Verizon raises adjusted EPS guidance to $4.99-$5.04 on strong KPIs
Verizon reported Q2 revenue of $34.25 billion, missing estimates, but beat adjusted EPS expectations at $1.30. The company raised full-year guidance and showed strong subscriber growth, with postpaid net adds reaching 184,000. Analysts remain positive but emphasize the need for continued subscriber gains in H2.

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Verizon Communications Inc raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance to a range of $4.99 to $5.04 from $4.95 to $4.99, signaling confidence in operational resilience despite a second-quarter revenue miss. The telecom giant reported Q2 revenue of $34.25 billion, falling short of the $35.11 billion consensus estimate, driven by a material decline in wireless equipment revenue due to slowing upgrade volumes and lower device subsidies. However, the company delivered on key performance indicators (KPIs) critical to investors, including accelerating mobility and broadband service revenue growth of 2.8% year-on-year.
The divergence between GAAP and adjusted metrics highlights the impact of non-recurring items on Verizon’s bottom line. GAAP diluted EPS fell 22% year-over-year to 92 cents, with net income declining 22.9% to $3.9 billion. In contrast, adjusted EPS reached $1.30, beating the $1.27 analyst consensus. This performance suggests that core services remain robust even as hardware sales face headwinds. Following the results, Verizon shares gained 2.6% to trade at $126.56, reflecting investor approval of the revised forward-looking outlook and improved cost efficiencies.
Subscriber Growth and Churn Improvements
Verizon’s operational strength was evident in its subscriber metrics, which showed significant improvement in the second quarter. Postpaid phone net adds surged to 184,000, up from 55,000 in the previous quarter and surpassing the consensus estimate of 111,000. Consumer phone churn improved to 0.84% from 0.90%, while total postpaid phone churn decreased to 0.92% from 0.97% last year. Broadband subscribers grew 12% year-on-year to 348,000, comprising 193,000 fixed wireless net adds and 155,000 fiber net adds, bringing total broadband connections to 17.1 million.
| Metric | Q2 Result | Previous Quarter | Consensus Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Postpaid Phone Net Adds | 184,000 | 55,000 | 111,000 |
| Consumer Phone Churn | 0.84% | 0.90% | — |
| Total Postpaid Churn | 0.92% | 0.97% | — |
| Broadband Subscribers | 348,000 | — | — |
Analyst Outlook and Future Challenges
Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi reiterated a Sector Outperform rating on Verizon, raising the price target from $51.50 to $52.50. Yaghi noted that while Verizon delivered on key KPIs, the company added only 239,000 postpaid phone net adds in the first half of the year, necessitating a significant ramp in the second half to meet annual targets. "We continue to think the cumulative effect of better churn management, lower subsidy intensity, and a more converged go-to-market model should support a more sustainable growth run-rate, but the 2H subscriber ramp still needs to come through," Yaghi stated.
Other analysts also adjusted their targets following the earnings release. Barclays’ Kannan Venkatesh raised his target to $46 from $45, maintaining an Equal-Weight rating. Wells Fargo’s Steven Cahall increased his target to $47 from $43, keeping an Equal-Weight rating. RBC Capital’s Jonathan Atkin raised his target to $47 from $46, maintaining a Sector Perform rating.
What the Numbers Show
The raise in full-year guidance to above $4.99 indicates management’s belief that the revenue miss was temporary or offset by cost efficiencies elsewhere in the business cycle. The acceleration in service revenue growth to 2.8% year-on-year, combined with improved churn metrics, suggests a stabilizing trend in Verizon’s core wireless business. However, the reliance on a second-half subscriber ramp to meet annual postpaid add targets highlights ongoing execution risks. Investors will be closely monitoring whether the company can sustain this momentum amidst competitive pressures and potential fluctuations in device upgrade cycles.
How might the ongoing decline in wireless equipment revenue and slowing device upgrade cycles impact Verizon's long-term ARPU growth strategy?
What specific operational initiatives is Verizon implementing to ensure it can achieve the necessary second-half subscriber ramp to meet annual postpaid add targets?
Could the widening divergence between GAAP and adjusted earnings metrics signal increasing pressure from non-recurring costs or capital expenditures in future quarters?































