US Private Employment Growth Slows to 25,500 Jobs Per Week: ADP

1 min read     Updated on 16 Jun 2026, 06:46 PM
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US private sector job growth slowed to a four-week moving average of 25,500 jobs per week ending May 30, 2026, compared to 29,000 the prior week, according to the ADP National Employment Report Pulse. The data, produced in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, reflects a broader moderation in hiring following peak growth seen in late March and early April. The next NER Pulse release is scheduled for June 16, 2026.

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US private employers added an average of 25,500 jobs per week for the four weeks ending May 30, 2026, down from 29,000 the prior week, according to the ADP National Employment Report (NER) Pulse. This decline continues a trend of moderation in hiring activity, reflecting a cooling labor market. The preliminary data is seasonally adjusted and based on a four-week moving average derived from ADP's high-frequency data.

The NER Pulse serves as a weekly estimate of week-over-week employment changes, utilizing a two-week lag to ensure accuracy. The report is produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.

Employment Trends

The table below details the four-week moving average of seasonally adjusted employment changes over recent weeks, highlighting the broader trajectory in private sector hiring:

Week Ending: Change (Four-Week Moving Average, Seasonally Adjusted)
5/30/2026 25,500
5/23/2026 29,000
5/16/2026 30,500
5/9/2026 35,750
5/2/2026 40,750
4/25/2026 33,000
4/18/2026 30,250
4/11/2026 39,250
4/4/2026 40,250
3/28/2026 40,250
3/21/2026 26,000
3/14/2026 15,250
3/7/2026 10,000

The data highlights notable volatility in the labor market, with peak growth observed in late March and early April before a general moderation began. The estimates are subject to revision as new data is incorporated.

Data Availability

The NER Pulse publishes every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, excluding weeks when the monthly National Employment Report is released. The next scheduled release is June 16, 2026. The full report and historical data are available on the ADP Research website and in the ADP Media Center.

Will the continued moderation in private hiring prompt the Federal Reserve to adjust interest rate policies in the upcoming quarter?

How might this cooling labor market trend impact consumer spending and overall economic growth projections for the second half of 2026?

Which specific industries are driving the decline in hiring, and are certain sectors showing resilience despite the broader slowdown?

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QSR stays cheaper than casual dining despite delivery markups

1 min read     Updated on 16 Jun 2026, 06:19 PM
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Revenue Management Solutions (RMS) analyzed pricing across 61,000 U.S. restaurants from April 2023 to May 2026, finding the price gap between QSR and casual dining widened to $12.68. However, delivery fees can inflate a $10.29 QSR meal to $27.37, matching casual dining costs. Consequently, consumers are favoring drive-thru and dine-in options, with only 52% using delivery weekly compared to 75% for other channels.

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Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) meals remain less than half the price of casual dining at the menu level, though delivery markups, platform fees, and tips can erase that advantage, according to a new analysis from Revenue Management Solutions (RMS). The widening price gap between the two segments highlights the impact of inflationary pressures and changing consumer ordering habits on the restaurant industry.

RMS analyzed pricing across 61,000 restaurants representing 21 U.S. chains from April 2023 through May 2026 using its Competitor Price Intelligence solution. The study found that the average casual dining visit, consisting of an entree and non-alcoholic beverage, rose from $20.31 to $22.97. Meanwhile, the average QSR combo increased from $9.46 to $10.29. While both segments raised prices, QSR moved at a slower rate, widening the dollar gap from $10.85 to $12.68.

Delivery Impact on Pricing

The delivery channel significantly alters the cost structure for consumers. RMS found that a $10.29 QSR combo on a delivery app can reach $27.37 after in-app price markups, delivery fees, platform charges, and tips are factored in. This total cost is nearly the same as a casual dine-in visit with gratuity, effectively nullifying the inherent value advantage of QSR.

Consumer Behavior Shifts

Consumers appear to be responding to these cost dynamics. RMS' Q1 2026 Consumer Report indicates that delivery trails all other ordering channels in frequency. Only 52% of consumers report ordering delivery at least once a week, compared to 75% for both drive-thru and dine-in.

Ordering Channel Weekly Usage (%)
Drive-thru 75%
Dine-in 75%
Delivery 52%

Delivery usage reflects ongoing consumer concern over restaurant affordability. Food-away-from-home prices rose 3.5% over the past year, compared with 2.7% for food at home, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. For the first time since RMS began tracking consumer perception, more respondents (72%) believe restaurant prices are rising, compared to 68% who say the same about grocery prices.

Will QSR chains introduce specific value strategies to reclaim the price advantage lost to delivery fees?

How might delivery platforms adjust their fee structures to prevent further user attrition to drive-thru and dine-in?

Could the convergence of delivery and casual dining costs drive a shift in market share between the two segments?

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