Bajaj Finance Surges 45% Despite Leadership Changes and Credit Cost Concerns
Bajaj Finance's stock price has risen 45%, outperforming the Nifty Financial Services Index's 13% increase. The company's stock value grew from Rs 60 in 2015 to Rs 1,006, with a 33% CAGR over a decade. Profit After Tax increased by 1,755% and Assets Under Management by 1,186% since 2015. However, the company faces challenges including increased credit cost guidance, leadership transition, and credit quality concerns in certain loan segments. Management projects easing credit costs, 25-27% AUM growth, and 23-24% profit growth for FY26. The stock currently trades at a price-to-book ratio of 6.44, with mixed analyst recommendations.

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Bajaj Finance has demonstrated remarkable growth, with its stock price soaring 45% and outpacing the Nifty Financial Services Index, which rose by 13%. This impressive performance is part of a longer-term trend that has seen the company's stock value increase from Rs 60 in 2015 to Rs 1,006, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33% over the decade.
Financial Performance
The company's financial metrics have shown substantial improvement over the years:
Metric | 2015 | Current | Growth |
---|---|---|---|
Profit After Tax | Rs 898.00 crore | Rs 16,661.00 crore | 1,755% |
Assets Under Management | Rs 32,410.00 crore | Rs 4.17 lakh crore | 1,186% |
This growth in profitability and assets under management underscores Bajaj Finance's strong market position and operational efficiency.
Challenges and Concerns
Despite the overall positive performance, Bajaj Finance faced some challenges:
Credit Cost Guidance: Management raised the credit cost guidance to 2.00-2.05% from the previous 1.75-1.85% in the September quarter. This adjustment led to a 15% decline in share price between September and October.
Leadership Transition: The company experienced a leadership change as Rajeev Jain moved to Bajaj Finserv, leaving Bajaj Finance without a permanent head.
Credit Quality Issues: Concerns emerged regarding credit quality in the two-wheeler and three-wheeler loan segments.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead to FY26, Bajaj Finance's management has provided the following projections:
- Credit costs are expected to ease to 1.85-1.95%
- Assets under management growth is projected at 25-27%
- Profit growth is anticipated to be 23-24%
Market Valuation and Analyst Sentiment
As of the latest data, Bajaj Finance's stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 6.44 times. Analyst consensus shows a mixed outlook:
- 21 buy ratings
- 13 hold ratings
- 5 sell recommendations
The average expected return based on these analyst recommendations is -1.30%.
Conclusion
Bajaj Finance has shown impressive long-term growth, with its stock price and financial metrics demonstrating significant improvement over the past decade. However, recent challenges such as leadership changes, credit cost concerns, and mixed analyst sentiment suggest a complex landscape ahead for the company. Investors and market watchers will likely keep a close eye on how Bajaj Finance navigates these challenges while maintaining its growth trajectory in the coming years.
Historical Stock Returns for Bajaj Finance
1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
+1.89% | +2.22% | +13.84% | +12.82% | +35.02% | +216.13% |