S&P affirms US sovereign ratings at AA+/A-1+

0 min read     Updated on 27 Jun 2026, 01:49 AM
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S&P Global Ratings affirmed the US sovereign credit ratings at AA+/A-1+ with a stable outlook, citing expectations of continued solid economic growth.

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S&P Global Ratings has affirmed the United States' sovereign credit ratings at AA+/A-1+ while maintaining a stable outlook. The decision is based on the agency's expectation of continued solid economic growth in the country.

The affirmation covers both the long-term and short-term sovereign credit ratings. S&P Global Ratings provided the assessment through a regulatory filing available on its official website.

Ratings Overview

The following table details the affirmed ratings for the United States:

Rating Type Affirmed Rating
Long-term Sovereign Rating AA+
Short-term Sovereign Rating A-1+

The stable outlook indicates that the agency does not anticipate a change in the ratings over the medium term, barring significant economic shifts.

What specific economic indicators could prompt S&P to revise the stable outlook in the future?

How might the affirmed AA+ rating influence the U.S. government's borrowing costs in the upcoming fiscal year?

What potential risks, such as political gridlock or inflation, could threaten the sustained solid economic growth cited by S&P?

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Core PCE hits 3-year high as Micron surges on earnings

2 min read     Updated on 27 Jun 2026, 01:37 AM
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Core PCE inflation hit a three-year high of 3.4% YoY in May, while consumer spending remained robust. Q1 GDP was revised up to 2.1%. Micron Technology surged on earnings, while Microsoft and Oracle slumped on capex fears, and oil prices collapsed below $70.

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The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge climbed to a three-year high in May, while Micron Technology Inc. delivered a significant earnings beat and crude oil prices collapsed. The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.4% year-over-year, up from 3.3% in April. This persistent price pressure has bolstered investor bets on future interest rate increases, with markets pricing a near-certain hike by October 2026.

Inflation and Consumer Spending

The headline PCE price index rose 0.4% month-on-month and 4.1% year-over-year in May, marking the highest annual rate since April 2023. Despite these inflationary headwinds, consumer spending remained robust. Personal spending climbed 0.7% month-over-month, or $156.1 billion, beating estimates of 0.6%. Personal income also rose 0.7%, its strongest gain since July 2025. Adjusted for inflation, real consumer spending increased 0.3% in May after a flat reading in April.

Metric Actual Previous Estimate
Personal Spending (MoM) May 0.7% 0.4% 0.6%
Core PCE Price Index (MoM) May 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Core PCE Price Index (YoY) May 3.4% 3.3% 3.4%
Headline PCE (YoY) May 4.1% 3.8% 4.1%

Q1 GDP Revision

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the US economy grew at a 2.1% annualized rate in the first quarter, revised up from the second estimate of 1.6%. This marked a sharp acceleration from the 0.5% growth seen in the fourth quarter of 2025. The upgrade was driven largely by a downward revision to imports. Final first-quarter real consumer spending was cut to 0.5%, and real final sales to private domestic purchasers were revised down to 1.7%.

Metric Actual Previous Estimate
GDP (Annualized) Q1 2.1% 1.6% 1.6%
Real Consumer Spending Q1 0.5% - -
Real Final Sales Q1 1.7% - -

Market Movers: Oil and Tech

West Texas Intermediate crude oil traded below $70 a barrel as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz reduced the war-risk premium. Oil is down more than 20% on the month, on pace for its worst monthly performance since March 2020. Persian Gulf exports recovered to roughly 75% of prewar levels.

In equity markets, Microsoft Corp. is down about 18% on the month, its worst June since 2000, as investors dumped the stock over AI capex fears. Oracle Corp. has fared even worse, plunging 30% in June and erasing more than $300 billion in market value after warning of $70 billion in fiscal 2027 capex. The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF is heading for its worst month since inception.

Micron's Memorable Beat

Micron Technology Inc. posted fiscal third-quarter revenue of $41.5 billion, up 346% on the year. Gross margin hit 84.6%. Earnings per share came in at $24.67 versus $1.68 a year ago, nearly a 15-fold increase. Shares jumped 15% on Thursday as the stock saw multiple price-target hikes. Apple Inc. raised prices across its product line this week to offset surging memory costs.

Sentiment and Rates

The University of Michigan's final June Consumer Sentiment rose 9% to 48.9, yet sentiment is still 19% below a year ago. Long-run inflation expectations fell back from 3.9% to 3.4%. The Treasury market saw the policy-sensitive 2-year yield fall about 5 basis points to 4.10%.

How will the surge in memory costs impact profit margins across the broader consumer electronics sector beyond Apple?

Can the robust consumer spending figures be sustained as inflation erodes real disposable income in the coming quarters?

Will the significant drop in crude oil prices act as a sufficient counterweight to offset the Fed's aggressive interest rate hike expectations?

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