Rupee Weakens 8 Paise to 90.98 Against Dollar Amid Foreign Fund Outflows

2 min read     Updated on 20 Jan 2026, 10:02 AM
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Overview

The Indian rupee declined 8 paise to 90.98 against the US dollar in early Tuesday trade, pressured by strong dollar demand from metal importers and sustained foreign fund outflows. Foreign investors have withdrawn over $3 billion from Indian equities in January, with FIIs offloading ₹3,262.82 crores on Monday alone. Rising geopolitical uncertainty and US expansionary signals have increased global risk aversion, while domestic equity markets also declined with Sensex falling 311.33 points and Nifty dropping 99.5 points.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

The Indian rupee weakened 8 paise to 90.98 against the US dollar in early trade on Tuesday, as strong dollar demand from metal importers and persistent foreign fund outflows weighed on investor sentiment. The currency's decline reflects broader pressure on emerging market currencies amid rising geopolitical uncertainty and risk aversion.

Currency Performance and Market Dynamics

At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 90.91 before losing ground to trade at 90.98 against the greenback. This represents an 8 paise decline from its previous close of 90.90, which itself was down 12 paise from the prior session.

Parameter: Value
Opening Level: 90.91
Current Trading Level: 90.98
Previous Close: 90.90
Daily Decline: 8 paise
Monday's Decline: 12 paise

The rupee's recent performance has been concerning, with the currency trading near its record lows. On December 16, 2025, the rupee reached its lowest intra-day level of 91.14 and its lowest closing level of 90.93 against the American currency.

Foreign Investment Outflows Impact

Foreign institutional investors have significantly impacted rupee performance through sustained equity outflows. According to exchange data, FIIs offloaded equities worth ₹3,262.82 crores on Monday alone. More broadly, foreign investors have withdrawn more than $3 billion from Indian equities in January, making the rupee increasingly sensitive to dollar demand.

"Foreign investors have withdrawn more than USD 3 billion from Indian equities so far in January, and the steady outflow has made the rupee increasingly sensitive to even modest dollar demand. With capital moving out, stability becomes harder to defend," said Amit Pabari, MD of CR Forex Advisors.

Global Market Factors

Rising geopolitical uncertainty, including renewed US expansionary signals, has increased risk aversion globally. "The US Supreme Court will be giving a decision on the legality of the Trump Tariffs, which will affect the world markets directly. Presently, all the markets are in risk-off mode with Gold and Silver getting bought as safe havens," explained Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director at Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP.

Global Indicator: Performance
Dollar Index: 98.95 (down 0.44%)
Brent Crude: $64.01 per barrel (up 0.11%)

Domestic Equity Market Performance

The sluggish domestic stock market has been triggered by the exodus of foreign capital. In early trade, both major indices declined significantly:

Index: Level Change
Sensex: 82,934.85 -311.33 points
Nifty: 25,486 -99.5 points

Technical Outlook

Pabari noted that ongoing global uncertainty, combined with a sustained break above 91.07, could pave the way for a move toward the 91.70–92.00 zone, unless offset by active intervention from the RBI. On the downside, any corrective move is likely to find initial support in the 90.30–90.50 range.

The combination of persistent foreign fund outflows, strong dollar demand from importers, and global risk-off sentiment continues to challenge the rupee's stability in the near term.

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Rupee breaches 91/USD mark for second time in a month, ends 14 paise lower

2 min read     Updated on 19 Jan 2026, 05:07 PM
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Reviewed by
Radhika SScanX News Team
Overview

The Indian rupee breached the 91-a-dollar mark for the second time in a month, closing 14 paise lower at 90.92 on Monday. The decline occurred despite weak dollar and lower crude prices, driven by FII outflows worth ₹4,346.13 crore and global trade uncertainties. Analysts expect continued negative bias with USD-INR projected to trade between ₹90.60-91.30.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

The Indian rupee breached the 91-a-dollar mark for the second time in a month before closing 14 paise lower at 90.92 against the US dollar on Monday. The currency decline was attributed to renewed concerns over global trade uncertainties and accelerated foreign fund withdrawals from domestic markets.

Currency Performance and Market Dynamics

Despite favorable external conditions including a weak American currency and lower crude oil prices, the rupee faced significant selling pressure from domestic equity markets. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 90.68 and slid past the crucial 91.01 level during the trading session before settling at 90.92 (provisional).

Parameter: Value
Opening Level: 90.68
Intraday High: Above 91.01
Closing Level: 90.92 (provisional)
Daily Decline: 14 paise
Distance from Record Low: 1 paise above record closing

The rupee's current closing level stands just 1 paise above its record low closing level. On December 16, 2025, the currency had reached its lowest intraday level of 91.14 and its lowest closing level of 90.93 against the American currency.

Recent Performance Trend

The Monday decline marked the fourth consecutive session of rupee weakness. On Friday, the rupee had crashed 44 paise to settle near its lowest level at 90.78 against the US dollar, following a 17 paise loss in the preceding two sessions.

Anuj Choudhary, Research Analyst at Mirae Asset ShareKhan, noted that the rupee drifted lower amid persistent FII outflows and weak domestic markets. Dollar demand from corporates and hedgers further pressured the currency during the trading session.

Global Market Factors

Investors expressed concerns after US President Donald Trump announced tariffs on European countries if they resisted his plan to control Greenland. This development added to the global trade uncertainty that has been weighing on emerging market currencies.

Global Indicator: Performance
Dollar Index: 98.97 (down 0.23%)
Brent Crude: USD 63.53/barrel (down 0.94%)
Sensex: 83,246.18 (down 324.17 points)
Nifty: 25,585.50 (down 108.85 points)

Market Outlook

Choudhary projected that the rupee is expected to trade with a negative bias amid risk aversion in global markets and brewing geopolitical tensions between the US and European nations over control of Greenland. He indicated that FII outflows and uncertainty over trade deal talks may continue to pressure the rupee.

However, he noted that a weak dollar and easing tensions between the US and Iran may provide support to the rupee at lower levels. The analyst projected the USD-INR spot price to trade in a range of ₹90.60 to ₹91.30.

Foreign Investment Flows

Foreign institutional investors continued their selling spree, offloading equities worth ₹4,346.13 crore on Friday according to exchange data. This persistent outflow has been a key factor contributing to the rupee's weakness over recent sessions, despite relatively favorable global conditions for emerging market currencies.

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