Barclays maintains CoreWeave Equal-Weight, cuts target to $90

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Key Highlights

Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow maintained an Equal-Weight rating on CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) but lowered the price target to $90 from $120.

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Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow has maintained an Equal-Weight rating on CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) while lowering the price target to $90 from $120. The adjustment reflects a revised valuation outlook for the company.

Rating and Price Target

The research note updates the investment stance on CoreWeave, keeping the recommendation at Equal-Weight. The price target has been reduced by $30, settling at $90.

Metric Value
Rating Equal-Weight
Previous Price Target $120
New Price Target $90
Ticker NASDAQ: CRWV

What specific factors led to the downward revision of CoreWeave's valuation outlook?

How might this price target reduction influence investor sentiment towards the AI infrastructure sector?

What are the key risks CoreWeave faces that could impact its ability to meet the new $90 price target?

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CoreWeave Q2 preview expects 108% revenue growth, margin may miss

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Key Highlights

BofA Securities analyst Tal Liani maintained a Buy rating on CoreWeave Inc with a $140 price target, projecting 108% year-on-year revenue growth for the second quarter. While operating margins are expected to dip to 2.4% against Street expectations of 2.8%, Liani forecasts a recovery to 14.6% by the end of 2026. The analyst raised the full-year capital expenditure estimate to $34 billion, citing robust demand for AI compute that outweighs competition concerns from Space Exploration Technologies Corp and Meta Platforms Inc.

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CoreWeave Inc (NASDAQ: CRWV) is scheduled to report its second-quarter results in early August, with data center buildout execution and power activation serving as primary variables to watch, according to BofA Securities analyst Tal Liani. Liani maintained a Buy rating with a price target of $140, noting that execution has become the key variable given elevated demand for GPU capacity and growing customer commitments. Mizuho analyst Gregg Moskowitz previously maintained a Neutral rating on the stock with a price target of $100, down from $110, reflecting a change in the firm's valuation model.

Q2 Financial Estimates and Outlook

BofA projects year-on-year revenue growth to accelerate exponentially through 2026, starting at 108% in the second quarter. The firm estimates growth will rise to 150% in the third quarter and 186% in the fourth quarter. However, margins are expected to face near-term pressure. CoreWeave is likely to report a second-quarter operating margin of 2.4%, missing Street expectations of 2.8%. Liani expects margins to improve sequentially throughout the year, potentially exiting 2026 with an operating margin of 14.6% compared to 1.0% in the first quarter.

Capacity Expansion and Capital Expenditure

The company currently operates with around 1GW of active power and targets reaching 1.7GW by year-end. A larger portion of this capacity is anticipated to come online in the back half of 2026 compared to the first six months. Capital expenditures remain a key indicator of buildout progress; Liani raised the full-year capex estimate to $34 billion from the prior projection of $29 billion.

Analyst Ratings and Market Context

Despite stock pressure stemming from competition concerns involving Space Exploration Technologies Corp (NASDAQ: SPCX) and Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: META), Liani asserts that demand for AI compute far exceeds supply. Access to capacity, rather than provider selection, remains the primary gating factor. Shares of CoreWeave had risen by 3.42% to $75.71 at the time of publication on Monday.

Metric Value
BofA Rating Buy
BofA Price Target $140
Mizuho Rating Neutral
Mizuho Price Target $100
Q2 Revenue Growth Estimate 108%
Q2 Operating Margin Estimate 2.4%
FY26 Capex Estimate $34 billion

How will CoreWeave manage the significant increase in capital expenditures to $34 billion without diluting shareholder value?

What specific operational milestones does CoreWeave need to hit in the second half of 2026 to achieve the projected 14.6% operating margin?

How might the entry of competitors like SpaceX and Meta impact CoreWeave's pricing power and customer retention as supply constraints ease?

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