Harvard CAPS/Harris poll shows Trump approval flat at 42%
Stagwell released the July Harvard CAPS/Harris poll results, indicating President Donald Trump's approval rating remains at 42%. Inflation and the economy persist as the top concerns for voters, with 77% believing inflation is above 3 percent. The survey also highlights strong support for free enterprise over socialism and significant concerns regarding the social dangers of artificial intelligence.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the July Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and The Harris Poll and HarrisX. The survey, conducted online among 1,776 registered voters on July 11-12, 2026, indicates that President Donald Trump's approval rating remains flat at 42%. Voters continue to prioritize the economy and inflation, while expressing distinct preferences on socialism, healthcare, and artificial intelligence development.
President Trump's job approval is highest on immigration at 49% and fighting crime at 47%. Conversely, his lowest approval ratings are on handling inflation at 35% and managing the Iran conflict at 38%. The poll reveals that inflation and the economy remain the top concerns for voters, though the salience of inflation ticked down by 4 points from May 2026. A majority of 77% of voters believe inflation is above 3 percent a year, while 58% believe the economy is shrinking.
Economic and Policy Sentiments
The survey highlights a complex economic landscape where 50% of voters believe the economy is better today than it was when Biden was president. Additionally, 50% of voters believe price increases caused by tensions with Iran will be short-term, an 8-point improvement from May. Regarding policy, 11 out of 13 key Trump policy positions continue to see majority support. The most popular policies include lowering prescription drug prices (86% support), deporting illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (79%), and requiring proof of citizenship to vote (70%).
| Policy Area | Support Level |
|---|---|
| Lowering prescription drug prices | 86% |
| Deporting illegal immigrants who committed crimes | 79% |
| Requiring proof of citizenship to vote | 70% |
| Placing a 15% tariff on imports from all countries | 39% |
| Eliminating mail-in voting | 49% |
| Deporting all illegal immigrants | 55% |
Socialism and Healthcare Views
A significant majority of 78% of voters say the country is better off with free enterprise instead of socialism. However, the poll identifies misconceptions about socialism, with majorities believing that under socialism, people can own homes (60%), businesses (57%), and practice freedom of religion and speech rights (59%). In healthcare, 69% of voters support Medicare for All, despite 72% saying they are personally happy with their current coverage.
Artificial Intelligence Concerns
Voters express apprehension regarding the rapid development of artificial intelligence. While 57% of voters say they personally use AI, 67% say the U.S. should slow down the rush on AI. Furthermore, 82% of voters say AI has social dangers, citing job loss (41%) and power usage (30%) as top concerns. A plurality of 53% of voters say they are more likely to support a candidate who favors a slowdown in AI development.
Geopolitical and National Sentiment
On the international stage, 73% of voters support Israel over Hamas, and 68% say Iran should not be allowed to control the Strait of Hormuz. Domestically, 74% of voters are proud to be an American today, and 75% believe they are living or will achieve the American Dream. The Congressional horserace remains tied at 50-50 among general voters, with Democrats holding a 2-point lead among likely midterm voters.
How might the discrepancy between voter support for specific Trump policies and his low approval on inflation impact the administration's legislative priorities?
Could the 67% voter preference to slow AI development influence upcoming regulatory bills or campaign platforms in the 2026 midterms?
What are the potential market implications if the 58% of voters who believe the economy is shrinking adjust their spending habits accordingly?






















