody and/or administration $57.9 trillion
Assets under management $6.3 trillion
Net interest income $860 million
Net interest margin 113 basis points
Pre-tax margin 34%
Return on tangible common equity ~26%

Revenue Drivers

Fee revenue rose 17%, driven by higher Servicing and Management fees along with higher FX trading services revenue. Servicing fees increased 13% year over year, and management fees jumped 29% year over year, while foreign exchange trading surged 26% year over year. Software services fell 2% year over year, while securities finance revenue grew 19% year over year in the quarter. Net interest income rose 18% year over year to $860 million, driven by a 17-basis-point expansion in net interest margin.

Strategic and Financial Outlook

CEO Ron O’Hanley highlighted that the company delivered record total revenue, along with all-time highs in assets under custody and administration and assets under management during the quarter. He noted this performance drove strong year-over-year operating leverage and marked the 10th consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage excluding notable items. The company continues to focus on technology and AI-enabled transformation to improve productivity, targeting $1 billion in run-rate transformation benefits by 2029. Approximately 75% of these benefits are expected to come from expense productivity, with the remaining 25% from revenue enhancements. The firm raised its full-year 2026 outlook for fee revenue growth to 12–13% and net interest income growth to 14–15%.

Capital Returns

The bank returned $631 million to shareholders during the quarter, including $400 million in share repurchases and $231 million in dividends, or 84 cents per share. Following the release of the Federal Reserve’s stress test results, the company declared a 10% per share increase to its third quarter common stock dividend to $0.92, reflecting the resilience of its franchise and its continued focus on returning capital to shareholders. State Street plans a total payout ratio of approximately 80% over the medium term.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How will State Street's strategic initiatives in digital assets and alternatives contribute to achieving the targeted mid-20s ROTC?

What risks could impact the sustainability of the 113 basis point net interest margin given potential interest rate fluctuations?

How will the $1 billion in AI-enabled transformation benefits by 2029 specifically drive revenue enhancements beyond expense productivity?

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