Oracle cloud growth to hit 94% in Q4 as capacity ramps
BofA Securities analyst Tal Liani maintained a Buy rating on Oracle and raised the price target to $240 from $200, projecting Cloud PaaS/IaaS growth of 94% year-on-year in Q4FY26. The growth is driven by new data center capacity enabling revenue recognition from RPOs, with the cloud segment now accounting for 52% of total revenue. Cloud & Software gross margins are expected to remain flat at 70%.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
BofA Securities analyst Tal Liani has maintained a Buy rating on Oracle and raised the price target to $240 from the previous $200, citing expectations for significant cloud growth acceleration. The revised target reflects robust underlying demand across cloud infrastructure and database workloads. Oracle is scheduled to report its fourth quarter results for fiscal 2026 on Wednesday, June 10.
Cloud Growth Projections
The analyst expects Oracle's Cloud PaaS/IaaS to grow 94% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, accelerating from 84% in the previous quarter. New data center capacity becoming available is likely to enable more revenue recognition from the company's remaining performance obligations (RPOs). The Cloud segment currently represents 52% of Oracle's total revenues, up from 44% a year ago.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Rating | Buy |
| Previous Price Target | $200 |
| New Price Target | $240 |
| Cloud PaaS/IaaS Growth (Q4FY26) | 94% |
| Cloud Revenue Share | 52% |
Margins and Capital Expenditure
Liani expects Cloud & Software gross margins to be 70%, almost flat versus the previous quarter, with total gross margin at 67%. Oracle's capital expenditures are likely to be a focus area during the earnings call, as the company continues to invest aggressively in data center capacity to meet its backlog commitments and overall demand for compute.
Market Performance
The stock has risen more than 30% since Oracle reported its third-quarter earnings and over 45% since March. This rally is driven mainly by strength in the broader software market and reduced funding overhang following Oracle's recent debt and equity raises of around $50 billion. Oracle shares were down 1.25% at $209.16 at the time of publication.
How will Oracle's aggressive capital expenditures on data centers impact its free cash flow in the coming quarters?
Can Oracle sustain the projected 94% cloud growth rate once the initial surge from new data center capacity normalizes?
What are the potential risks if the remaining performance obligations (RPOs) do not convert to revenue as quickly as anticipated?





























