MSCI Q2 sales rise 12.2% led by asset-based fees

5 min read     Updated on 22 Jul 2026, 01:01 AM
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MSCI Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2026, with operating revenues rising 12.2% to $867.0 million. The growth was driven by a 26.6% surge in asset-based fees and a 9.0% increase in recurring subscription revenues, leading to an adjusted EPS of $4.94, which beat analyst expectations. The company updated its full-year 2026 guidance to reflect higher operating expenses and adjusted EBITDA expenses, while raising its free cash flow outlook.

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MSCI Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2026, driven by broad-based growth across its business segments. The company delivered record asset-based fee run rates and accelerating subscription momentum, resulting in an adjusted EPS that exceeded analyst expectations.

Second Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights

The following table summarizes key consolidated financial metrics for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2026, compared to the same periods in 2025.

Metric: Q2 2026 Q2 2025 % Change 6M 2026 6M 2025 % Change
Operating Revenues: $867.0M $772.7M +12.2% $1,717.8M $1,518.5M +13.1%
Operating Income: $487.5M $425.3M +14.6% $944.4M $802.3M +17.7%
Operating Margin %: 56.2% 55.0% — 55.0% 52.8% —
Net Income: $342.0M $303.7M +12.6% $748.0M $592.3M +26.3%
Diluted EPS: $4.69 $3.92 +19.6% $10.23 $7.63 +34.1%
Adjusted EPS: $4.94 $4.17 +18.5% $9.49 $8.17 +16.2%
Adjusted EBITDA: $538.5M $474.4M +13.5% $1,043.2M $900.0M +15.9%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %: 62.1% 61.4% — 60.7% 59.3% —

Adjusted EPS of $4.94 beat the analyst consensus estimate of $4.93. Quarterly sales of $867.0 million surpassed the analyst consensus estimate of $866.439 million.

"In the second quarter MSCI delivered strong financial results along with a record asset-based-fee run rate and accelerated run-rate growth in Index and Private Capital Solutions. We also achieved strength in recurring net-new sales across key client segments and geographies, including our best quarter ever with hedge funds and our best Q2 with asset owners," said Henry A. Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of MSCI.

Revenue and Run Rate Performance

Second quarter operating revenues of $867.0 million, up 12.2%, reflected a $94.3 million increase driven by $50.6 million in higher recurring subscription revenues and $49.0 million in higher asset-based fees, partially offset by $5.3 million in lower non-recurring revenues. Recurring subscription revenues rose 9.0%, while asset-based fees surged 26.6%.

Total Run Rate at June 30, 2026 reached $3,479.7 million, up 12.0%, with organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth of 8.1%. Asset-based fees Run Rate increased by $190.9 million and recurring subscription Run Rate increased by $182.1 million. The Retention Rate in second quarter 2026 was 95.3%, compared to 94.4% in second quarter 2025.

Segment Performance

The following table presents key revenue and profitability metrics by segment for the three months ended June 30, 2026.

Segment: Total Revenues % Change Adjusted EBITDA Adj. EBITDA Margin
Index: $511.0M +17.5% $397.8M 77.8%
Analytics: $189.4M +6.6% $88.0M 46.5%
Sustainability & Climate: $91.9M +3.4% $35.6M 38.7%
All Other – Private Assets: $74.7M +4.9% $17.1M 22.9%

Index operating revenues rose 17.5%, driven by $49.0 million in higher asset-based fees and $27.3 million in higher recurring subscription revenues. Index Run Rate as of June 30, 2026 was $2.0 billion, up 17.4%, with organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth of 11.1%.

Analytics operating revenues grew 6.6%, with organic operating revenue growth of 7.0%. Analytics Run Rate was $773.3 million, up 5.8%, with organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth of 6.6%.

Sustainability and Climate operating revenues increased 3.4%, with organic operating revenue growth of 3.0%. Run Rate was $376.8 million, up 1.9%, with organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth of 3.2%.

All Other – Private Assets operating revenues rose 4.9%, with organic operating revenue growth of 4.4%. Run Rate was $302.6 million, up 8.0%, driven primarily by Private Capital Solutions products, with organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth of 8.3%.

