Trump approval falls to 37% as Iran war support declines
A new Economist/YouGov poll reveals President Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped to 37%, with disapproval at 59%. The primary driver is the ongoing conflict in Iran, which 57% of voters now view as the wrong decision, up from 51% in April. Voters increasingly expect a prolonged war, with 46% predicting it will last at least another year, while support for the military action continues to wane.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to 37% according to a new Economist/YouGov poll, with 59% of voters disapproving of his performance. The decline is driven largely by negative sentiment regarding the ongoing conflict in Iran, with 57% of voters stating that going to war was the wrong decision. The poll indicates that support for the war has decreased since April, dropping from 30% to 27%, while opposition has risen from 51% to 57%.
The survey highlights that voters expect the conflict to be prolonged. Approximately 46% of respondents believe the war in Iran will last another year or more, a significant increase from the 26% who held this view in April. Conversely, expectations for a shorter conflict have diminished, with only 8% of voters anticipating the war will last a month or less, down from 21% in April.
War Support and Economic Impact
The negative perception of the war correlates with rising gas prices, a key economic concern for voters. A separate Reuters/Ipsos poll corroborates this trend, finding that 58% of voters disapprove of the military strikes against Iran. Both surveys suggest that the prolonged nature of the attacks, despite ceasefire talks, is weighing heavily on public opinion and the President's approval rating.
| Metric | July 2026 Poll | April 2026 Poll |
|---|---|---|
| Support for War | 27% | 30% |
| War Wrong Decision | 57% | 51% |
| War Last 1+ Years | 46% | 26% |
| War Last < 1 Month | 8% | 21% |
The data suggests a growing pessimism among voters regarding both the geopolitical situation and its domestic economic consequences, particularly as the conflict extends beyond initial expectations.
How might sustained high gas prices influence voter behavior in the upcoming midterm elections?
What are the potential economic ripple effects if the conflict in Iran continues for another year or more?
Could the declining approval rating pressure the administration to accelerate ceasefire negotiations?

























