Nike stock rises 4% on rebound hopes despite weak market
Nike Inc. shares rose 4% on Thursday, bucking a weak market trend as investors sought a rebound. Technical indicators show stabilization, though the long-term downtrend persists. Analysts expect earnings of 45 cents per share on revenue of $11.39 billion for the upcoming quarter.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Nike Inc. stock climbed about 4% on Thursday, outperforming a weak broader market as investors bought into a rebound despite continued pressure on growth stocks. The Nasdaq fell 1.74%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.65%. Nike's gains appeared driven more by stock-specific buying than by broader market strength, as Consumer Discretionary, the company's sector, was up only 0.2%.
The stock's ability to rally while the Nasdaq declined suggests investors are attempting to build positions after the stock's prolonged selloff rather than responding to a broader risk-on move. Nike is attempting to stabilize after losing about 38% over the past 12 months.
Technical Picture Improves
The stock traded roughly 4% above its 20-day simple moving average of $42.94 and about 2.4% above its 50-day moving average of $43.62. However, it remained 5.6% below its 100-day moving average of $47.28 and 20.4% below its 200-day moving average of $56.07, indicating the longer-term downtrend remains intact.
Momentum has improved, with the MACD moving above its signal line and the histogram turning positive, suggesting selling pressure is easing. Even so, the moving-average structure remains bearish. The 20-day average is still below the 50-day average, while the "death cross" formed in November 2025 remains in place. Technical traders may watch resistance near $47, which aligns with the 100-day moving average, while support sits around $42 near the 20-day moving average.
Earnings And Analyst Outlook
Nike is expected to report quarterly results around Sept. 29. Wall Street expects earnings of 45 cents per share on revenue of $11.39 billion, compared with 49 cents per share and $11.72 billion in the year-ago quarter.
| Metric | Estimate | Year-Ago Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | 45 cents | 49 cents |
| Revenue | $11.39 billion | $11.72 billion |
The stock carries a consensus Hold rating with an average price forecast of $51.64. Recent analyst actions include Jefferies maintaining Buy while lowering its price forecast to $75, UBS maintaining Neutral with a $48 price forecast and Telsey Advisory Group reiterating Market Perform with a $47 price forecast.
Nike Benzinga Edge Ratings
According to Benzinga Edge, Nike scores well on value but trails on growth, quality and momentum. The stock has a Value score of 72.41, while its Momentum, Quality and Growth scores stand at 6.91, 12.45 and 5.21, respectively. Those metrics support the view that the current move is a rebound within a longer-term downtrend rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
ETF Exposure
Nike is a meaningful holding in several exchange-traded funds, including the FT Vest DJIA Dogs 10 Target Income ETF with a 5.47% weight, the VanEck Morningstar ESG Moat ETF with a 2.74% weight, and the Corgi Lifestyle Brands ETF with a 9.69% weight. Large inflows or outflows in those funds can create additional buying or selling pressure in the stock.
Nike shares were up 4.10% at $44.52 at the time of publication on Thursday.
Will Nike's upcoming earnings report on Sept. 29 provide enough catalyst to break the current downtrend?
How might sustained outflows from growth-focused ETFs impact Nike's stock given its weak momentum scores?
Can Nike stabilize its declining revenue and earnings to meet Wall Street's lowered expectations?

































