Energy Vault Q3FY26 Results: Raises FY26 revenue guidance to top half of range

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Reviewed by
Suketu GScanX News Team
Key Highlights
  • Energy Vault raised FY26 revenue guidance to the top half of $270-$310 million range
  • Q3FY26 earnings scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 4:30 pm ET
  • Initial FY26 outlook was $225-$300 million, narrowed in August Q2 call
  • Strong increase in contracted backlog cited as driver for improved visibility
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Energy Vault Holdings raised its full-year 2026 revenue expectations to the top half of the previously narrowed range of $270 million to $310 million. The company announced this update alongside the scheduling of its third-quarter earnings release for November 10, 2026.

The revised outlook reflects current operational execution and expected fourth-quarter project deliveries. In August, during its second-quarter earnings call, the company had already raised and narrowed its fiscal year 2026 revenue outlook from an initial range of $225 million to $300 million to the current $270 million to $310 million band. The company stated that it will provide further details on these expectations and share initial guidance for fiscal year 2027 during the upcoming earnings call, citing a strong increase in contracted backlog.

Earnings Call Details

Energy Vault will release its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. The subsequent conference call is scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. Investors and analysts can access the live webcast via the company's investor relations website. A telephonic replay will be available shortly after the conclusion of the call until November 24, 2026.

Guidance Evolution

The progression of Energy Vault's revenue guidance highlights a tightening forecast as the fiscal year progresses. The table below summarizes the changes in the full-year 2026 revenue outlook:

Period Revenue Range Status
Initial Outlook $225 million - $300 million Superseded
August Update (Q2 Call) $270 million - $310 million Narrowed & Raised
Current Update (Oct 2026) Top half of $270 million - $310 million Raised to Upper Bound

What the Numbers Show

The shift in guidance from the broader $225 million to $300 million range to targeting the upper half of the $270 million to $310 million range indicates increased confidence in near-term project delivery. By narrowing the range and moving the expectation to the top half, the company signals that operational execution has aligned with or exceeded earlier conservative estimates. The explicit mention of "strong increase in contracted backlog" suggests that future revenue visibility is improving, potentially supporting the transition from one-time project deliveries to more recurring revenue streams mentioned in their integrated platform model.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How will the initial fiscal year 2027 guidance presented during the November 10 earnings call compare to current analyst consensus estimates?

What specific factors contributed to the 'strong increase in contracted backlog,' and how does this shift impact Energy Vault's reliance on one-time project deliveries versus recurring revenue?

Can Energy Vault sustain its operational execution to meet the upper-bound revenue targets in Q4, given the compressed timeline for project deliveries?

Energy Vault wins NSW approval for 1 GWh Stoney Creek storage project

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Reviewed by
Jubin VScanX News Team
Key Highlights
  • Energy Vault received State Significant Development Approval for its 125 MW / 1 GWh Stoney Creek Battery Energy Storage System in New South Wales.
  • Construction and site mobilization are expected to begin in Q4 2026, with commercial operations targeted for H1 2028.
  • The project is supported by a 14-year Long-Term Energy Service Agreement awarded through AEMO Services.
  • Annual recurring revenue is projected at $25 million to $30 million once the system is operational.
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Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: NRGV) secured State Significant Development Approval from the New South Wales Government for its 125 MW / 1 GWh Stoney Creek Battery Energy Storage System in Narrabri, Australia. This regulatory milestone advances the project toward construction, targeting site mobilization in Q4 2026 and commercial operations in H1 2028.

The approval follows a comprehensive environmental and planning assessment led by the NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure. The process included public exhibition of the Environmental Impact Statement and consultation with government agencies and local stakeholders. Combined with Energy Vault’s outright acquisition of the project land, this development substantially de-risks the remaining path to construction.

Project Timeline and Regulatory Milestones

Geotechnical works on the site were completed in late August 2026. With the State Significant Development Approval (SSD-75680468) now in place, the company plans to begin site works and mobilization in Q4 2026. Commercial operations are scheduled to commence in H1 2028, subject to the satisfaction of remaining conditions and customary project requirements.

Revenue Projections and Contract Structure

The Stoney Creek project is supported by a 14-year Long-Term Energy Service Agreement (LTESA) awarded through AEMO Services under the New South Wales Electricity Infrastructure Roadmap. This long-term contracted revenue support, alongside anticipated merchant market revenues, is expected to generate approximately $25 million to $30 million in annual recurring revenue once operational.

Metric Detail
Project Capacity 125 MW / 1 GWh
Location Narrabri, New South Wales
Annual Revenue Estimate $25 million to $30 million
Contract Duration 14-year LTESA
Construction Start Q4 2026
Commercial Operations H1 2028

What the Numbers Show

The disclosed revenue estimate of $25 million to $30 million annually for a 1 GWh facility implies a revenue density of $25 to $30 per MWh per year. When viewed against the 14-year LTESA term, the contracted portion of this revenue provides a baseline for financial stability, while the merchant component introduces market price volatility into the total yield. The alignment of geotechnical completion in August 2026 with the Q4 2026 construction start indicates a tight schedule between technical readiness and physical mobilization.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How will the final split between contracted LTESA revenue and merchant market exposure impact Energy Vault's cash flow stability during the initial operational phase?

What specific supply chain or labor constraints in Australia could threaten the tight timeline between geotechnical completion and Q4 2026 site mobilization?

How does the $25-30 million annual revenue projection compare to Energy Vault's current financial burn rate and capital expenditure needs for this project?

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