Expenses, Operating Income, and Cash Flow

Total operating expenses were $379.5 million, up 9.2%. Adjusted EBITDA expenses were $328.5 million, up 10.1%, reflecting higher non-compensation and compensation costs. During second quarter 2026, the company recognized $3.2 million of Adjusted EBITDA expenses and $1.7 million of intangible asset amortization expense related to the Compass, Vantager, and PM Insights acquisitions.

The effective tax rate decreased to 18.0% in second quarter 2026 from 19.6% in second quarter 2025, primarily driven by US tax law changes and the jurisdictional mix of earnings. Other expense (income), net was $70.2 million, up 47.8%, primarily driven by higher interest expense from higher debt levels.

Capex was $44.4 million, and net cash provided by operating activities increased 10.3% to $370.8 million. Free cash flow for second quarter 2026 was up 8.2% to $326.4 million. As of June 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $356.4 million, and total principal amounts of debt outstanding were $6.4 billion.

Capital Allocation and First Street Acquisition

Approximately $149.2 million in dividends were paid to shareholders in second quarter 2026. On July 20, 2026, the MSCI Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $2.05 per share for third quarter 2026, payable on August 28, 2026 to shareholders of record as of the close of trading on August 14, 2026. Total share repurchases during the quarter were $145.0 million or 0.3 million shares at an average repurchase price of $557.34. As of July 20, 2026, approximately $1.6 billion remains available on the outstanding share repurchase authorization.

On June 24, 2026, MSCI entered into a definitive agreement to acquire First Street Technology, Inc., a provider of physics-based physical climate risk data and analytics, for a cash payment of $120.0 million at closing, subject to customary closing adjustments, together with the potential for additional cash payments contingent upon specified revenue thresholds. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions.

Updated Full-Year 2026 Guidance

MSCI updated its Full-Year 2026 guidance, reflecting the impact of recent acquisitions including First Street and strong topline momentum.

Guidance Item: Current Guidance Prior Guidance
Operating Expense: $1,535 to $1,575 million $1,490 to $1,530 million
Adjusted EBITDA Expense: $1,340 to $1,370 million $1,305 to $1,335 million
Interest Expense: $282 to $286 million $274 to $280 million
Depreciation & Amortization Expense: $195 to $205 million $190 to $200 million
Effective Tax Rate: 18.0% to 20.0% 18.0% to 20.0%
Capital Expenditures: $160 to $170 million $160 to $170 million
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities: $1,655 to $1,705 million $1,640 to $1,690 million
Free Cash Flow: $1,485 to $1,545 million $1,470 to $1,530 million

How will the First Street Technology acquisition enhance MSCI's competitive position in the climate risk analytics market?

What strategies will MSCI employ to accelerate growth in the Sustainability & Climate segment given its slower relative performance?

How might rising interest expenses and increased debt levels impact future capital allocation and share repurchase plans?

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Brokerages raise MSCI targets as Jefferies initiates Buy

0 min read     Updated on 20 Jul 2026, 10:29 PM
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Radhika SScanX News Team
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Jefferies initiated coverage on MSCI with a Buy rating and a $760 price target, while JP Morgan raised its target to $742 from $700, maintaining an Overweight rating. Barclays also maintains an Overweight rating with a $735 target.

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Major brokerages have reinforced a positive outlook for MSCI following Jefferies initiating coverage with a Buy rating and JP Morgan raising its price target. These moves reflect a broadly favorable assessment of the company's market position and future performance potential from top financial institutions. Investors may consider these revised targets when evaluating their positions in the company.

Rating and Target Details

Brokerage Analyst Rating Price Target
Jefferies Surinder Thind Buy $760
JP Morgan Alexander Hess Overweight $742
Barclays Manav Patnaik Overweight $735

Jefferies analyst Surinder Thind announced a price target of $760 alongside the new Buy endorsement. JP Morgan analyst Alexander Hess maintained an Overweight rating while increasing the price objective from $700 to $742. Barclays had previously raised its target to $735 from $700 following a review of MSCI's business outlook.

What specific factors could drive MSCI's stock price to meet or exceed the new $760 target set by Jefferies?

How might MSCI's performance be impacted by upcoming regulatory changes in the financial data and index industry?

What are the potential risks that could derail the optimistic outlook presented by these major brokerages?

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